Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 14.54 TAO at 206.68$ per unit. Take profit: 207.7803 (0.53 %) & Stop Loss: 206.1299 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 14.54 TAO at 206.68$ per unit. Take profit: 207.7803 (0.53 %) & Stop Loss: 206.1299 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 206.68$
Qty 14.5416 TAO
Size 3005.4674$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 207.7803 (+0.53%)
TP $ 16$
SL 206.1299 (-0.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8167
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.03×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.50×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.146014 15m : 0.367882 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 14:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6089 | r1h: 0.058% · r4h: -0.766% · r1d: 4.54% · r3d: 7.46% · ema21_slope: 0.1508% · dist_ema21: 0.797% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5920 | rs_1h: 0.024% · rs_4h: -0.692% · rs_1d: 4.28% · rs_3d: 6.22% · beta_24h: 2.313 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2034 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.640 · trend: -15.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7666 | ADX: 47.4 (trend) · Chop: 54.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.079% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.445% | 1.7R | -0.281% | 1.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.445% | 1.7R | -0.571% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.445% | 1.7R | -1.543% | 5.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.445% | 1.7R | -2.845% | 10.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.445% | 1.7R | -2.845% | 10.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.55 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.68 | bull_medium | +1.40% | +0.50 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.54 | range_low | +0.72% | +0.35 | 09/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.7ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | range_low | +0.28% | -0.07 | 09/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.676×ATR | p7 | +1.042×ATR | p81 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.292×ATR | p0 | +0.817×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.471×ATR | p4 | -0.027×ATR | p5 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.387×ATR | p52 | -0.42×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65120.9
0.000568674
65158
0.146014
65011.1
0.00225939
65158
0.367882
64842.5
0.00491182
65161
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210.67
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1
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2.6709
0.55
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1
0.6066
0.5357
3.289
0.5
1.0379
3.2959
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0.3228
0.3638
0.58
-0.046
0.4279
0.4524
0.9247
0.8383
-1.7066
8.8473
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:14 | 206.68000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:20 | 206.35000000 | -0.16% |
| 3 | 16:09 | 206.29000000 | -0.189% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 12:45:00 | 205.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:30:00 | 209.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:20:00 | 210.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:40:00 | 207.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:20:00 | 210.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:40:00 | 208.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:05:00 | 210.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:30:00 | 206.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:25:00 | 207.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:10:00 | 206.61 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 00:30:00 | 210.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:30:00 | 204.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 210.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 07:00:00 | 204.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 207.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 202.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:15:00 | 210.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:30:00 | 206.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 207.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:00:00 | 206.61 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 191.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:00:00 | 194.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 190.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 195.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 197.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:00:00 | 195.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 210.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 202.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 210.67 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206.68 | 206.1299 | 207.7803 | 2 | 207.18 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 206.1299 - 206.68 = -0.55010000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 206.68 - 207.7803 = -1.1003
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1003 / -0.55010000000001 = 2.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3005.4674 | 100 | 14.5416 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.55010000000001 = -14.54
Taille de position USD = -14.54 x 206.68 = -3005.13
Donc, tu peux acheter -14.54 avec un stoploss a 206.1299
Avec un position size USD de -3005.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -14.54 x -0.55010000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -14.54 x -1.1003 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.53 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2806 % | 105.41 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206.68 | 206.1299 | 207.7803 | 2 | 207.18 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 206.1299 - 206.68 = -0.55010000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 206.68 - 207.7803 = -1.1003
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1003 / -0.55010000000001 = 2.0002
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.445% | 1.7R | -0.281% | 1.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.445% | 1.7R | -0.571% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.445% | 1.7R | -1.543% | 5.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.445% | 1.7R | -2.845% | 10.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.445% | 1.7R | -2.845% | 10.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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