Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 183.8 LTC at 46.154$ per unit. Take profit: 46.2411 (0.19 %) & Stop Loss: 46.1105 (0.094 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 183.8 LTC at 46.154$ per unit. Take profit: 46.2411 (0.19 %) & Stop Loss: 46.1105 (0.094 %)
Position
Entry 46.154$
Qty 183.7963 LTC
Size 8482.9359$ (margin 100$) (leverage 85)
Risk Setup
TP 46.2411 (+0.19%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 46.1105 (-0.094%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5360
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.31×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.15×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.31×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.258412 15m : 0.390337 |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 14:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5157 | r1h: -0.009% · r4h: -0.453% · r1d: 0.57% · r3d: 1.45% · ema21_slope: 0.0444% · dist_ema21: 0.112% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4960 | rs_1h: -0.042% · rs_4h: -0.379% · rs_1d: 0.31% · rs_3d: 0.22% · beta_24h: 0.613 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3306 | rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.194 · trend: 37.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6251 | ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 49.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.332% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.106% | 1.1R | -0.154% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.106% | 1.1R | -0.358% | 3.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.106% | 1.1R | -1.244% | 13.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.106% | 1.1R | -1.822% | 19.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.106% | 1.1R | -2.245% | 23.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -2.57% | -0.23 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.40% | +0.16 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.57 | range_low | +0.72% | +0.00 | 09/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.28% | -0.02 | 09/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 1.656×ATR | p0 | +0.597×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 38b | — | 6.267×ATR | p97 | +0.41×ATR | p42 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.754×ATR | p12 | -0.29×ATR | p34 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.344×ATR | p42 | -0.681×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65121.1
0.000689088
65166
0.258412
65011.2
0.00238
65166
0.390337
64842.5
0.00491182
65161
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46.455
195
0.7747
0.496
0.4067
0.2612
0.5258
1
0.4735
0.5428
0.774
0.4622
0.6374
0.8722
0.0988
0.1085
1
0.4365
2.0848
0.8
0.2
1
4
1
0.4776
0.4452
3.017
0.5
1.5056
2.6495
2.0848
0.565
0.2603
0.34
0.0873
0.5207
0.5072
0.9191
0.8722
-1.8049
12.3163
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:12 | 46.15400000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:48 | 46.14400000 | -0.022% |
| 3 | 15:54 | 46.13300000 | -0.045% |
| 4 | 16:01 | 46.13000000 | -0.052% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 14:30:00 | 46.279 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:05:00 | 46.418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:20:00 | 46.321 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:45:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:10:00 | 46.346 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:50:00 | 46.203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:55:00 | 46.164 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:30:00 | 46.233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:40:00 | 46.185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:10:00 | 46.154 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 45.858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 46.031 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:30:00 | 45.881 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 46.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 10:45:00 | 46.053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 46.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 46.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:45:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:00:00 | 46.154 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 45.312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 44.759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 45.627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 45.459 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 45.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 45.858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 46.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.154 | 46.1105 | 46.2411 | 2 | 46.615 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.1105 - 46.154 = -0.043500000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 46.154 - 46.2411 = -0.0871
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0871 / -0.043500000000002 = 2.0023
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8482.9359 | 100 | 183.7963 | 85.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.043500000000002 = -183.91
Taille de position USD = -183.91 x 46.154 = -8488.18
Donc, tu peux acheter -183.91 avec un stoploss a 46.1105
Avec un position size USD de -8488.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -183.91 x -0.043500000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -183.91 x -0.0871 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.094 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.117 % | 124.2 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.154 | 46.1105 | 46.2411 | 2 | 46.615 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.1105 - 46.154 = -0.043500000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 46.154 - 46.2411 = -0.0871
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0871 / -0.043500000000002 = 2.0023
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.106% | 1.1R | -0.154% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.106% | 1.1R | -0.358% | 3.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.106% | 1.1R | -1.244% | 13.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.106% | 1.1R | -1.822% | 19.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.106% | 1.1R | -2.245% | 23.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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