Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 157.68 KAITO at 0.675$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6583 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7259 (7.51 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 16:10:04
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 16:10
→ 22:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.6752$
Qty 157.6763 KAITO
Size 106.463$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6583 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.66$
SL 0.7259 (-7.51%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.33
Status
loss
PnL
-2.67%
/ -2.85$
MAE -3.54%
MFE +1.41%
0.2R
expires
09 Aug 22:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63827)
#40 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 16:00
score du 09/08/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0362
Quality Score
0.345
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
21.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 16:02
09/08 16:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#40 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#40 / 40
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.01×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.25×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 16:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3454
Score SMA
0.3607
Rank
#40
/ 40
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0362
Rank Norm SMA
0.0178
Calculé le
09/08/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1330 | r1h: -0.447% · r4h: -2.158% · r1d: -10.08% · r3d: -26.54% · ema21_slope: -0.2811% · dist_ema21: -3.740% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1870 | rs_1h: -0.457% · rs_4h: -2.111% · rs_1d: -10.27% · rs_3d: -27.71% · beta_24h: 3.808 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3479 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.165 · trend: 29.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6133 | ADX: 44.0 (trend) · Chop: 69.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9714 | ATR%: 3.086% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.509%
(0.0507)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.410% | 0.2R | -0.016% | 0.0R | 86.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.410% | 0.2R | -0.138% | 0.0R | 10.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.410% | 0.2R | -1.582% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.410% | 0.2R | -3.544% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.410% | 0.2R | -4.877% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.624% | 0.4R | -4.877% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.19
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -2.57% | -1.00 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.00 | bull_medium | +1.38% | -0.99 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | -0.10 | range_low | +0.69% | -0.61 | 09/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.02 | range_low | +0.24% | -0.20 | 09/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 5.41×ATR | p75 | -1.211×ATR | p89 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 48b | — | 13.408×ATR | p100 | -0.922×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.692×ATR | p0 | -0.688×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 2.893×ATR | p56 | -0.552×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6752 | 0.7259 | 0.6583 | 0.33 | 0.3468 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6752
- Stop Loss: 0.7259
- Take Profit: 0.6583
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7259 - 0.6752 = 0.0507
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6752 - 0.6583 = 0.0169
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0169 / 0.0507 = 0.3333
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106.463 | 100 | 157.6763 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0507
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0507 = 157.79
Taille de position USD = 157.79 x 0.6752 = 106.54
Donc, tu peux acheter 157.79 avec un stoploss a 0.7259
Avec un position size USD de 106.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 157.79 x 0.0507 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 157.79 x 0.0169 = 2.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.67$
Résumé
- Taille de position 157.79
- Taille de position USD 106.54
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.67
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3333
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.66 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.51 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.85 $ | -2.67 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5441 % | 47.2 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6752 | 0.7259 | 0.6583 | 0.33 | 0.3468 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6752
- Stop Loss: 0.7259
- Take Profit: 0.6583
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7259 - 0.6752 = 0.0507
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6752 - 0.6583 = 0.0169
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0169 / 0.0507 = 0.3333
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.509%
(0.0507)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.410% | 0.2R | -0.016% | 0.0R | 86.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.410% | 0.2R | -0.138% | 0.0R | 10.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.410% | 0.2R | -1.582% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.410% | 0.2R | -3.544% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.410% | 0.2R | -4.877% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.624% | 0.4R | -4.877% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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