Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.36 BTC at 65078$ per unit. Take profit: 65122.7659 (0.069 %) & Stop Loss: 65055.6171 (0.034 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.36 BTC at 65078$ per unit. Take profit: 65122.7659 (0.069 %) & Stop Loss: 65055.6171 (0.034 %)
Position
Entry 65078$
Qty 0.3574 BTC
Size 23259.8658$ (margin 100$) (leverage 233)
Risk Setup
TP 65122.7659 (+0.069%)
TP $ 16$
SL 65055.6171 (-0.034%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2854
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -3.58×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.30×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.74×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 16:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 15:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5123 | r1h: 0.011% · r4h: -0.048% · r1d: 0.19% · r3d: 1.17% · ema21_slope: 0.0190% · dist_ema21: 0.214% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1811 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.720 · trend: -28.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7174 | ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 35.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4448 | ATR%: 0.133% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.098% | 2.9R | -0.055% | 1.6R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.610% | 17.7R | -0.055% | 1.6R | 11.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.610% | 17.7R | -0.420% | 12.2R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.610% | 17.7R | -0.459% | 13.4R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.610% | 17.7R | -0.459% | 13.4R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -1.7ATR | — | — | — | — | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | near -1.3ATR | — | — | — | — | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -3.6ATR | — | — | — | — | 09/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near -1.7ATR | — | — | — | — | — | 09/08 16:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 1.283×ATR | p0 | +0.495×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 38b | — | 8.511×ATR | p97 | +0.709×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 5.393×ATR | p92 | +0.61×ATR | p61 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 14b | — | 2.574×ATR | p36 | -0.525×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[1] => 65063
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[1] => 65045
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[1] => 64883
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[1] => 65168
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[1] => 64700
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[1] => 65266
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[1] => 65132
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.20531363956731
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.20573604372659
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 05:45:00
[1] => 64748
[2] => L
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 08:15:00
[1] => 64909
[2] => H
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[3] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 08:45:00
[1] => 64758
[2] => L
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[4] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 11:30:00
[1] => 64969
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[1] => 64884
[2] => L
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[1] => 65266
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[1] => 65148
[2] => L
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[8] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 18:15:00
[1] => 65154
[2] => L
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[9] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 20:00:00
[1] => 65059
[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.28805197193025
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.029204260747936
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.14602130373968
[ms_bos_up] => 1
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[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 16:35:00
[1] => 65236
[2] => H
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[2] => Array
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[1] => 65185
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[3] => Array
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[1] => 65200
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[1] => 65158
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[1] => 65187
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[1] => 65187
[2] => H
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[1] => 65059
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
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[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.19674449345978
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65266
193
0.7612
0.6352
0.3248
0.2359
0.3975
1
0.5454
0.5158
0.7066
0.2359
0.5927
0.8513
0.2035
0.136
1
1.2217
2.7026
0.6
0.4
1
6
1
0.5282
0.5004
5.4883
0.6
1.2094
5.6164
2.7026
0.5862
0.2979
0.06
-0.0002
0.483
0.4488
0.6942
0.8513
-3.0429
17.4151
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:12 | 65078.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:18 | 65102.00000000 | +0.037% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 16:25:00 | 65148 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:35:00 | 65236 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 65185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:25:00 | 65200 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 65154 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:30:00 | 65192 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:10:00 | 65158 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:20:00 | 65187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:30:00 | 65187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:10:00 | 65059 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 64800 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:45:00 | 64748 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 64909 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 08:45:00 | 64758 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 11:30:00 | 64969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 64884 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:45:00 | 65266 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:15:00 | 65148 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 65154 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 65059 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 64137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 64484 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 65063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 65045 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 64883 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 65168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 64700 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 65266 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 65132 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65078 | 65055.6171 | 65122.7659 | 2 | 66630 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 65055.6171 - 65078 = -22.382899999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 65078 - 65122.7659 = -44.765899999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -44.765899999999 / -22.382899999997 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23259.8658 | 100 | 0.3574 | 233.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -22.382899999997 = -0.36
Taille de position USD = -0.36 x 65078 = -23428.08
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.36 avec un stoploss a 65055.6171
Avec un position size USD de -23428.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.36 x -22.382899999997 = 8.06
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.06$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.36 x -44.765899999999 = 16.12
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.12$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.069 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.034 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0553 % | 160.76 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65078 | 65055.6171 | 65122.7659 | 2 | 66630 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 65055.6171 - 65078 = -22.382899999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 65078 - 65122.7659 = -44.765899999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -44.765899999999 / -22.382899999997 = 2
Array
(
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Array
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[take_profit] => 65122.7659
[entry_price] => 65078
[stop_loss] => 65053.37881
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 20:15:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.2] => Array
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[take_profit] => 65122.7659
[entry_price] => 65078
[stop_loss] => 65051.14052
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 20:15:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.3] => Array
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[take_profit] => 65122.7659
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 20:15:00+00
[result] => loss
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[take_profit] => 65122.7659
[entry_price] => 65078
[stop_loss] => 65044.42565
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 20:15:00+00
[result] => loss
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.098% | 2.9R | -0.055% | 1.6R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.610% | 17.7R | -0.055% | 1.6R | 11.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.610% | 17.7R | -0.420% | 12.2R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.610% | 17.7R | -0.459% | 13.4R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.610% | 17.7R | -0.459% | 13.4R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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