Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 202.33 LTC at 46.102$ per unit. Take profit: 46.1811 (0.17 %) & Stop Loss: 46.0625 (0.086 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 202.33 LTC at 46.102$ per unit. Take profit: 46.1811 (0.17 %) & Stop Loss: 46.0625 (0.086 %)
Position
Entry 46.102$
Qty 202.3255 LTC
Size 9327.6116$ (margin 100$) (leverage 93)
Risk Setup
TP 46.1811 (+0.17%)
TP $ 16$
SL 46.0625 (-0.086%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5051
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.67×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.12×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.31×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 16:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.278552 15m : 0.389584 |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5072 | r1h: -0.160% · r4h: -0.627% · r1d: 0.40% · r3d: 1.65% · ema21_slope: 0.0409% · dist_ema21: 0.006% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4875 | rs_1h: -0.171% · rs_4h: -0.579% · rs_1d: 0.21% · rs_3d: 0.49% · beta_24h: 0.612 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2524 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.251 · trend: 1.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5875 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 53.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.322% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.059% | 0.7R | -0.245% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.184% | 2.2R | -0.297% | 3.5R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.184% | 2.2R | -1.701% | 19.9R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.184% | 2.2R | -1.755% | 20.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.184% | 2.2R | -2.134% | 24.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -2.57% | -0.23 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.38% | +0.16 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.57 | range_low | +0.69% | -0.00 | 09/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.24% | -0.02 | 09/08 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 1.656×ATR | p0 | +0.597×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 38b | — | 6.29×ATR | p97 | +0.429×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.123×ATR | p31 | -0.497×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.994×ATR | p61 | -0.656×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65125.1
-0.000723911
65078
0.278552
65018.3
0.000916738
65078
0.389584
64861.8
0.00416565
65132
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
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46.455
194
0.6814
0.5135
0.4055
0.2636
0.5217
1
0.4005
0.5274
0.774
0.4138
0.6119
0.7975
0.0327
0.082
0.6667
-0.3004
1.263
0.8
0.2
1
5
1
0.4728
0.4452
3.017
0.55
1.5056
2.6495
1.263
0.565
0.2558
0.32
0.0327
0.5124
0.4679
0.8373
0.7975
-2.6795
10.552
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:12 | 46.10200000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:36 | 46.08900000 | -0.028% |
| 3 | 16:42 | 46.08500000 | -0.037% |
| 4 | 16:48 | 46.05900000 | -0.093% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 14:30:00 | 46.279 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:05:00 | 46.418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:20:00 | 46.321 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:45:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:10:00 | 46.346 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:50:00 | 46.203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:55:00 | 46.164 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:30:00 | 46.233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:40:00 | 46.185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:05:00 | 46.098 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 45.858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 46.031 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:30:00 | 45.881 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 46.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 10:45:00 | 46.053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 46.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 46.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:45:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 46.098 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 44.759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 45.627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 45.459 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 45.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 45.858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 46.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 46.1 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.102 | 46.0625 | 46.1811 | 2 | 45.076 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.0625 - 46.102 = -0.039499999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 46.102 - 46.1811 = -0.079100000000004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.079100000000004 / -0.039499999999997 = 2.0025
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9327.6116 | 100 | 202.3255 | 93.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.039499999999997 = -202.53
Taille de position USD = -202.53 x 46.102 = -9337.04
Donc, tu peux acheter -202.53 avec un stoploss a 46.0625
Avec un position size USD de -9337.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -202.53 x -0.039499999999997 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -202.53 x -0.079100000000004 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.086 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0933 % | 108.87 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.102 | 46.0625 | 46.1811 | 2 | 45.076 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.0625 - 46.102 = -0.039499999999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 46.102 - 46.1811 = -0.079100000000004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.079100000000004 / -0.039499999999997 = 2.0025
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.059% | 0.7R | -0.245% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.184% | 2.2R | -0.297% | 3.5R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.184% | 2.2R | -1.701% | 19.9R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.184% | 2.2R | -1.755% | 20.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.184% | 2.2R | -2.134% | 24.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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