Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 16.27 TAO at 206.09$ per unit. Take profit: 207.0733 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 205.5983 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 16.27 TAO at 206.09$ per unit. Take profit: 207.0733 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 205.5983 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 206.09$
Qty 16.2715 TAO
Size 3353.3959$ (margin 100$) (leverage 34)
Risk Setup
TP 207.0733 (+0.48%)
TP $ 16$
SL 205.5983 (-0.24%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7913
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.39×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.50×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 16:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.216699 15m : 0.368056 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5961 | r1h: -0.058% · r4h: -0.961% · r1d: 4.28% · r3d: 8.00% · ema21_slope: 0.1390% · dist_ema21: 0.587% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5861 | rs_1h: -0.069% · rs_4h: -0.914% · rs_1d: 4.09% · rs_3d: 6.83% · beta_24h: 2.357 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2984 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: 0.094 · trend: -2.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7530 | ADX: 45.5 (trend) · Chop: 53.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.050% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.544% | 2.3R | -0.286% | 1.2R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.616% | 2.6R | -0.907% | 3.8R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.616% | 2.6R | -2.567% | 10.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.616% | 2.6R | -2.567% | 10.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.616% | 2.6R | -2.567% | 10.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.55 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.69 | bull_medium | +1.29% | +0.51 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.55 | range_low | +0.49% | -0.13 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -1.5ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.15% | -0.16 | 09/08 16:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.676×ATR | p7 | +1.042×ATR | p81 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.914×ATR | p0 | +0.357×ATR | p42 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.064×ATR | p29 | -0.408×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.118×ATR | p3 | -0.448×ATR | p49 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65121.7
-0.000241375
65106
0.216699
65029
0.00150651
65127
0.368056
64861.7
0.00413543
65130
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210.67
194
0.6252
0.5476
0.3387
0.1763
0.4717
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0.5036
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0.3661
0.5729
0.7992
0.07
0.1079
1
0.2541
2.1369
0.55
0.45
-1
9
1
0.6475
0.5357
3.289
0.5
1.0379
3.2959
2.1369
0.3228
0.356
0.56
-0.2549
0.3479
0.4333
0.8809
0.7992
-2.0835
8.2936
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:44 | 206.09000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:03 | 205.75000000 | -0.165% |
| 3 | 17:08 | 205.69000000 | -0.194% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 14:40:00 | 207.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:20:00 | 210.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:40:00 | 208.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:05:00 | 210.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:30:00 | 206.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:25:00 | 207.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:20:00 | 206.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:50:00 | 207.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:05:00 | 206.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:40:00 | 206.09 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 00:30:00 | 210.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:30:00 | 204.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 210.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 07:00:00 | 204.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 207.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 202.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:15:00 | 210.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:30:00 | 206.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 207.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 206.1 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:00:00 | 194.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 190.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 195.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 197.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:00:00 | 195.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 210.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 202.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 210.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 206.1 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206.09 | 205.5983 | 207.0733 | 2 | 191.75 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 205.5983 - 206.09 = -0.49170000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 206.09 - 207.0733 = -0.98329999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.98329999999999 / -0.49170000000001 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3353.3959 | 100 | 16.2715 | 34.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.49170000000001 = -16.27
Taille de position USD = -16.27 x 206.09 = -3353.08
Donc, tu peux acheter -16.27 avec un stoploss a 205.5983
Avec un position size USD de -3353.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16.27 x -0.49170000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16.27 x -0.98329999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2863 % | 119.99 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206.09 | 205.5983 | 207.0733 | 2 | 191.75 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 205.5983 - 206.09 = -0.49170000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 206.09 - 207.0733 = -0.98329999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.98329999999999 / -0.49170000000001 = 1.9998
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.544% | 2.3R | -0.286% | 1.2R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.616% | 2.6R | -0.907% | 3.8R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.616% | 2.6R | -2.567% | 10.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.616% | 2.6R | -2.567% | 10.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.616% | 2.6R | -2.567% | 10.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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