Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 190.19 LTC at 46.064$ per unit. Take profit: 46.1481 (0.18 %) & Stop Loss: 46.0219 (0.091 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 190.19 LTC at 46.064$ per unit. Take profit: 46.1481 (0.18 %) & Stop Loss: 46.0219 (0.091 %)
Position
Entry 46.064$
Qty 190.1904 LTC
Size 8760.9288$ (margin 100$) (leverage 88)
Risk Setup
TP 46.1481 (+0.18%)
TP $ 16$
SL 46.0219 (-0.091%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5051
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.89×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.49×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.31×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 16:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.309854 15m : 0.386998 |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5072 | r1h: -0.160% · r4h: -0.627% · r1d: 0.40% · r3d: 1.65% · ema21_slope: 0.0409% · dist_ema21: 0.006% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4875 | rs_1h: -0.171% · rs_4h: -0.579% · rs_1d: 0.21% · rs_3d: 0.49% · beta_24h: 0.612 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2524 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.251 · trend: 1.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5875 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 53.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.322% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.100% | 1.1R | -0.215% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.267% | 2.9R | -1.051% | 11.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.267% | 2.9R | -1.620% | 17.7R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.267% | 2.9R | -2.054% | 22.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.267% | 2.9R | -2.054% | 22.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -2.57% | -0.23 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.29% | +0.01 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.57 | range_low | +0.58% | -0.03 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near -2.1ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.13% | -0.06 | 09/08 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 1.656×ATR | p0 | +0.597×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 39b | — | 6.409×ATR | p97 | +0.205×ATR | p24 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.529×ATR | p54 | -0.636×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 4.552×ATR | p91 | -1.216×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65120.5
-0.000391625
65095
0.309854
65030.1
0.00107387
65100
0.386998
64861.2
0.00377277
65106
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
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46.455
194
0.6812
0.5135
0.4031
0.2581
0.5217
1
0.3937
0.5294
0.774
0.439
0.6158
0.7935
0.0311
0.0801
0.6667
-0.3417
1.1895
0.8
0.2
1
5
1
0.4837
0.4452
3.017
0.55
1.5056
2.6495
1.1895
0.565
0.2545
0.34
0.0525
0.5148
0.4802
0.8364
0.7935
-2.6811
10.3022
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 15:05:00 | 46.418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:20:00 | 46.321 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:45:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:10:00 | 46.346 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:50:00 | 46.203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:55:00 | 46.164 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:30:00 | 46.233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:40:00 | 46.185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:10:00 | 46.083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:50:00 | 46.04 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 45.858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 46.031 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:30:00 | 45.881 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 46.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 10:45:00 | 46.053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 46.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 46.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:45:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:45:00 | 46.046 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 44.759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 45.627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 45.459 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 45.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 45.858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 46.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 46.081 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.064 | 46.0219 | 46.1481 | 2 | 44.699 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.0219 - 46.064 = -0.042099999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 46.064 - 46.1481 = -0.084099999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.084099999999999 / -0.042099999999998 = 1.9976
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8760.9288 | 100 | 190.1904 | 88.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.042099999999998 = -190.02
Taille de position USD = -190.02 x 46.064 = -8753.08
Donc, tu peux acheter -190.02 avec un stoploss a 46.0219
Avec un position size USD de -8753.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -190.02 x -0.042099999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -190.02 x -0.084099999999999 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.091 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1628 % | 178.12 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.064 | 46.0219 | 46.1481 | 2 | 44.699 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.0219 - 46.064 = -0.042099999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 46.064 - 46.1481 = -0.084099999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.084099999999999 / -0.042099999999998 = 1.9976
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.100% | 1.1R | -0.215% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.267% | 2.9R | -1.051% | 11.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.267% | 2.9R | -1.620% | 17.7R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.267% | 2.9R | -2.054% | 22.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.267% | 2.9R | -2.054% | 22.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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