Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 125.81 VVV at 11.735$ per unit. Take profit: 11.8622 (1.08 %) & Stop Loss: 11.6714 (0.54 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 125.81 VVV at 11.735$ per unit. Take profit: 11.8622 (1.08 %) & Stop Loss: 11.6714 (0.54 %)
Position
Entry 11.735$
Qty 125.8056 VVV
Size 1476.3283$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 11.8622 (+1.08%)
TP $ 16$
SL 11.6714 (-0.54%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8036
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.44×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.47×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.85×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 17:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.05637 15m : 0.083737 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 17:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6171 | r1h: -0.144% · r4h: 0.967% · r1d: 5.02% · r3d: 4.19% · ema21_slope: 0.2423% · dist_ema21: 2.273% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6072 | rs_1h: -0.078% · rs_4h: 1.106% · rs_1d: 4.92% · rs_3d: 3.11% · beta_24h: 0.474 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2891 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.400 · trend: 36.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8297 | ADX: 39.6 (trend) · Chop: 22.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.325% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.082% | 2.0R | -0.102% | 0.2R | 10.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.082% | 2.0R | -1.491% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.082% | 2.0R | -1.568% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.125% | 2.1R | -1.568% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.712% | 8.7R | -1.568% | 2.9R | 3.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.21 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.47 | bull_medium | +1.26% | +0.23 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.46 | range_low | +0.56% | +0.44 | 09/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.08 | range_low | +0.11% | -0.07 | 09/08 17:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 14b | — | 3.382×ATR | p44 | +0.229×ATR | p25 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.815×ATR | p17 | +1.052×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 0.993×ATR | p0 | +0.206×ATR | p23 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 3.522×ATR | p67 | -0.37×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65128.5
-0.000439037
65100
0.05637
65032.7
0.00103355
65100
0.083737
64870.9
0.00354686
65101
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11.914
194
0.7226
0.7083
0.3033
0.2197
0.3717
1
0.2432
0.5911
0.6428
0.94
0.7686
0.6614
0.1679
0.0871
1
1.063
1.7384
0.45
0.55
1
5
1
0.5607
0.8037
2.9773
0.65
1.7934
3.1297
1.7384
0.0225
0.3285
0.9
0.9766
0.5347
0.4927
0.942
0.6614
-1.9691
3.8464
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 14:55:00 | 11.506 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:25:00 | 11.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:20:00 | 11.914 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:20:00 | 11.665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:50:00 | 11.646 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:20:00 | 12.103 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:15:00 | 11.754 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:40:00 | 11.932 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:00:00 | 11.882 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:20:00 | 11.728 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 11.244 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 09:30:00 | 11.162 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:45:00 | 11.697 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:45:00 | 11.727 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:15:00 | 11.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:15:00 | 11.914 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:45:00 | 11.646 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 12.103 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:15:00 | 11.754 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:15:00 | 11.742 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 11.553 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 11.285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 11.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 11.433 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 11.816 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 23:00:00 | 11.268 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 07:00:00 | 11.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:00:00 | 11.373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:00:00 | 11.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:00:00 | 12.103 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.735 | 11.6714 | 11.8622 | 2 | 14.154 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.6714 - 11.735 = -0.063599999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.735 - 11.8622 = -0.1272
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1272 / -0.063599999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1476.3283 | 100 | 125.8056 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.063599999999999 = -125.79
Taille de position USD = -125.79 x 11.735 = -1476.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -125.79 avec un stoploss a 11.6714
Avec un position size USD de -1476.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -125.79 x -0.063599999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -125.79 x -0.1272 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.08 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.54 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8522 % | 157.23 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.735 | 11.6714 | 11.8622 | 2 | 14.154 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.6714 - 11.735 = -0.063599999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.735 - 11.8622 = -0.1272
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1272 / -0.063599999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.082% | 2.0R | -0.102% | 0.2R | 10.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.082% | 2.0R | -1.491% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.082% | 2.0R | -1.568% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.125% | 2.1R | -1.568% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.712% | 8.7R | -1.568% | 2.9R | 3.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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