Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 4.28 XMR at 393.05$ per unit. Take profit: 396.7915 (0.95 %) & Stop Loss: 391.1792 (0.48 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 4.28 XMR at 393.05$ per unit. Take profit: 396.7915 (0.95 %) & Stop Loss: 391.1792 (0.48 %)
Position
Entry 393.05$
Qty 4.2763 XMR
Size 1680.8152$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 396.7915 (+0.95%)
TP $ 16$
SL 391.1792 (-0.48%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8326
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.43×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 17:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.086467 15m : 0.040565 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6673 | r1h: 0.849% · r4h: 0.120% · r1d: 4.62% · r3d: 8.60% · ema21_slope: 0.2059% · dist_ema21: 2.605% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6627 | rs_1h: 0.915% · rs_4h: 0.260% · rs_1d: 4.52% · rs_3d: 7.51% · beta_24h: 4.405 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4241 | rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: 0.075 · trend: 105.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7665 | ADX: 32.0 (trend) · Chop: 17.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.357% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.501% | 1.1R | -0.313% | 0.7R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.509% | 1.1R | -0.313% | 0.7R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.806% | 3.8R | -0.313% | 0.7R | 5.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.771% | 5.8R | -0.313% | 0.7R | 8.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.771% | 5.8R | -0.313% | 0.7R | 8.9× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.91 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.36 | bull_medium | +1.26% | +0.66 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.19 | range_low | +0.56% | +0.34 | 09/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.03 | range_low | +0.11% | -0.02 | 09/08 17:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 4.005×ATR | p32 | +1.536×ATR | p97 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.397×ATR | p25 | +1.135×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.12×ATR | p0 | +0.252×ATR | p21 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.052×ATR | p3 | +0.182×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65129.4
-0.000206756
65116
0.086467
65032.7
0.00103355
65100
0.040565
64870.9
0.00354686
65101
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 03:00:00
[1] => 366.96
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 07:00:00
[1] => 371.99
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 16:00:00
[1] => 367.91
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 01:00:00
[1] => 381.54
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 10:00:00
[1] => 375.22
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 19:00:00
[1] => 386.13
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 22:00:00
[1] => 374.72
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 03:00:00
[1] => 384.12
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 12:00:00
[1] => 380.01
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 15:00:00
[1] => 415.43
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.381002816359
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.531459698429
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.3208073471751
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 22:45:00
[1] => 379.86
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 03:45:00
[1] => 384.12
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 06:30:00
[1] => 379.04
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 10:15:00
[1] => 382.98
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 11:15:00
[1] => 380.01
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 11:45:00
[1] => 380.01
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 12:15:00
[1] => 380.01
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 15:00:00
[1] => 415.43
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 18:30:00
[1] => 391.39
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 20:30:00
[1] => 401.16
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0868481403929
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3822529957332
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4962313804645
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 13:15:00
[1] => 381.4
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 13:25:00
[1] => 381.4
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 15:05:00
[1] => 415.43
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 16:35:00
[1] => 398.2
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 17:50:00
[1] => 391.52
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 18:40:00
[1] => 391.39
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 19:30:00
[1] => 400.82
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 20:00:00
[1] => 396.2
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 20:40:00
[1] => 401.16
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 21:25:00
[1] => 393.02
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0216372519693
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.007633199328286
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0711414177396
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
391.39
196
0.7595
0.7468
0.4377
0.2709
0.5742
0.6606
0.2409
0.6065
0.7359
0.904
0.7514
0.7208
0.1203
0.0908
1
1.0186
2.1628
0.7
0.3
1
6
1
0.4583
0.7484
6.8495
0.6
0.6606
4.5248
2.1628
0
0.2065
0.84
0.8198
0.728
0.5151
0.7381
0.7208
-3.0626
7.9056
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:27 | 393.05000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:34 | 392.48000000 | -0.145% |
| 3 | 17:40 | 391.88000000 | -0.298% |
| 4 | 17:46 | 393.05000000 | 0% |
| 5 | 17:52 | 393.01000000 | -0.01% |
| 6 | 17:58 | 393.01000000 | -0.01% |
| 7 | 18:05 | 392.36000000 | -0.176% |
| 8 | 18:22 | 392.08000000 | -0.247% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 13:15:00 | 381.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:25:00 | 381.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:05:00 | 415.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:35:00 | 398.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:50:00 | 391.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:40:00 | 391.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:30:00 | 400.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 396.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:40:00 | 401.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:25:00 | 393.02 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 22:45:00 | 379.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:45:00 | 384.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 06:30:00 | 379.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:15:00 | 382.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 11:45:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:15:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 415.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:30:00 | 391.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:30:00 | 401.16 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 03:00:00 | 366.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 371.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 367.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 381.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:00:00 | 375.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:00:00 | 386.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 374.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 384.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 415.43 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 393.05 | 391.1792 | 396.7915 | 2 | 419.45 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 391.1792 - 393.05 = -1.8708
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 393.05 - 396.7915 = -3.7415
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.7415 / -1.8708 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1680.8152 | 100 | 4.2763 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.8708 = -4.28
Taille de position USD = -4.28 x 393.05 = -1682.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.28 avec un stoploss a 391.1792
Avec un position size USD de -1682.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.28 x -1.8708 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.28 x -3.7415 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.95 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.95 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3129 % | 65.74 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 393.05 | 391.1792 | 396.7915 | 2 | 419.45 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 391.1792 - 393.05 = -1.8708
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 393.05 - 396.7915 = -3.7415
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.7415 / -1.8708 = 1.9999
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 396.7916
[stop_loss] => 391.1792
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 00:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 397.727
[stop_loss] => 391.1792
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 01:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 398.6624
[stop_loss] => 391.1792
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 01:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 399.5978
[stop_loss] => 391.1792
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 01:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 400.5332
[stop_loss] => 391.1792
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 02:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 401.4686
[stop_loss] => 391.1792
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 02:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 402.404
[stop_loss] => 391.1792
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 02:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 403.3394
[stop_loss] => 391.1792
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 02:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.501% | 1.1R | -0.313% | 0.7R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.509% | 1.1R | -0.313% | 0.7R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.806% | 3.8R | -0.313% | 0.7R | 5.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.771% | 5.8R | -0.313% | 0.7R | 8.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.771% | 5.8R | -0.313% | 0.7R | 8.9× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.