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Long Trade on UNI

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09 Aug 2026 at 18:38:41 hyperliquid

Long Trade on UNI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 103.47 UNI at 4.071$ per unit. Take profit: 4.2642 (4.75 %) & Stop Loss: 3.9936 (1.9 %)

UNI LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 18:38 → 19:15 · 36 minutes

Position

Entry 4.0709$

Qty 103.4732 UNI

Size 421.2291$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 4.2642 (+4.75%)

TP $ 20$

SL 3.9936 (-1.9%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -1.90% / -8$ MAE -2.37% MFE +0.40% 0.2R expires 10 Aug 06:38

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 63890)
#26 / 42 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4985

Quality Score
0.548
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 18:30

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#26 / 42 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#26 / 42 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.28×ATR
4h near -0.39×ATR
1d clear 7.31×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 18:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

08/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

09/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

09/08 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.5477
Score SMA
0.4986
Rank
#26 / 42
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4985
Rank Norm SMA
0.3192
Calculé le
09/08/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5702 r1h: 0.542% · r4h: 1.220% · r1d: 1.46% · r3d: 1.55% · ema21_slope: 0.0847% · dist_ema21: 1.446%
Force Relative 25% 0.5590 rs_1h: 0.414% · rs_4h: 1.177% · rs_1d: 1.15% · rs_3d: 0.35% · beta_24h: 1.371
Volume 20% 0.1847 rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.751 · trend: -23.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6663 ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 43.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.736% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.899% (0.0773)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.368% 1.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.368% 1.3R 0.0× 24
4h +0.197% 0.1R -2.368% 1.3R 0.1× 48
8h +0.398% 0.2R -2.368% 1.3R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +0.398% 0.2R -2.368% 1.3R 0.2× 144
24h +0.398% 0.2R -4.014% 2.1R 0.1× 288

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.15
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.64 bear_high -2.57% +0.79 08/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 33% late — near -0.4ATR 0.54 bull_medium +1.47% -0.01 09/08 16:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 45% late — near -0.3ATR 0.40 bull_low_confirmed +0.98% +0.26 09/08 18:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced normal bull_low
54%
noisy_chop 47% early — — 0.43 range_low +0.25% +0.11 09/08 18:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 9b — 2.325×ATR p0 +0.115×ATR p12
4h ↑ up late 12b — 2.227×ATR p6 +1.205×ATR p90
1h ↑ up late 5b — 2.671×ATR p55 +1.352×ATR p90
15m ↓ down early 1b — 1.816×ATR p12 +0.279×ATR p33

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8209
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.93×ATR dur=52b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 3.9935853
  5. tp_price: 4.26418674
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.82092455903682
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-10T10:38:33.919539
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.82092455903682
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : 0.0758
  10. obi_top10 : 0.095
  11. micro_price : 4.05883579
  12. spread_pct : 0.024643
  13. mid_price : 4.0585
  14. bid_wall_price : 4.04
  15. bid_wall_size : 102983.2
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price : 4.07
  18. ask_wall_size : 77174.8
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : 0.1095
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0193
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 6858
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    4.0443
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    3.94935
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    3.996825
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1786129200
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1786312800
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.9308
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    52
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.8209
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1786298400
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    4.0443
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.8846
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    4
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.8211
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    6
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    3
  54. regime : bull_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.03239697
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
52
inside_close_ratio
0.8846
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8211

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 18:38 4.07090000 0%
2 18:44 4.07090000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6858ms Confidence avant OB : 82% → 82%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.076
avg 0.110 ± 0.019
OBI Top 10 0.095

Microstructure

Mid Price
4.0585
Micro Price
4.0588
Spread
0.0246%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
4.0400
Size
102,983.20

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
4.0700
Size
77,174.80

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.0709 3.9936 4.2642 2.5 3.2584
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.0709
  • Stop Loss: 3.9936
  • Take Profit: 4.2642

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.9936 - 4.0709 = -0.0773

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.0709 - 4.2642 = -0.1933

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1933 / -0.0773 = 2.5006

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
421.2291 100 103.4732 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0773

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0773 = -103.49

Taille de position USD = -103.49 x 4.0709 = -421.3

Donc, tu peux acheter -103.49 avec un stoploss a 3.9936

Avec un position size USD de -421.3$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -103.49 x -0.0773 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -103.49 x -0.1933 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -103.49
  • Taille de position USD -421.3
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5006

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.75 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.9 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.90
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9676 % 103.62 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.0709 3.9936 4.2642 2.5 3.2584
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.0709
  • Stop Loss: 3.9936
  • Take Profit: 4.2642

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.9936 - 4.0709 = -0.0773

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.0709 - 4.2642 = -0.1933

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1933 / -0.0773 = 2.5006

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.2642
            [entry_price] => 4.0709
            [stop_loss] => 3.98587
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-09 23:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.2642
            [entry_price] => 4.0709
            [stop_loss] => 3.97814
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-09 23:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.899% (0.0773)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.368% 1.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.368% 1.3R 0.0× 24
4h +0.197% 0.1R -2.368% 1.3R 0.1× 48
8h +0.398% 0.2R -2.368% 1.3R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +0.398% 0.2R -2.368% 1.3R 0.2× 144
24h +0.398% 0.2R -4.014% 2.1R 0.1× 288

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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