Long Trade on ZRO (CatchTheWave)
With 2903.08 ZRO at 0.851$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8565 (0.65 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8482 (0.33 %)
Long Trade on ZRO (CatchTheWave)
With 2903.08 ZRO at 0.851$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8565 (0.65 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8482 (0.33 %)
Position
Entry 0.851$
Qty 2903.0842 ZRO
Size 2470.5246$ (margin 100$) (leverage 25)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8565 (+0.65%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 0.8482 (-0.33%)
SL $ 8.13$
RR 1.96
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5026
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.92×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 22.60×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.125729 15m : 0.190322 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5444 | r1h: -0.117% · r4h: -0.861% · r1d: 1.76% · r3d: 3.76% · ema21_slope: 0.0767% · dist_ema21: 0.709% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5105 | rs_1h: -0.244% · rs_4h: -0.904% · rs_1d: 1.45% · rs_3d: 2.56% · beta_24h: -0.687 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1854 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.604 · trend: -30.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5990 | ADX: 23.5 (weak) · Chop: 50.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.007% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.309% | 0.9R | -1.508% | 4.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.309% | 0.9R | -1.508% | 4.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.444% | 1.4R | -1.508% | 4.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.578% | 7.8R | -1.508% | 4.6R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.672% | 8.1R | -1.508% | 4.6R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.74 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.34 | bull_medium | +1.47% | +0.30 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.2ATR | near -1.9ATR | 0.35 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.98% | -0.07 | 09/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.25% | -0.02 | 09/08 18:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.867×ATR | p10 | +0.919×ATR | p81 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 2.805×ATR | p43 | +0.651×ATR | p60 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.077×ATR | p35 | +0.008×ATR | p2 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 4.187×ATR | p86 | -0.61×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65157.8
-0.00222233
65013
0.125729
65042
0.000445836
65071
0.190322
64880.3
0.00292337
65070
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 20:00:00
[1] => 0.81224
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 21:00:00
[1] => 0.83443
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 05:00:00
[1] => 0.83331
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 15:00:00
[1] => 0.80746
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 19:00:00
[1] => 0.835
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 02:00:00
[1] => 0.845
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 07:00:00
[1] => 0.81829
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 06:00:00
[1] => 0.86052
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 08:00:00
[1] => 0.83841
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 19:00:00
[1] => 0.87183
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.3605519424659
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5314702830357
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.986116577808
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 07:45:00
[1] => 0.8569
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 08:45:00
[1] => 0.83841
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 09:45:00
[1] => 0.85067
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 10:45:00
[1] => 0.85067
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 12:30:00
[1] => 0.84067
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 13:00:00
[1] => 0.84751
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 15:30:00
[1] => 0.84281
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 17:30:00
[1] => 0.8685
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 19:00:00
[1] => 0.87183
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 22:30:00
[1] => 0.85047
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.3605519424659
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.091713993438922
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.511552435712
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 16:10:00
[1] => 0.8491
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 16:25:00
[1] => 0.843
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 17:40:00
[1] => 0.8685
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 18:10:00
[1] => 0.8685
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 18:25:00
[1] => 0.85806
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 19:05:00
[1] => 0.87183
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 20:35:00
[1] => 0.8601
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 21:15:00
[1] => 0.85359
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 21:45:00
[1] => 0.85743
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 22:30:00
[1] => 0.85047
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.7499154449926
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.062318482721322
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.81837101837808
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.87183
196
0.7501
0.5307
0.3549
0.2509
0.44
1
0.429
0.5463
0.7195
0.3264
0.529
0.8023
0.1038
0.0925
1
0.1229
1.3751
0.65
0.35
1
3
0.9474
0.5508
0.3251
4.3609
0.6
1.5115
3.3646
1.3751
0.591
0.2892
0.28
-0.0624
0.4683
0.4576
0.7048
0.8023
-2.5368
10.2927
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:38 | 0.85100000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:51 | 0.85077000 | -0.027% |
| 3 | 18:56 | 0.84879000 | -0.26% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 16:10:00 | 0.8491 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:25:00 | 0.843 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:40:00 | 0.8685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:10:00 | 0.8685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:25:00 | 0.85806 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:05:00 | 0.87183 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:35:00 | 0.8601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:15:00 | 0.85359 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:45:00 | 0.85743 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:30:00 | 0.85047 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 07:45:00 | 0.8569 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 08:45:00 | 0.83841 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:45:00 | 0.85067 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 10:45:00 | 0.85067 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:30:00 | 0.84067 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:00:00 | 0.84751 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:30:00 | 0.84281 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:30:00 | 0.8685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:00:00 | 0.87183 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:30:00 | 0.85047 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 0.81224 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 21:00:00 | 0.83443 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 0.83331 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 0.80746 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 0.835 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 02:00:00 | 0.845 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 07:00:00 | 0.81829 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 06:00:00 | 0.86052 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 0.83841 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:00:00 | 0.87183 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.851 | 0.8482 | 0.8565 | 1.96 | 0.7673 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8482 - 0.851 = -0.0028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.851 - 0.8565 = -0.0055000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0055000000000001 / -0.0028 = 1.9643
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2470.5246 | 100 | 2903.0842 | 25.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0028 = -2857.14
Taille de position USD = -2857.14 x 0.851 = -2431.43
Donc, tu peux acheter -2857.14 avec un stoploss a 0.8482
Avec un position size USD de -2431.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2857.14 x -0.0028 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2857.14 x -0.0055000000000001 = 15.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.71$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.65 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 8.13 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.13 $ | -0.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4442 % | 135.02 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.851 | 0.8482 | 0.8565 | 1.96 | 0.7673 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8482 - 0.851 = -0.0028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.851 - 0.8565 = -0.0055000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0055000000000001 / -0.0028 = 1.9643
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.8565
[entry_price] => 0.851
[stop_loss] => 0.84792
[rr_ratio] => 1.79
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 22:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.8565
[entry_price] => 0.851
[stop_loss] => 0.84764
[rr_ratio] => 1.64
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 22:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.8565
[entry_price] => 0.851
[stop_loss] => 0.84736
[rr_ratio] => 1.51
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 22:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.8565
[entry_price] => 0.851
[stop_loss] => 0.8468
[rr_ratio] => 1.31
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 23:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.309% | 0.9R | -1.508% | 4.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.309% | 0.9R | -1.508% | 4.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.444% | 1.4R | -1.508% | 4.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.578% | 7.8R | -1.508% | 4.6R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.672% | 8.1R | -1.508% | 4.6R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.