Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 10.66 TAO at 204.44$ per unit. Take profit: 205.9415 (0.73 %) & Stop Loss: 203.6893 (0.37 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 10.66 TAO at 204.44$ per unit. Take profit: 205.9415 (0.73 %) & Stop Loss: 203.6893 (0.37 %)
Position
Entry 204.44$
Qty 10.6563 TAO
Size 2178.5784$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 205.9415 (+0.73%)
TP $ 16$
SL 203.6893 (-0.37%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6885
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.30×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.50×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.458953 15m : 0.406182 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6077 | r1h: 0.267% · r4h: -0.246% · r1d: 3.68% · r3d: 7.28% · ema21_slope: 0.1170% · dist_ema21: 0.381% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5925 | rs_1h: 0.139% · rs_4h: -0.289% · rs_1d: 3.37% · rs_3d: 6.08% · beta_24h: 2.531 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1653 | rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.819 · trend: -35.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7245 | ADX: 41.5 (trend) · Chop: 53.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.011% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.161% | 0.4R | -1.052% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.161% | 0.4R | -1.781% | 4.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.533% | 1.5R | -1.781% | 4.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.533% | 1.5R | -1.781% | 4.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.533% | 1.5R | -1.781% | 4.9R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.55 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.69 | bull_medium | +1.47% | +0.51 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.55 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.98% | -0.04 | 09/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -2.4ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.37 | range_low | +0.25% | -0.07 | 09/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.676×ATR | p7 | +1.042×ATR | p81 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.991×ATR | p0 | +0.42×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.755×ATR | p13 | +0.047×ATR | p7 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.679×ATR | p9 | -0.644×ATR | p64 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65157.4
-0.00252322
64993
0.458953
65042
0.000445836
65071
0.406182
64880.3
0.00292337
65070
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
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210.67
192
0.5345
0.5476
0.3358
0.1799
0.4633
1
0.3205
0.4927
0.4297
0.369
0.5492
0.7181
0.021
0.0818
0.6667
-0.5198
1.1333
0.55
0.45
-1
11
1
0.6402
0.5357
3.289
0.5
1.0379
3.2959
1.1333
0.3228
0.369
0.58
-0.2685
0.3424
0.4144
0.7693
0.7181
-2.8295
7.2085
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:39 | 204.44000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:46 | 204.34000000 | -0.049% |
| 3 | 18:52 | 203.72000000 | -0.352% |
| 4 | 18:57 | 204.16000000 | -0.137% |
| 5 | 19:04 | 204.23000000 | -0.103% |
| 6 | 19:10 | 203.51000000 | -0.455% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 16:05:00 | 210.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:30:00 | 206.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:25:00 | 207.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:20:00 | 206.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:50:00 | 207.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:05:00 | 206.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:05:00 | 205.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:40:00 | 207.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:10:00 | 207.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:35:00 | 204.22 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 210.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 07:00:00 | 204.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 207.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 202.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:15:00 | 210.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:30:00 | 206.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 207.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:00:00 | 205.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 207.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:30:00 | 205.12 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:00:00 | 194.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 190.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 195.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 197.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 13:00:00 | 195.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 210.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 202.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 210.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 204.69 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204.44 | 203.6893 | 205.9415 | 2 | 192.41 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 203.6893 - 204.44 = -0.75069999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 204.44 - 205.9415 = -1.5015
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5015 / -0.75069999999999 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2178.5784 | 100 | 10.6563 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.75069999999999 = -10.66
Taille de position USD = -10.66 x 204.44 = -2179.33
Donc, tu peux acheter -10.66 avec un stoploss a 203.6893
Avec un position size USD de -2179.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10.66 x -0.75069999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10.66 x -1.5015 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.73 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4647 % | 126.55 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204.44 | 203.6893 | 205.9415 | 2 | 192.41 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 203.6893 - 204.44 = -0.75069999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 204.44 - 205.9415 = -1.5015
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5015 / -0.75069999999999 = 2.0001
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.161% | 0.4R | -1.052% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.161% | 0.4R | -1.781% | 4.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.533% | 1.5R | -1.781% | 4.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.533% | 1.5R | -1.781% | 4.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.533% | 1.5R | -1.781% | 4.9R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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