Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 122.77 VVV at 11.632$ per unit. Take profit: 11.7623 (1.12 %) & Stop Loss: 11.5668 (0.56 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 122.77 VVV at 11.632$ per unit. Take profit: 11.7623 (1.12 %) & Stop Loss: 11.5668 (0.56 %)
Position
Entry 11.632$
Qty 122.7688 VVV
Size 1428.0462$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 11.7623 (+1.12%)
TP $ 16$
SL 11.5668 (-0.56%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7857
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.08×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.41×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.85×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.232338 15m : 0.172902 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 18:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6033 | r1h: -0.447% · r4h: 0.349% · r1d: 5.15% · r3d: 3.78% · ema21_slope: 0.2601% · dist_ema21: 2.009% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5644 | rs_1h: -0.575% · rs_4h: 0.306% · rs_1d: 4.84% · rs_3d: 2.58% · beta_24h: -0.049 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5568 | rvol_20: 1.43× · zscore_50: 1.080 · trend: 52.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8401 | ADX: 40.8 (trend) · Chop: 24.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.327% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.181% | 0.3R | -0.688% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.954% | 1.7R | -0.696% | 1.2R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.771% | 3.2R | -0.696% | 1.2R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.946% | 7.0R | -0.696% | 1.2R | 5.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.837% | 10.4R | -0.696% | 1.2R | 8.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.21 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.47 | bull_medium | +1.47% | +0.21 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.46 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.98% | +0.47 | 09/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.25% | +0.05 | 09/08 18:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 14b | — | 3.382×ATR | p44 | +0.229×ATR | p25 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.795×ATR | p17 | +1.053×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 0.618×ATR | p0 | +0.385×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 16b | — | 3.343×ATR | p67 | -0.225×ATR | p26 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65156.4
-0.00303043
64959
0.232338
65042
0.000445836
65071
0.172902
64880.3
0.00292337
65070
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11.914
193
0.72
0.7083
0.2986
0.2144
0.3675
1
0.2143
0.5987
0.6428
0.928
0.7662
0.6032
0.1505
0.0834
1
0.6454
1.3528
0.45
0.55
1
6
1
0.5712
0.8037
2.9773
0.65
1.7934
3.1297
1.3528
0.0225
0.3477
0.88
0.9573
0.5249
0.484
0.968
0.6032
-2.3346
3.5484
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:41 | 11.63200000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:47 | 11.64100000 | +0.077% |
| 3 | 18:53 | 11.59600000 | -0.309% |
| 4 | 18:58 | 11.62200000 | -0.086% |
| 5 | 19:05 | 11.63500000 | +0.026% |
| 6 | 19:11 | 11.60500000 | -0.232% |
| 7 | 19:17 | 11.60300000 | -0.249% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 17:20:00 | 11.665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:50:00 | 11.646 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:20:00 | 12.103 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:15:00 | 11.754 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:40:00 | 11.932 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:00:00 | 11.882 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:25:00 | 11.723 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:35:00 | 11.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:10:00 | 11.842 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:40:00 | 11.632 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 11.244 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 09:30:00 | 11.162 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:45:00 | 11.697 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:45:00 | 11.727 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:15:00 | 11.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:15:00 | 11.914 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:45:00 | 11.646 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 12.103 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:15:00 | 11.754 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:30:00 | 11.704 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 11.553 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 11.285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 11.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 11.433 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 11.816 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 23:00:00 | 11.268 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 07:00:00 | 11.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:00:00 | 11.373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 02:00:00 | 11.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:00:00 | 12.103 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.632 | 11.5668 | 11.7623 | 2 | 13.278 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.5668 - 11.632 = -0.065199999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.632 - 11.7623 = -0.1303
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1303 / -0.065199999999999 = 1.9985
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1428.0462 | 100 | 122.7688 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.065199999999999 = -122.7
Taille de position USD = -122.7 x 11.632 = -1427.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -122.7 avec un stoploss a 11.5668
Avec un position size USD de -1427.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -122.7 x -0.065199999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -122.7 x -0.1303 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.12 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.56 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.619 % | 110.44 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.632 | 11.5668 | 11.7623 | 2 | 13.278 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.5668 - 11.632 = -0.065199999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.632 - 11.7623 = -0.1303
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1303 / -0.065199999999999 = 1.9985
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.181% | 0.3R | -0.688% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.954% | 1.7R | -0.696% | 1.2R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.771% | 3.2R | -0.696% | 1.2R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.946% | 7.0R | -0.696% | 1.2R | 5.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.837% | 10.4R | -0.696% | 1.2R | 8.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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