Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 25928.57 XPL at 0.0777$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07834 (0.8 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07741 (0.4 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 25928.57 XPL at 0.0777$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07834 (0.8 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07741 (0.4 %)
Position
Entry 0.07772$
Qty 25928.5668 XPL
Size 2015.246$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07834 (+0.8%)
TP $ 16.08$
SL 0.07741 (-0.4%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7347
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.90×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.99×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.34×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.42481 15m : 0.410688 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 18:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5479 | r1h: -0.526% · r4h: -0.057% · r1d: 2.28% · r3d: 3.72% · ema21_slope: 0.1330% · dist_ema21: 1.047% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5162 | rs_1h: -0.653% · rs_4h: -0.100% · rs_1d: 1.97% · rs_3d: 2.51% · beta_24h: 1.775 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 3.57× · zscore_50: 3.324 · trend: 113.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7165 | ADX: 26.0 (trend) · Chop: 33.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.814% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.616% | 4.1R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.021% | 5.1R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.561% | 3.9R | -2.021% | 5.1R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.676% | 6.7R | -2.021% | 5.1R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.155% | 10.4R | -2.021% | 5.1R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 33% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -2.57% | -0.65 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.39 | bull_medium | +1.47% | +0.40 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.48 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.98% | +0.28 | 09/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.25% | +0.03 | 09/08 18:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 6.958×ATR | p85 | +0.323×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 2.544×ATR | p32 | +1.044×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.071×ATR | p0 | +0.753×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.642×ATR | p3 | +0.258×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65156.6
-0.00289503
64968
0.42481
65042
0.000445836
65071
0.410688
64880.3
0.00292337
65070
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197
0.7376
0.5415
0.3528
0.241
0.4442
1
0.2812
0.5857
0.6984
0.928
0.5883
0.7681
0.1409
0.0907
1
0.6279
1.5759
0.65
0.35
1
2
1
0.5179
0.3312
6.1355
0.55
1.9751
6.8987
1.5759
0.1523
0.3296
0.88
0.371
0.5192
0.4833
0.9013
0.7681
-2.7107
8.9766
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:41 | 0.07772300 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 18:47 | 0.07765200 | -0.087% |
| 3 | 18:53 | 0.07753500 | -0.238% |
| 4 | 18:59 | 0.07749800 | -0.286% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 16:40:00 | 0.078211 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:50:00 | 0.077835 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:05:00 | 0.078898 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:40:00 | 0.078211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:05:00 | 0.078731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:05:00 | 0.078381 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:15:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:05:00 | 0.078032 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:10:00 | 0.078935 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:35:00 | 0.077704 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 08:45:00 | 0.0759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:45:00 | 0.07676 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 0.076216 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:15:00 | 0.078561 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:45:00 | 0.077835 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:00:00 | 0.078898 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:15:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:00:00 | 0.078032 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 0.078935 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:30:00 | 0.078107 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.076298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 21:00:00 | 0.074439 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 0.07169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.079857 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.074757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 0.076753 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 02:00:00 | 0.075211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 15:00:00 | 0.077499 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.075535 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07772 | 0.07741 | 0.07834 | 2 | 0.076 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07741 - 0.07772 = -0.00030999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07772 - 0.07834 = -0.00062000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00062000000000001 / -0.00030999999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.246 | 100 | 25928.5668 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00030999999999999 = -25806.45
Taille de position USD = -25806.45 x 0.07772 = -2005.68
Donc, tu peux acheter -25806.45 avec un stoploss a 0.07741
Avec un position size USD de -2005.68$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -25806.45 x -0.00030999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -25806.45 x -0.00062000000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.8 % | 16.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.04 $ | -0.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5764 % | 144.5 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07772 | 0.07741 | 0.07834 | 2 | 0.076 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07741 - 0.07772 = -0.00030999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07772 - 0.07834 = -0.00062000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00062000000000001 / -0.00030999999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.616% | 4.1R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.021% | 5.1R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.561% | 3.9R | -2.021% | 5.1R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.676% | 6.7R | -2.021% | 5.1R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.155% | 10.4R | -2.021% | 5.1R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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