Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 5.39 ZEC at 514.87$ per unit. Take profit: 517.8405 (0.58 %) & Stop Loss: 513.3847 (0.29 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 5.39 ZEC at 514.87$ per unit. Take profit: 517.8405 (0.58 %) & Stop Loss: 513.3847 (0.29 %)
Position
Entry 514.87$
Qty 5.3863 ZEC
Size 2773.2388$ (margin 100$) (leverage 28)
Risk Setup
TP 517.8405 (+0.58%)
TP $ 16$
SL 513.3847 (-0.29%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5192
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.32×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.83×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.468445 15m : 0.330611 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 09/08 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5861 | r1h: 0.267% · r4h: 0.555% · r1d: 1.45% · r3d: 4.56% · ema21_slope: 0.0923% · dist_ema21: 0.286% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5588 | rs_1h: 0.140% · rs_4h: 0.512% · rs_1d: 1.14% · rs_3d: 3.36% · beta_24h: 1.107 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2741 | rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: -0.248 · trend: -16.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6015 | ADX: 17.8 (weak) · Chop: 44.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.689% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.045% | 0.2R | -0.983% | 3.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.254% | 0.9R | -1.301% | 4.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.254% | 0.9R | -1.723% | 6.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.254% | 0.9R | -1.828% | 6.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.254% | 0.9R | -2.243% | 7.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -2.57% | -0.49 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.65 | bull_medium | +1.47% | +0.40 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.61 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.98% | +0.05 | 09/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.35 | range_low | +0.25% | +0.03 | 09/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 2.293×ATR | p0 | +0.537×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.391×ATR | p23 | +0.41×ATR | p42 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.578×ATR | p8 | +0.327×ATR | p31 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.538×ATR | p0 | +0.383×ATR | p36 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65156.6
-0.00289503
64968
0.468445
65042
0.000445836
65071
0.330611
64880.3
0.00292337
65070
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513.8
194
0.5298
0.5695
0.3234
0.2278
0.4017
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0.2023
0.5262
0.4368
0.4397
0.625
0.6717
-0.0039
0.0413
0.6667
-0.2735
0.7017
0.6
0.4
-1
5
1
0.5444
0.5989
3.1248
0.5
2.0751
3.1598
0.7017
0.1661
0.2979
0.46
-0.0544
0.5099
0.4994
0.5208
0.6717
-3.5103
7.1813
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:41 | 514.87000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:48 | 513.52000000 | -0.262% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 16:25:00 | 515.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:45:00 | 518.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:55:00 | 513.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:25:00 | 516.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:40:00 | 514.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:40:00 | 516.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 514.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:15:00 | 514.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:10:00 | 520.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:40:00 | 514.66 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 01:45:00 | 515.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:45:00 | 510.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 513.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 06:00:00 | 508.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:00:00 | 528.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 520.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:15:00 | 527.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:45:00 | 513.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:15:00 | 514.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 520.93 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 507.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 498.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 517.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:00:00 | 508.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 497.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 00:00:00 | 505.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 515.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 10:00:00 | 528.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 513.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 520.93 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514.87 | 513.3847 | 517.8405 | 2 | 515.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 513.3847 - 514.87 = -1.4853000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 514.87 - 517.8405 = -2.9705
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.9705 / -1.4853000000001 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2773.2388 | 100 | 5.3863 | 28.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.4853000000001 = -5.39
Taille de position USD = -5.39 x 514.87 = -2775.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -5.39 avec un stoploss a 513.3847
Avec un position size USD de -2775.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5.39 x -1.4853000000001 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5.39 x -2.9705 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.29 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5108 % | 177.05 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514.87 | 513.3847 | 517.8405 | 2 | 515.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 513.3847 - 514.87 = -1.4853000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 514.87 - 517.8405 = -2.9705
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.9705 / -1.4853000000001 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.045% | 0.2R | -0.983% | 3.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.254% | 0.9R | -1.301% | 4.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.254% | 0.9R | -1.723% | 6.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.254% | 0.9R | -1.828% | 6.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.254% | 0.9R | -2.243% | 7.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
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