Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 208116.55 PENGU at 0.00646$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006534 (1.19 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006419 (0.59 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 208116.55 PENGU at 0.00646$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006534 (1.19 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006419 (0.59 %)
Position
Entry 0.006457$
Qty 208116.5453 PENGU
Size 1343.8085$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006534 (+1.19%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.006419 (-0.59%)
SL $ 7.91$
RR 2.03
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8347
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.56×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.63×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.211732 15m : 0.335924 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 19:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.642% | 2.8R | -0.372% | 0.6R | 4.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.044% | 3.5R | -0.372% | 0.6R | 5.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.819% | 4.8R | -0.372% | 0.6R | 7.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.569% | 7.8R | -0.372% | 0.6R | 12.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.569% | 7.8R | -0.372% | 0.6R | 12.3× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.49 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | bull_medium | +1.18% | +0.46 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.48 | range_low | +0.36% | +0.25 | 09/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_medium |
34%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.30% | -0.17 | 09/08 19:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 2.903×ATR | p12 | +1.295×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.795×ATR | p34 | +0.691×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.325×ATR | p33 | -0.53×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 4.807×ATR | p79 | -2.144×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65128.5
-0.00446093
64838
0.211732
65022.8
-0.00284352
64838
0.335924
64878.5
-0.000718238
64832
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0.006709
197
0.7419
0.7005
0.3882
0.2342
0.5142
0.4176
0.5468
0.7327
0.6978
0.928
0.7264
0.584
0.1253
0.0998
1
0.1158
1.3596
0.6
0.4
1
6
1
0.5316
0.6455
7.6465
0.6
0.4176
1.557
1.3596
0.8937
0.2814
0.88
0.6705
0.6194
0.5368
0.7754
0.584
-3.9428
5.5352
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:34 | 0.00645700 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:40 | 0.00645700 | 0% |
| 3 | 19:46 | 0.00645300 | -0.062% |
| 4 | 19:51 | 0.00644500 | -0.186% |
| 5 | 19:57 | 0.00643500 | -0.341% |
| 6 | 20:04 | 0.00645400 | -0.046% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 18:50:00 | 0.006627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:10:00 | 0.006567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:25:00 | 0.006635 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:10:00 | 0.006596 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:25:00 | 0.006649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:05:00 | 0.006613 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:30:00 | 0.006709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 0.006632 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:10:00 | 0.006687 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:30:00 | 0.006435 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 04:30:00 | 0.00635 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:30:00 | 0.006285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:45:00 | 0.006374 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 0.006298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:45:00 | 0.006407 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:30:00 | 0.006341 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 0.006907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:00:00 | 0.006567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:30:00 | 0.006709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:30:00 | 0.006435 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 0.00608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.006206 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 21:00:00 | 0.005919 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.006097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.005948 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 0.006312 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 0.006417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.006239 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 0.006907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 0.006487 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006457 | 0.006419 | 0.006534 | 2.03 | 0.006071 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006419 - 0.006457 = -3.8E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006457 - 0.006534 = -7.7E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.7E-5 / -3.8E-5 = 2.0263
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1343.8085 | 100 | 208116.5453 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.8E-5 = -210526.32
Taille de position USD = -210526.32 x 0.006457 = -1359.37
Donc, tu peux acheter -210526.32 avec un stoploss a 0.006419
Avec un position size USD de -1359.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -210526.32 x -3.8E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -210526.32 x -7.7E-5 = 16.21
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.21$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.19 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.59 % | 7.91 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 1.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3717 % | 63.16 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006457 | 0.006419 | 0.006534 | 2.03 | 0.006071 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006419 - 0.006457 = -3.8E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006457 - 0.006534 = -7.7E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.7E-5 / -3.8E-5 = 2.0263
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(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.642% | 2.8R | -0.372% | 0.6R | 4.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.044% | 3.5R | -0.372% | 0.6R | 5.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.819% | 4.8R | -0.372% | 0.6R | 7.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.569% | 7.8R | -0.372% | 0.6R | 12.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.569% | 7.8R | -0.372% | 0.6R | 12.3× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
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