Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 23482.45 XPL at 0.0766$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07724 (0.89 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07622 (0.44 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 23482.45 XPL at 0.0766$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07724 (0.89 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07622 (0.44 %)
Position
Entry 0.07656$
Qty 23482.4469 XPL
Size 1797.8631$ (margin 100$) (leverage 18)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07724 (+0.89%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 0.07622 (-0.44%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6949
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.34×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.12×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.34×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.030184 15m : 0.494249 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 19:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.399% | 3.2R | -0.537% | 1.2R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.541% | 5.7R | -0.537% | 1.2R | 4.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.350% | 7.5R | -0.537% | 1.2R | 6.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.685% | 10.6R | -0.537% | 1.2R | 8.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.733% | 12.9R | -0.537% | 1.2R | 10.7× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 33% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -2.57% | -0.65 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.3ATR | near -0.1ATR | 0.39 | bull_medium | +1.18% | +0.28 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | +0.36% | +0.15 | 09/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.30% | -0.14 | 09/08 19:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 6.958×ATR | p85 | +0.323×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 1.619×ATR | p0 | +0.151×ATR | p21 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 3.166×ATR | p60 | -0.838×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 4.763×ATR | p95 | -1.688×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65128.5
-0.00446093
64838
0.030184
65022.8
-0.00284352
64838
0.494249
64878.5
-0.000718238
64832
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0.079414
196
0.6454
0.524
0.3587
0.2592
0.44
1
0.1743
0.5809
0.6984
0.94
0.6029
0.6738
0.0815
0.0661
0.6667
-0.3461
0.4589
0.65
0.35
1
3
1
0.4815
0.3312
6.1355
0.5
1.9751
6.8986
0.4589
0.1523
0.293
0.9
0.3846
0.5593
0.4784
0.8958
0.6738
-3.6152
7.4686
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:35 | 0.07656200 | +0.003% |
| 2 | 19:40 | 0.07669000 | +0.17% |
| 3 | 19:47 | 0.07675300 | +0.252% |
| 4 | 19:52 | 0.07677900 | +0.286% |
| 5 | 19:58 | 0.07660600 | +0.06% |
| 6 | 20:05 | 0.07659900 | +0.051% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 16:40:00 | 0.078211 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:50:00 | 0.077835 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:05:00 | 0.078898 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:40:00 | 0.078211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:05:00 | 0.078731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:05:00 | 0.078381 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:15:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:05:00 | 0.078032 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:10:00 | 0.078935 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:30:00 | 0.076464 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 08:45:00 | 0.0759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:45:00 | 0.07676 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 0.076216 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:15:00 | 0.078561 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:45:00 | 0.077835 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:00:00 | 0.078898 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:15:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:00:00 | 0.078032 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 0.078935 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:30:00 | 0.076464 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 21:00:00 | 0.074439 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 0.07169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.079857 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.074757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 0.076753 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 02:00:00 | 0.075211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 15:00:00 | 0.077499 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.075535 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 0.077139 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07656 | 0.07622 | 0.07724 | 2 | 0.07706 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07622 - 0.07656 = -0.00034000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07656 - 0.07724 = -0.00068
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00068 / -0.00034000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1797.8631 | 100 | 23482.4469 | 18.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00034000000000001 = -23529.41
Taille de position USD = -23529.41 x 0.07656 = -1801.41
Donc, tu peux acheter -23529.41 avec un stoploss a 0.07622
Avec un position size USD de -1801.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -23529.41 x -0.00034000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -23529.41 x -0.00068 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.89 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.44 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -0.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5368 % | 120.87 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07656 | 0.07622 | 0.07724 | 2 | 0.07706 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07622 - 0.07656 = -0.00034000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07656 - 0.07724 = -0.00068
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00068 / -0.00034000000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.399% | 3.2R | -0.537% | 1.2R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.541% | 5.7R | -0.537% | 1.2R | 4.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.350% | 7.5R | -0.537% | 1.2R | 6.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.685% | 10.6R | -0.537% | 1.2R | 8.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.733% | 12.9R | -0.537% | 1.2R | 10.7× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
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