Short Trade on NEAR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 380.55 NEAR at 1.601$ per unit. Take profit: 1.548 (3.29 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6216 (1.31 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 20:08:05
hyperliquid
NEAR
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 20:08
→ 21:50
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 1.6006$
Qty 380.553 NEAR
Size 609.1131$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 1.548 (+3.29%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 1.6216 (-1.31%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.31%
/ -7.99$
MAE -4.22%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
10 Aug 08:07
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63981)
#31 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 20:00
score du 09/08/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4497
Quality Score
0.5
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 20:01
09/08 20:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#31 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#31 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.04×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.37×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.06×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.312%
(0.0210)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.250% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.549% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.743% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.217% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.217% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.644% | 0.5R | -4.217% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -2.57% | -0.95 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.63 | bull_medium | +1.18% | -0.40 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.52 | range_low | +0.19% | -0.12 | 09/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 55% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.24% | -0.23 | 09/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 25b | — | 5.552×ATR | p75 | -0.302×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 1.365×ATR | p0 | -0.29×ATR | p36 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 3.364×ATR | p79 | -1.749×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 6.671×ATR | p100 | -2.522×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8708
- reason: down_bo width=1.71×ATR dur=31b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.62162204
- tp_price: 1.54804489
- atr:
- score: 0.87082846290993
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T12:07:57.305027
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.87082846290993
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0921
- obi_top10 : 0.0921
- micro_price : 1.59959819
- spread_pct : 0.006252
- mid_price : 1.59955
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0861
- obi_top5_std : 0.0115
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7124
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.632
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.6085
- balance_zone_mid:
1.62025
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786212000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786320000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.7128
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
31
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8708
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786316400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.6085
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6774
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.5758
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.01372043 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.6774
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5758
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:08 | 1.60060000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:14 | 1.60060000 | 0% |
| 3 | 20:38 | 1.60640000 | +0.362% |
| 4 | 20:44 | 1.60640000 | +0.362% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7124ms
Confidence avant OB :
87%
→
87%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.092
avg 0.086
± 0.012
OBI Top 10
0.092
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.5996
Micro Price
1.5996
Spread
0.0063%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6006 | 1.6216 | 1.548 | 2.5 | 1.6147 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.6006
- Stop Loss: 1.6216
- Take Profit: 1.548
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6216 - 1.6006 = 0.021
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6006 - 1.548 = 0.0526
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0526 / 0.021 = 2.5048
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 609.1131 | 100 | 380.553 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.021
Taille de position = 8 / 0.021 = 380.95
Taille de position USD = 380.95 x 1.6006 = 609.75
Donc, tu peux acheter 380.95 avec un stoploss a 1.6216
Avec un position size USD de 609.75$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 380.95 x 0.021 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 380.95 x 0.0526 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position 380.95
- Taille de position USD 609.75
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5048
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.29 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.31 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -1.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5494 % | 118.09 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6006 | 1.6216 | 1.548 | 2.5 | 1.6147 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.6006
- Stop Loss: 1.6216
- Take Profit: 1.548
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6216 - 1.6006 = 0.021
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6006 - 1.548 = 0.0526
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0526 / 0.021 = 2.5048
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.548
[entry_price] => 1.6006
[stop_loss] => 1.6237
[rr_ratio] => 2.28
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 01:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.548
[entry_price] => 1.6006
[stop_loss] => 1.6258
[rr_ratio] => 2.09
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 03:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.548
[entry_price] => 1.6006
[stop_loss] => 1.6279
[rr_ratio] => 1.93
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 03:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.548
[entry_price] => 1.6006
[stop_loss] => 1.6321
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 05:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.312%
(0.0210)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.250% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.549% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.743% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.217% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.217% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.644% | 0.5R | -4.217% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
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