Short Trade on NEO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 386.76 NEO at 1.833$ per unit. Take profit: 1.7809 (2.82 %) & Stop Loss: 1.8533 (1.13 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 20:08:19
hyperliquid
NEO
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 20:08
→ 08:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.8326$
Qty 386.7649 NEO
Size 708.7854$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 1.7809 (+2.82%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.8533 (-1.13%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.16%
/ +1.16$
MAE -0.76%
MFE +0.60%
0.5R
expires
10 Aug 08:08
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63982)
#32 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 20:00
score du 09/08/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4822
Quality Score
0.5
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 20:01
09/08 20:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#32 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#32 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.18×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.30×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 09/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.130%
(0.0207)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.207% | 0.2R | -0.764% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.273% | 0.2R | -0.764% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.437% | 0.4R | -0.764% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.437% | 0.4R | -0.764% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.600% | 0.5R | -0.764% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.487% | 3.1R | -0.764% | 0.7R | 4.6× | 288 |
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.73
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.72 | bear_high | -2.57% | -0.67 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
45%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.18% | -0.10 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.51 | range_low | +0.19% | -0.14 | 09/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_low |
45%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.24% | -0.07 | 09/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 21b | — | 3.101×ATR | p19 | -0.067×ATR | p7 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 0.784×ATR | p0 | -0.196×ATR | p23 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.795×ATR | p17 | -0.609×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 5.701×ATR | p100 | -3.162×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.5909
- reason: down_bo width=1.00×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 1.8532844
- tp_price: 1.78088901
- atr:
- score: 0.69087228727696
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T12:08:11.516987
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.69087228727696
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2297
- obi_top10 : 0.2434
- micro_price : 1.83274811
- spread_pct : 0.163934
- mid_price : 1.8315
- bid_wall_price : 1.8
- bid_wall_size : 31742.27
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 1.85
- ask_wall_size : 24416.59
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2267
- obi_top5_std : 0.0027
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6908
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.8595
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.84395
- balance_zone_mid:
1.851725
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786165200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786320000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
0.9972
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6909
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786312800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.84395
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6818
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7278
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
16
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.01559397 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.6818
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7278
Signaux confirmants (29)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:08 | 1.83260000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:14 | 1.83260000 | 0% |
| 3 | 21:08 | 1.83340000 | +0.044% |
| 4 | 21:14 | 1.83340000 | +0.044% |
| 5 | 21:20 | 1.83230000 | -0.016% |
| 6 | 21:26 | 1.83230000 | -0.016% |
| 7 | 21:32 | 1.83230000 | -0.016% |
| 8 | 21:38 | 1.83050000 | -0.115% |
| 9 | 21:44 | 1.83050000 | -0.115% |
| 10 | 22:08 | 1.83340000 | +0.044% |
| 11 | 22:14 | 1.83340000 | +0.044% |
| 12 | 22:20 | 1.83090000 | -0.093% |
| 13 | 22:26 | 1.83090000 | -0.093% |
| 14 | 22:32 | 1.83090000 | -0.093% |
| 15 | 22:38 | 1.82610000 | -0.355% |
| 16 | 22:44 | 1.82610000 | -0.355% |
| 17 | 22:50 | 1.83390000 | +0.071% |
| 18 | 22:56 | 1.83390000 | +0.071% |
| 19 | 23:03 | 1.83390000 | +0.071% |
| 20 | 23:08 | 1.83530000 | +0.147% |
| 21 | 23:14 | 1.83530000 | +0.147% |
| 22 | 23:20 | 1.83020000 | -0.131% |
| 23 | 23:26 | 1.83020000 | -0.131% |
| 24 | 23:32 | 1.83020000 | -0.131% |
| 25 | 23:38 | 1.83280000 | +0.011% |
| 26 | 23:44 | 1.83280000 | +0.011% |
| 27 | 23:50 | 1.83090000 | -0.093% |
| 28 | 23:56 | 1.83090000 | -0.093% |
| 29 | 00:03 | 1.83090000 | -0.093% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6908ms
Confidence avant OB :
69%
→
59%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.230
avg 0.227
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
0.243
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.8315
Micro Price
1.8327
Spread
0.1639%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.8000
Size
31,742.27
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
1.8500
Size
24,416.59
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8326 | 1.8533 | 1.7809 | 2.5 | 1.6728 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.8326
- Stop Loss: 1.8533
- Take Profit: 1.7809
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.8533 - 1.8326 = 0.0207
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.8326 - 1.7809 = 0.0517
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0517 / 0.0207 = 2.4976
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 708.7854 | 100 | 386.7649 | 7.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0207
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0207 = 386.47
Taille de position USD = 386.47 x 1.8326 = 708.24
Donc, tu peux acheter 386.47 avec un stoploss a 1.8533
Avec un position size USD de 708.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 386.47 x 0.0207 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 386.47 x 0.0517 = 19.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.98$
Résumé
- Taille de position 386.47
- Taille de position USD 708.24
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.98
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4976
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.82 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.13 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.16 $ | 0.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7639 % | 67.63 % | 28 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8326 | 1.8533 | 1.7809 | 2.5 | 1.6728 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.8326
- Stop Loss: 1.8533
- Take Profit: 1.7809
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.8533 - 1.8326 = 0.0207
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.8326 - 1.7809 = 0.0517
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0517 / 0.0207 = 2.4976
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.130%
(0.0207)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.207% | 0.2R | -0.764% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.273% | 0.2R | -0.764% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.437% | 0.4R | -0.764% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.437% | 0.4R | -0.764% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.600% | 0.5R | -0.764% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.487% | 3.1R | -0.764% | 0.7R | 4.6× | 288 |
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
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