Short Trade on SAGA

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09 Aug 2026 at 20:10:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SAGA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 5113.23 SAGA at 0.0149$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01454 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01647 (10.46 %)

SAGA SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 20:10 → 20:35 · 24 minutes

Position

Entry 0.01491$

Qty 5113.226 SAGA

Size 76.2382$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.01454 (+2.48%)

TP $ 1.89$

SL 0.01647 (-10.46%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.24

Status win PnL +2.48% / +1.89$ MAE -3.82% MFE +2.68% 0.3R expires 10 Aug 02:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 63991)

#44 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2251

Quality Score

0.3

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 20:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#44 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

10.46 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#44 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

10.46 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.49×ATR
4h	clear	1.16×ATR
1d	clear	1.00×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 20:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 20:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 09/08 19:00 Score : +1 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

08/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

09/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

09/08 19:00

Score : +1 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -10.463% (0.0016)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.683%	0.3R	-0.805%	0.1R	3.3×	12
2h	+2.683%	0.3R	-0.805%	0.1R	3.3×	24
4h	+2.683%	0.3R	-2.146%	0.2R	1.3×	48
6h ★	+2.683%	0.3R	-3.823%	0.4R	0.7×	72
8h	+2.683%	0.3R	-3.823%	0.4R	0.7×	96
12h	+2.683%	0.3R	-4.091%	0.4R	0.7×	144

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 3.05

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	—	0.34	bear_high	-2.57%	+0.97	08/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.33	bull_medium	+1.18%	+0.72	09/08 16:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	range_high	34%	choppy 54%	late	near -0.5ATR	—	0.04	range_low	+0.19%	-0.96	09/08 19:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 50%	early	near 0.4ATR	—	-0.05	range_low	-0.24%	-0.39	09/08 19:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	11b	—	2.447×ATR	p0	+0.995×ATR	p84
4h	↓ down	late	4b	—	6.67×ATR	p91	-0.417×ATR	p51
1h	↓ down	late	18b	—	11.115×ATR	p100	-1.092×ATR	p78
15m	↓ down	early	6b	—	2.164×ATR	p28	-0.624×ATR	p47

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.01647457
tp_price: 0.01453725
atr: 0.00062583
expires_at: 2026-08-10T06:10:08+00:00

Details

rank: 45
total: 45
score: 0.294
delta_2h: -0.0444
extension_atr: -1.1
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2251
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.01491	0.01647	0.01454	0.24	0.01299

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.01491
Stop Loss: 0.01647
Take Profit: 0.01454

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.01647 - 0.01491 = 0.00156
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.01491 - 0.01454 = 0.00037
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00037 / 0.00156 = 0.2372

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
76.2382	76.2382	5113.226	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00156

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00156 = 5128.21

Taille de position USD = 5128.21 x 0.01491 = 76.46

Donc, tu peux acheter 5128.21 avec un stoploss a 0.01647

Avec un position size USD de 76.46$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5128.21 x 0.00156 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5128.21 x 0.00037 = 1.9

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.9$

Résumé

Taille de position 5128.21
Taille de position USD 76.46
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 1.9
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2372

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.48 %	1.89 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
10.46 %	7.98 $

PNL	PNL %
1.89 $	2.48

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.8048 %	7.69 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.01491	0.01647	0.01454	0.24	0.01299

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.01491
Stop Loss: 0.01647
Take Profit: 0.01454

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.01647 - 0.01491 = 0.00156
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.01491 - 0.01454 = 0.00037
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00037 / 0.00156 = 0.2372

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -10.463% (0.0016)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.683%	0.3R	-0.805%	0.1R	3.3×	12
2h	+2.683%	0.3R	-0.805%	0.1R	3.3×	24
4h	+2.683%	0.3R	-2.146%	0.2R	1.3×	48
6h ★	+2.683%	0.3R	-3.823%	0.4R	0.7×	72
8h	+2.683%	0.3R	-3.823%	0.4R	0.7×	96
12h	+2.683%	0.3R	-4.091%	0.4R	0.7×	144

computed 4 days ago

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