Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 120754.72 kBONK at 0.00242$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002357 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002483 (2.73 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 20:10:08
hyperliquid
kBONK
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 20:10
→ 21:10
· 59 minutes
Position
Entry 0.002417$
Qty 120754.717 kBONK
Size 291.8642$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002357 (+2.48%)
TP $ 7.25$
SL 0.002483 (-2.73%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.91
Status
loss
PnL
-1.16%
/ -3.38$
MAE -1.61%
MFE +0.21%
0.1R
expires
09 Aug 21:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=33 <= threshold=34/44
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63983)
#42 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 20:00
score du 09/08/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1823
Quality Score
0.4
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 20:01
09/08 20:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#42 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#42 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 09/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.731%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -1.283% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.207% | 0.1R | -1.614% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -2.772% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -3.641% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -3.641% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -3.641% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.11
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -2.57% | -0.98 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bull_medium | +1.18% | -0.83 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.40 | range_low | +0.19% | -0.24 | 09/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.24% | -0.23 | 09/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 12.785×ATR | p92 | -1.041×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 0.841×ATR | p0 | -0.548×ATR | p55 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3.543×ATR | p83 | -2.134×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 6.278×ATR | p96 | -2.663×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00248325
- tp_price: 0.00235657
- atr: 2.65E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T06:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 44
- total: 45
- score: 0.2944
- delta_2h: -0.1243
- extension_atr: -2.3
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1823
- confidence: 0.977
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002417 | 0.002483 | 0.002357 | 0.91 | 0.002364 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002417
- Stop Loss: 0.002483
- Take Profit: 0.002357
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002483 - 0.002417 = 6.6E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002417 - 0.002357 = 6.0E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.0E-5 / 6.6E-5 = 0.9091
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 291.8642 | 100 | 120754.717 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 6.6E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 6.6E-5 = 121212.12
Taille de position USD = 121212.12 x 0.002417 = 292.97
Donc, tu peux acheter 121212.12 avec un stoploss a 0.002483
Avec un position size USD de 292.97$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 121212.12 x 6.6E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 121212.12 x 6.0E-5 = 7.27
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.27$
Résumé
- Taille de position 121212.12
- Taille de position USD 292.97
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.27
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9091
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 7.25 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.73 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.38 $ | -1.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2826 % | 46.97 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002417 | 0.002483 | 0.002357 | 0.91 | 0.002364 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002417
- Stop Loss: 0.002483
- Take Profit: 0.002357
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002483 - 0.002417 = 6.6E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002417 - 0.002357 = 6.0E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.0E-5 / 6.6E-5 = 0.9091
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.002357
[entry_price] => 0.002417
[stop_loss] => 0.0024896
[rr_ratio] => 0.83
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 02:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.002357
[entry_price] => 0.002417
[stop_loss] => 0.0024962
[rr_ratio] => 0.76
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 02:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.002357
[entry_price] => 0.002417
[stop_loss] => 0.0025028
[rr_ratio] => 0.7
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 03:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.731%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -1.283% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.207% | 0.1R | -1.614% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -2.772% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -3.641% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -3.641% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -3.641% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
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