Long Trade on PENGU (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 33919.86 PENGU at 0.00654$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006699 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0063 (3.61 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 21:10:05
hyperliquid
PENGU
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 21:10
→ 01:55
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.006536$
Qty 33919.8643 PENGU
Size 221.7002$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006699 (+2.49%)
TP $ 5.53$
SL 0.0063 (-3.61%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.69
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +5.53$
MAE -0.43%
MFE +3.04%
0.8R
expires
10 Aug 03:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64038)
#7 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 21:00
score du 09/08/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8400
Quality Score
0.7
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 21:02
09/08 21:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#7 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.59×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.27×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 20:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.611%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.576% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.576% | 0.4R | -0.138% | 0.0R | 11.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.576% | 0.4R | -0.428% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.045% | 0.8R | -0.428% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.305% | 0.9R | -0.428% | 0.1R | 7.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.458% | 1.0R | -0.428% | 0.1R | 8.1× | 144 |
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.34
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.42% | +0.51 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.00% | +0.58 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.47 | range_low | +0.11% | +0.30 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.33 | range_low | -0.30% | -0.15 | 09/08 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.656×ATR | p6 | +0.936×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.844×ATR | p34 | +0.593×ATR | p58 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.809×ATR | p10 | -0.084×ATR | p8 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.403×ATR | p4 | -0.333×ATR | p29 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00630015
- tp_price: 0.0066994
- atr: 9.434E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T07:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 7
- total: 44
- score: 0.6527
- delta_2h: 0.0148
- extension_atr: 0.48
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.84
- confidence: 0.86
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:10 | 0.00653600 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:10 | 0.00656300 | +0.413% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006536 | 0.0063 | 0.006699 | 0.69 | 0.00607 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.006536
- Stop Loss: 0.0063
- Take Profit: 0.006699
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0063 - 0.006536 = -0.000236
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006536 - 0.006699 = -0.000163
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000163 / -0.000236 = 0.6907
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 221.7002 | 100 | 33919.8643 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000236
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000236 = -33898.31
Taille de position USD = -33898.31 x 0.006536 = -221.56
Donc, tu peux acheter -33898.31 avec un stoploss a 0.0063
Avec un position size USD de -221.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -33898.31 x -0.000236 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -33898.31 x -0.000163 = 5.53
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.53$
Résumé
- Taille de position -33898.31
- Taille de position USD -221.56
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.53
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6907
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 5.53 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.61 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.53 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4284 % | 11.86 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006536 | 0.0063 | 0.006699 | 0.69 | 0.00607 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.006536
- Stop Loss: 0.0063
- Take Profit: 0.006699
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0063 - 0.006536 = -0.000236
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006536 - 0.006699 = -0.000163
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000163 / -0.000236 = 0.6907
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.611%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.576% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.576% | 0.4R | -0.138% | 0.0R | 11.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.576% | 0.4R | -0.428% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.045% | 0.8R | -0.428% | 0.1R | 7.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.305% | 0.9R | -0.428% | 0.1R | 7.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.458% | 1.0R | -0.428% | 0.1R | 8.1× | 144 |
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
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