Short Trade on KAITO

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09 Aug 2026 at 21:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 176.46 KAITO at 0.686$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6687 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7312 (6.62 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 21:10 → 01:40 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.6858$

Qty 176.4583 KAITO

Size 121.0204$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.6687 (+2.49%)

TP $ 3.02$

SL 0.7312 (-6.62%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.38

Status win PnL +2.49% / +3.02$ MAE -3.26% MFE +2.88% 0.4R expires 10 Aug 03:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64041)

#42 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0296

Quality Score

0.4

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

20.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 21:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#42 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+5 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.62 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#42 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+5 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.62 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	near	0.47×ATR
1d	near	-0.12×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 21:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 21:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 09/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 09/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

09/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

09/08 20:00

Score : +6 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.620% (0.0454)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.629%	0.1R	-1.944%	0.3R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.629%	0.1R	-3.256%	0.5R	0.2×	24
4h	+2.454%	0.4R	-3.256%	0.5R	0.8×	48
6h ★	+2.884%	0.4R	-3.256%	0.5R	0.9×	72
8h	+4.183%	0.6R	-3.256%	0.5R	1.3×	96
12h	+4.697%	0.7R	-3.256%	0.5R	1.4×	144

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.84

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	51%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	near -0.1ATR	—	0.38	bear_high	-2.42%	-1.00	09/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 50%	late	near 0.5ATR	—	0.00	bull_medium	+1.00%	-0.99	09/08 20:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	—	—	-0.10	range_low	+0.11%	+0.07	09/08 20:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	range_high	42%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.04	range_low	-0.30%	+0.37	09/08 20:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	12b	—	5.652×ATR	p72	-0.991×ATR	p79
4h	↓ down	late	50b	—	14.131×ATR	p100	-0.4×ATR	p41
1h	↑ up	mid	4b	—	2.178×ATR	p28	+0.952×ATR	p74
15m	↓ down	early	1b	—	1.737×ATR	p14	+0.248×ATR	p30

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.73116648
tp_price: 0.66868425
atr: 0.01813459
expires_at: 2026-08-10T07:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 44
total: 44
score: 0.2817
delta_2h: -0.0571
extension_atr: 0.07
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0296
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.6858	0.7312	0.6687	0.38	0.3976

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.6858
Stop Loss: 0.7312
Take Profit: 0.6687

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.7312 - 0.6858 = 0.0454
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.6858 - 0.6687 = 0.0171
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0171 / 0.0454 = 0.3767

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
121.0204	100	176.4583	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0454

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0454 = 176.21

Taille de position USD = 176.21 x 0.6858 = 120.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 176.21 avec un stoploss a 0.7312

Avec un position size USD de 120.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 176.21 x 0.0454 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 176.21 x 0.0171 = 3.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.01$

Résumé

Taille de position 176.21
Taille de position USD 120.84
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.01
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3767

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	3.02 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.62 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
3.02 $	2.49

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.2561 %	49.19 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.6858	0.7312	0.6687	0.38	0.3976

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.6858
Stop Loss: 0.7312
Take Profit: 0.6687

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.7312 - 0.6858 = 0.0454
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.6858 - 0.6687 = 0.0171
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0171 / 0.0454 = 0.3767

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.620% (0.0454)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.629%	0.1R	-1.944%	0.3R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.629%	0.1R	-3.256%	0.5R	0.2×	24
4h	+2.454%	0.4R	-3.256%	0.5R	0.8×	48
6h ★	+2.884%	0.4R	-3.256%	0.5R	0.9×	72
8h	+4.183%	0.6R	-3.256%	0.5R	1.3×	96
12h	+4.697%	0.7R	-3.256%	0.5R	1.4×	144

computed 4 days ago

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