Short Trade on kBONK

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09 Aug 2026 at 21:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 124127.23 kBONK at 0.00244$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002381 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002506 (2.62 %)

kBONK SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 21:10 → 21:20 · 9 minutes

Position

Entry 0.002442$

Qty 124127.2304 kBONK

Size 303.1187$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.002381 (+2.5%)

TP $ 7.57$

SL 0.002506 (-2.62%)

SL $ 7.94$

RR 0.95

Status loss PnL -0.66% / -1.99$ MAE -2.58% MFE +0.08% 0.0R expires 09 Aug 21:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=33 <= threshold=34/44

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64027)

#33 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2111

Quality Score

0.5

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 21:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#33 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+5 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.62 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#33 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+5 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.62 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 21:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 21:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 09/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

09/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

09/08 20:00

Score : +6 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.621% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.082%	0.0R	-1.720%	0.7R	0.1×	12
2h	+0.082%	0.0R	-2.252%	0.9R	0.0×	24
4h ★	+0.082%	0.0R	-2.580%	1.0R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.082%	0.0R	-2.580%	1.0R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.082%	0.0R	-2.580%	1.0R	0.0×	144

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.06

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 39%	late	—	—	0.67	bear_high	-2.42%	-0.95	09/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 43%	mid	—	—	0.48	bull_medium	+1.00%	-0.88	09/08 20:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 45%	late	—	—	0.39	range_low	+0.11%	-0.25	09/08 20:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	53%	noisy_chop 49%	mid	—	—	—	range_low	-0.30%	-0.29	09/08 20:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	late	37b	—	13.561×ATR	p92	-1.125×ATR	p86
4h	↓ down	mid	10b	—	2.375×ATR	p13	-0.985×ATR	p76
1h	↓ down	late	4b	—	3.486×ATR	p79	-1.752×ATR	p96
15m	↑ up	mid	2b	—	2.729×ATR	p41	-1.221×ATR	p83

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.00250645
tp_price: 0.00238095
atr: 2.578E-5
expires_at: 2026-08-10T07:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 42
total: 44
score: 0.326
delta_2h: -0.0532
extension_atr: -1.34
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2111
confidence: 0.953

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002442	0.002506	0.002381	0.95	0.002395

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002442
Stop Loss: 0.002506
Take Profit: 0.002381

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002506 - 0.002442 = 6.4E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002442 - 0.002381 = 6.1E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.1E-5 / 6.4E-5 = 0.9531

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
303.1187	100	124127.2304	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 6.4E-5

Taille de position = 8 / 6.4E-5 = 125000

Taille de position USD = 125000 x 0.002442 = 305.25

Donc, tu peux acheter 125000 avec un stoploss a 0.002506

Avec un position size USD de 305.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 125000 x 6.4E-5 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 125000 x 6.1E-5 = 7.63

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.63$

Résumé

Taille de position 125000
Taille de position USD 305.25
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 7.63
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9531

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	7.57 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.62 %	7.94 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.99 $	-0.66

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.6552 %	25 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002442	0.002506	0.002381	0.95	0.002395

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002442
Stop Loss: 0.002506
Take Profit: 0.002381

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002506 - 0.002442 = 6.4E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002442 - 0.002381 = 6.1E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.1E-5 / 6.4E-5 = 0.9531

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.621% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.082%	0.0R	-1.720%	0.7R	0.1×	12
2h	+0.082%	0.0R	-2.252%	0.9R	0.0×	24
4h ★	+0.082%	0.0R	-2.580%	1.0R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.082%	0.0R	-2.580%	1.0R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.082%	0.0R	-2.580%	1.0R	0.0×	144

computed 3 days ago

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