09 Aug 2026 at 21:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SAGA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 5259.91 SAGA at 0.0149$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01453 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01642 (10.2 %)

SAGA SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 21:10 → 03:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.0149$

Qty 5259.9051 SAGA

Size 78.3726$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.01453 (+2.48%)

TP $ 1.95$

SL 0.01642 (-10.2%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.24

Status loss PnL -2.48% / -1.95$ MAE -3.89% MFE +1.75% 0.2R expires 10 Aug 03:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64035)
#44 / 44 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2123

Quality Score
0.3
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 21:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#44 / 44 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.20 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#44 / 44 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.20 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.80×ATR
4h clear 1.10×ATR
1d clear 0.98×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 21:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

09/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

09/08 20:00

Score : +2 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -10.201% (0.0015)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.745% 0.2R -0.201% 0.0R 8.7× 12
2h +1.745% 0.2R -1.678% 0.2R 1.0× 24
4h +1.745% 0.2R -2.349% 0.2R 0.7× 48
6h ★ +1.745% 0.2R -3.893% 0.4R 0.5× 72
8h +1.745% 0.2R -3.893% 0.4R 0.5× 96
12h +1.745% 0.2R -4.161% 0.4R 0.4× 144

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.08
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 38% mid 0.34 bear_high -2.42% +0.84 09/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 44% late 0.33 bull_medium +1.00% +0.52 09/08 20:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong grind compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 49% late near -0.8ATR 0.03 range_low +0.11% -1.00 09/08 20:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading expansion_after_compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 53% late near -1.3ATR range_low -0.30% -0.55 09/08 20:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 1b 4.709×ATR p55 +0.519×ATR p56
4h ↓ down late 5b 7.177×ATR p94 -0.408×ATR p50
1h ↓ down late 19b 11.542×ATR p100 -1.264×ATR p81
15m ↓ down late 2b 2.613×ATR p48 -1.887×ATR p89

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.01642094
  2. tp_price: 0.0145275
  3. atr: 0.00060838
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-10T07:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 43
  2. total: 44
  3. score: 0.3091
  4. delta_2h: -0.0613
  5. extension_atr: -1.02
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2123
  9. confidence: 0.977

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0149 0.01642 0.01453 0.24 0.01329
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0149
  • Stop Loss: 0.01642
  • Take Profit: 0.01453

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01642 - 0.0149 = 0.00152

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0149 - 0.01453 = 0.00037

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00037 / 0.00152 = 0.2434

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
78.3726 78.3726 5259.9051 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00152

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00152 = 5263.16

Taille de position USD = 5263.16 x 0.0149 = 78.42

Donc, tu peux acheter 5263.16 avec un stoploss a 0.01642

Avec un position size USD de 78.42$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5263.16 x 0.00152 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5263.16 x 0.00037 = 1.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.95$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5263.16
  • Taille de position USD 78.42
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 1.95
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2434

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.48 % 1.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
10.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.95 $ -2.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.8926 % 38.16 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0149 0.01642 0.01453 0.24 0.01329
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0149
  • Stop Loss: 0.01642
  • Take Profit: 0.01453

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01642 - 0.0149 = 0.00152

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0149 - 0.01453 = 0.00037

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00037 / 0.00152 = 0.2434

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -10.201% (0.0015)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.745% 0.2R -0.201% 0.0R 8.7× 12
2h +1.745% 0.2R -1.678% 0.2R 1.0× 24
4h +1.745% 0.2R -2.349% 0.2R 0.7× 48
6h ★ +1.745% 0.2R -3.893% 0.4R 0.5× 72
8h +1.745% 0.2R -3.893% 0.4R 0.5× 96
12h +1.745% 0.2R -4.161% 0.4R 0.4× 144

computed 4 days ago

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