Short Trade on DOT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 858.94 DOT at 0.8$ per unit. Take profit: 0.777 (2.91 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8096 (1.16 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 21:19:53
hyperliquid
DOT
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 21:19
→ 01:40
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.8003$
Qty 858.9414 DOT
Size 687.4194$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.777 (+2.91%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.8096 (-1.16%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-1.16%
/ -7.99$
MAE -2.67%
MFE +0.40%
0.3R
expires
10 Aug 09:19
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64023)
#26 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 21:00
score du 09/08/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1801
Quality Score
0.6
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 21:15
09/08 21:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#26 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#26 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.36×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 21:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 09/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 09/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.162%
(0.0093)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.399% | 0.3R | -0.335% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.399% | 0.3R | -0.335% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.399% | 0.3R | -0.885% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.399% | 0.3R | -1.644% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.399% | 0.3R | -2.665% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.399% | 0.3R | -2.665% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.18
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -2.42% | -0.32 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | bull_medium | +0.96% | -0.34 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | range_low | +0.33% | -0.13 | 09/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.03% | -0.07 | 09/08 21:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.977×ATR | p0 | -0.296×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 2.889×ATR | p40 | -0.997×ATR | p80 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 0.911×ATR | p2 | -0.655×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.979×ATR | p3 | +0.101×ATR | p10 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7043
- reason: down_bo width=1.80×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 0.80962379
- tp_price: 0.77702554
- atr:
- score: 0.80429821368613
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T13:19:45.918930
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80429821368613
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2907
- obi_top10 : 0.1021
- micro_price : 0.79962473
- spread_pct : 0.125156
- mid_price : 0.7995
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.806
- ask_wall_size : 693702
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2908
- obi_top5_std : 0
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6988
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.81315
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.805215
- balance_zone_mid:
0.8091825
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786240800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786323600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.7982
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
24
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8043
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786312800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.805215
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7917
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1115
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00441286 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
24
inside_close_ratio
0.7917
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1115
Signaux confirmants (11)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:19 | 0.80031000 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 21:25 | 0.80031000 | +0.001% |
| 3 | 21:32 | 0.80031000 | +0.001% |
| 4 | 21:38 | 0.79803000 | -0.284% |
| 5 | 21:43 | 0.79803000 | -0.284% |
| 6 | 21:49 | 0.79772000 | -0.322% |
| 7 | 21:55 | 0.79772000 | -0.322% |
| 8 | 22:02 | 0.79772000 | -0.322% |
| 9 | 22:08 | 0.80121000 | +0.114% |
| 10 | 22:14 | 0.80121000 | +0.114% |
| 11 | 22:20 | 0.80160000 | +0.162% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6988ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
70%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.291
avg 0.291
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.102
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.7995
Micro Price
0.7996
Spread
0.1252%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.8060
Size
693,702.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8003 | 0.8096 | 0.777 | 2.51 | 0.7556 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8003
- Stop Loss: 0.8096
- Take Profit: 0.777
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8096 - 0.8003 = 0.0093
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8003 - 0.777 = 0.0233
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0233 / 0.0093 = 2.5054
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 687.4194 | 100 | 858.9414 | 7.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0093
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0093 = 860.22
Taille de position USD = 860.22 x 0.8003 = 688.43
Donc, tu peux acheter 860.22 avec un stoploss a 0.8096
Avec un position size USD de 688.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 860.22 x 0.0093 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 860.22 x 0.0233 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position 860.22
- Taille de position USD 688.43
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5054
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.91 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.16 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -1.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2183 % | 104.84 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8003 | 0.8096 | 0.777 | 2.51 | 0.7556 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8003
- Stop Loss: 0.8096
- Take Profit: 0.777
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8096 - 0.8003 = 0.0093
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8003 - 0.777 = 0.0233
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0233 / 0.0093 = 2.5054
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.777
[entry_price] => 0.8003
[stop_loss] => 0.81053
[rr_ratio] => 2.28
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 06:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.162%
(0.0093)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.399% | 0.3R | -0.335% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.399% | 0.3R | -0.335% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.399% | 0.3R | -0.885% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.399% | 0.3R | -1.644% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.399% | 0.3R | -2.665% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.399% | 0.3R | -2.665% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 3 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.