Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 10893.25 DOGE at 0.0697$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06783 (2.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0704 (1.05 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 21:36:58
hyperliquid
DOGE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 21:36
→ 09:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.06967$
Qty 10893.2462 DOGE
Size 758.9216$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06783 (+2.64%)
TP $ 20.04$
SL 0.0704 (-1.05%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2.52
Status
loss
PnL
-0.14%
/ -1.06$
MAE -0.78%
MFE +0.25%
0.2R
expires
10 Aug 09:36
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64011)
#30 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 21:00
score du 09/08/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4219
Quality Score
0.6
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 21:30
09/08 21:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#30 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#30 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.82×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.73×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 21:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 09/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 09/08 21:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.048%
(0.0007)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.245% | 0.2R | -0.782% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.245% | 0.2R | -0.782% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.245% | 0.2R | -0.782% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.245% | 0.2R | -0.782% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.245% | 0.2R | -0.782% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.405% | 0.4R | -0.782% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.46
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -2.42% | -0.30 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.7ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.81 | bull_medium | +0.96% | +0.05 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
33%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.70 | range_low | +0.33% | -0.06 | 09/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | 0.70 | range_low | -0.07% | -0.09 | 09/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 37b | — | 4.552×ATR | p61 | -0.079×ATR | p11 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 2.715×ATR | p27 | -0.659×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.862×ATR | p9 | -0.711×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.641×ATR | p53 | -0.039×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.573
- reason: down_bo width=2.96×ATR dur=57b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)|ob:obi_bullish(-0.05)
- stop_price: 0.0704034
- tp_price: 0.06783301
- atr:
- score: 0.7229712482156
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T13:36:50.608699
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7229712482156
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.4312
- obi_top10 : 0.1043
- micro_price : 0.06962497
- spread_pct : 0.014364
- mid_price : 0.069625
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0703
- ask_wall_size : 32819334
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.4412
- obi_top5_std : 0.0244
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7019
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.070898
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.069837
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0703675
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786122000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786323600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9558
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
57
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.723
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786316400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.069837
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6667
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.468
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00035895 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
57
inside_close_ratio
0.6667
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.468
Signaux confirmants (19)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:36 | 0.06966900 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 21:42 | 0.06966900 | -0.001% |
| 3 | 21:48 | 0.06972500 | +0.079% |
| 4 | 21:54 | 0.06972500 | +0.079% |
| 5 | 22:01 | 0.06972500 | +0.079% |
| 6 | 00:12 | 0.06971700 | +0.067% |
| 7 | 00:19 | 0.06975800 | +0.126% |
| 8 | 00:24 | 0.06975800 | +0.126% |
| 9 | 00:31 | 0.06975800 | +0.126% |
| 10 | 00:36 | 0.06967300 | +0.004% |
| 11 | 00:43 | 0.06967300 | +0.004% |
| 12 | 00:48 | 0.06967600 | +0.009% |
| 13 | 00:54 | 0.06967600 | +0.009% |
| 14 | 01:01 | 0.06967600 | +0.009% |
| 15 | 01:07 | 0.06975200 | +0.118% |
| 16 | 01:13 | 0.06975200 | +0.118% |
| 17 | 01:19 | 0.06973900 | +0.099% |
| 18 | 01:24 | 0.06973900 | +0.099% |
| 19 | 01:31 | 0.06973900 | +0.099% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7019ms
Confidence avant OB :
72%
→
57%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.431
avg 0.441
± 0.024
OBI Top 10
0.104
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0696
Micro Price
0.0696
Spread
0.0144%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0703
Size
32,819,334.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06967 | 0.0704 | 0.06783 | 2.52 | 0.06975 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06967
- Stop Loss: 0.0704
- Take Profit: 0.06783
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0704 - 0.06967 = 0.00073000000000001
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06967 - 0.06783 = 0.00184
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00184 / 0.00073000000000001 = 2.5205
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 758.9216 | 100 | 10893.2462 | 8.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00073000000000001
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00073000000000001 = 10958.9
Taille de position USD = 10958.9 x 0.06967 = 763.51
Donc, tu peux acheter 10958.9 avec un stoploss a 0.0704
Avec un position size USD de 763.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10958.9 x 0.00073000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10958.9 x 0.00184 = 20.16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.16$
Résumé
- Taille de position 10958.9
- Taille de position USD 763.51
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.16
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5205
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.64 % | 20.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.05 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.06 $ | -0.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7823 % | 74.66 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06967 | 0.0704 | 0.06783 | 2.52 | 0.06975 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06967
- Stop Loss: 0.0704
- Take Profit: 0.06783
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0704 - 0.06967 = 0.00073000000000001
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06967 - 0.06783 = 0.00184
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00184 / 0.00073000000000001 = 2.5205
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.048%
(0.0007)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.245% | 0.2R | -0.782% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.245% | 0.2R | -0.782% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.245% | 0.2R | -0.782% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.245% | 0.2R | -0.782% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.245% | 0.2R | -0.782% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.405% | 0.4R | -0.782% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 3 days ago
Commentaires
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