Observation #10541

← Research Observations / #10541

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-01 07:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

06:00–07:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

07:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

08:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,928.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,896,102,523

Synced: 10-01 08:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-01 06:00) Next (10-01 08:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1075

evaluated_at: 2026-10-01 06:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001157%

Annualized10.14%

Premium-0.00040744

Settled at: 2026-10-01 07:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)33,992.23

OI (USD)$2,857,216,605

Mark price$84,055.00

Funding next0.001158%

Day vol (USD)$2,930,052,944

Snapshot at: 2026-10-01 06:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.342%

Change 4h -1.596%

Change 24h -3.533%

Z-score 7d -0.28

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001154%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.199%

Divergence 0.35

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.978

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.69

OI momentum 4h

-0.632%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+25 crowded

Time: 2026-10-01 06:00:00 OI observed: 05:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 06:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187496	fresh	11h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.604	normal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 15b 0.7ATR	—	—	1.06	75%	↔ +0.04	above_value	-0.97	—	#101556	—	—	—	—	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:15	↗
4h #190818	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.532	expansion	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	early 4b 0.4ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.42	21%	↓ -0.27	above_value	+0.02	—	#102797	—	—	—	—	01/10 00:00 upd 01/10 04:05	↗
1h anchor #192081	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.648	compression	range_medium	40%	noisy_chop 40%	early 2b 0.4ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	1.41	70%	↔ -0.14	above_value	-0.77	—	#103348	—	—	—	—	01/10 06:00 upd 01/10 07:05	↗
15m #192006	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.668	expansion	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 45%	early 3b 0.8ATR	—	—	1.11	71%	↑ +0.24	above_value	-0.77	—	#103348	—	—	—	—	01/10 06:45 upd 01/10 07:00	↗
5m #192005	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	0.561	expansion	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 10b 1.2ATR	—	—	0.31	34%	↔ +0.05	above_value	-0.77	—	#103348	—	—	—	—	01/10 06:55 upd 01/10 07:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #169511	fresh	2026-10-01 06:00	0s	0.518	0.501	28/78	2026-10-01 07:00	2026-10-01 07:35
4h #169277	fresh	2026-10-01 00:00	3h	0.504	0.503	34/78	2026-10-01 04:00	2026-10-01 04:37
1d #168509	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	11h	0.618	0.658	31/76	2026-09-30 20:00	2026-09-30 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #103427	fresh	2026-10-01 06:45	0s	$83,729.60	$84,430.87	$83,363.27	hvn	0.93	4.99
7d #103506	fresh	2026-10-01 06:00	0s	$84,007.76	$84,510.53	$83,324.50	hvn	-0.17	2.57
30d #103032	fresh	2026-10-01 00:00	3h	$77,154.77	$83,491.13	$74,903.00	hvn	8.17	10.07

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,133.00 → $83,342.33	0.25%	0.98	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $585.67	+2.74
below	$84,514.60 → $84,703.00	0.22%	0.88	0.46	continuation_up	—	↓ $586.60	-2.74
below	$84,765.80 → $85,100.73	0.39%	1.56	0.43	continuation_up	—	↓ $837.80	-3.91
below	$85,498.47 → $85,645.00	0.17%	0.68	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,570.47	-7.34

Prix observé : $83,928.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$85,077.77 → $85,645.00	0.66%	1.23	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,149.77	-2.49

Prix observé : $83,928.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,531.40	0.84%	0.74	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,396.60	+9.84
above	$81,605.93 → $82,862.73	1.53%	1.47	0.71	reversion	✓	↑ $1,065.27	+1.25
below	$86,633.13 → $87,471.00	0.96%	0.98	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,705.13	-3.17

Prix observé : $83,928.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	07:05	07:20	-0.05%	-0.09×	+0.07×	-0.18×	5m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.05%	1.64%	0.13%	$7.44M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	07:05	08:05	+0.04%	+0.07×	+0.36×	-0.24×	45m	25m	Low first	0.07	0.00%	+0.04%	20.68%	0.32%	$31.71M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	07:05	11:05	+0.31%	+0.59×	+1.02×	-0.97×	3h35m	2h25m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+0.31%	47.37%	1.07%	$452.09M	10:35 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	07:05	19:05	+0.99%	+1.86×	+3.10×	-0.97×	7h35m	2h25m	Low first	0.07	0.00%	+0.99%	45.46%	2.18%	$1.35B	10:35 / 13:20	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	07:05	07:05	+2.98%	+5.58×	+6.72×	-0.97×	17h30m	2h25m	Low first	0.11	0.00%	+2.98%	43.08%	4.11%	$2.58B	10:35 / 13:20	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T10:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T11:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T10:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}