Observation #10619

← Research Observations / #10619

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-01 08:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

07:00–08:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

08:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

09:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,876.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,321,661,909

Synced: 10-01 09:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-01 07:00) Next (10-01 09:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2169

evaluated_at: 2026-10-01 07:46:14 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00034892

Settled at: 2026-10-01 08:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)33,962.67

OI (USD)$2,850,962,224

Mark price$83,944.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,902,301,580

Snapshot at: 2026-10-01 07:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.458%

Change 4h -1.647%

Change 24h -3.749%

Z-score 7d -0.37

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001157%

Avg 24h 0.001187%

Percentile 7d 38.1%

Percentile 30d 30.7%

Δ 4h -0.000093%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.585%

Divergence 1.69

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.975

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.70

OI momentum 4h

-0.557%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+26 crowded

Time: 2026-10-01 07:00:00 OI observed: 06:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 07:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187496	fresh	12h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.604	normal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 15b 0.7ATR	—	—	1.06	75%	↔ +0.04	above_value	-0.97	—	#101556	—	—	—	—	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:15	↗
4h #192477	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.532	expansion	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 34%	early 5b 0.2ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.68	44%	↓ -0.15	above_value	-0.17	—	#103506	—	—	—	—	01/10 04:00 upd 01/10 08:05	↗
1h anchor #192476	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.641	compression	range_medium	41%	noisy_chop 41%	early 3b 0.1ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.22	2%	↓ -0.23	above_value	-0.17	—	#103506	—	—	—	—	01/10 07:00 upd 01/10 08:05	↗
15m #192404	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.692	expansion	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 40%	early 7b 0.4ATR	—	—	0.68	49%	↓ -0.48	above_value	-0.17	—	#103506	—	—	—	—	01/10 07:45 upd 01/10 08:00	↗
5m #192403	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.599	compression	range_low	43%	noisy_chop 42%	early 6b 0.4ATR	—	—	0.88	56%	↓ -0.33	above_value	-0.17	—	#103506	—	—	—	—	01/10 07:55 upd 01/10 08:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #169589	fresh	2026-10-01 07:00	0s	0.481	0.519	43/77	2026-10-01 08:00	2026-10-01 08:35
4h #169666	fresh	2026-10-01 04:00	0s	0.509	0.525	34/77	2026-10-01 08:00	2026-10-01 08:37
1d #168509	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	12h	0.618	0.658	31/76	2026-09-30 20:00	2026-09-30 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #103585	fresh	2026-10-01 07:45	0s	$83,729.60	$84,430.87	$83,363.27	hvn	0.74	5.39
7d #103664	fresh	2026-10-01 07:00	0s	$84,007.76	$84,536.32	$83,324.50	hvn	-0.29	2.71
30d #103743	fresh	2026-10-01 04:00	0s	$77,154.77	$83,595.87	$74,903.00	hvn	7.57	9.82

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,133.00 → $83,342.33	0.25%	1.06	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $533.67	+2.70
below	$84,514.60 → $84,703.00	0.22%	0.95	0.46	continuation_up	—	↓ $638.60	-3.23
below	$84,765.80 → $85,100.73	0.39%	1.69	0.43	continuation_up	—	↓ $889.80	-4.50
below	$85,498.47 → $85,645.00	0.17%	0.74	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,622.47	-8.20

Prix observé : $83,876.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$85,077.77 → $85,645.00	0.66%	1.27	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,201.77	-2.68

Prix observé : $83,876.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,531.40	0.84%	0.71	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,344.60	+9.43
above	$81,605.93 → $82,862.73	1.53%	1.42	0.71	reversion	✓	↑ $1,013.27	+1.15
below	$86,633.13 → $87,471.00	0.96%	0.95	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,757.13	-3.12

Prix observé : $83,876.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	08:05	08:20	+0.04%	+0.07×	+0.20×	-0.12×	10m	15m	High first	0.57	0.00%	+0.04%	15.83%	0.17%	$11.86M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	08:05	09:05	-0.36%	-0.68×	+0.31×	-0.70×	40m	1h	High first	0.58	0.00%	-0.36%	20.39%	0.54%	$49.58M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	08:05	12:05	+0.37%	+0.70×	+0.96×	-1.05×	2h35m	1h25m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+0.37%	58.04%	1.07%	$532.03M	— / —	09:15 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	08:05	20:05	+0.99%	+1.87×	+3.05×	-1.05×	6h35m	1h25m	Low first	0.07	0.00%	+0.99%	45.46%	2.18%	$1.36B	12:15 / 13:25	09:15 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	08:05	08:05	+2.93%	+5.53×	+6.71×	-1.05×	16h30m	1h25m	Low first	0.11	0.00%	+2.93%	43.06%	4.11%	$2.62B	12:15 / 13:25	09:15 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T11:46:14+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 826,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T11:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T11:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}