Observation #11630

← Research Observations / #11630

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-01 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$84,749.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,131,874,858

Synced: 10-01 22:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-01 20:00) Next (10-01 22:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3678

evaluated_at: 2026-10-01 20:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000708%

Annualized6.20%

Premium-0.00044340

Settled at: 2026-10-01 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)34,676.70

OI (USD)$2,939,072,066

Mark price$84,756.40

Funding next0.000704%

Day vol (USD)$2,108,440,628

Snapshot at: 2026-10-01 20:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.106%

Change 4h +0.024%

Change 24h -1.523%

Z-score 7d 0.17

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000796%

Avg 24h 0.001049%

Percentile 7d 28.0%

Percentile 30d 21.4%

Δ 4h -0.000270%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.192%

Divergence 0.17

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.390

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.29

OI momentum 4h

-3.221%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-01 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197472	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.604	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 16b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.81	49%	↔ +0.10	above_value	+1.86	—	#105765	—	—	—	—	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:15	↗
4h #197390	fresh	1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.467	normal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	early 3b 0.9ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.36	17%	↔ -0.02	above_value	+1.54	—	#105610	—	—	—	—	01/10 16:00 upd 01/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #197956	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.687	normal	bull_medium	61%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 6b 1.0ATR	—	near -0.9ATR	0.53	34%	↔ -0.05	above_value	+1.86	—	#105765	—	—	—	—	01/10 20:00 upd 01/10 21:05	↗
15m #197884	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.684	compression	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 36%	early 13b 0.5ATR	—	—	0.53	13%	↔ -0.14	above_value	+1.86	—	#105765	—	—	—	—	01/10 20:45 upd 01/10 21:00	↗
5m #197883	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.767	expansion	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 38%	early 3b -0.1ATR	near -0.1ATR	near 0.1ATR	0.72	29%	↓ -0.21	above_value	+1.86	—	#105765	—	—	—	—	01/10 20:55 upd 01/10 21:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #170975	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	0s	0.509	0.537	18/78	2026-10-01 21:00	2026-10-01 21:35
4h #170821	fresh	2026-10-01 16:00	1h	0.512	0.549	21/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:37
1d #170898	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	1h	0.616	0.707	19/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #105921	fresh	2026-10-01 20:45	0s	$84,764.85	$85,038.30	$83,768.10	hvn	-0.09	7.51
7d #105999	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	0s	$84,007.76	$84,536.32	$83,221.37	between	1.72	3.06
30d #105843	fresh	2026-10-01 16:00	1h	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,045.00	value	0.69	10.81

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,133.00 → $83,327.06	0.23%	1.15	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,421.94	+8.41
above	$84,367.92 → $84,456.13	0.10%	0.52	0.59	reversion	✓	↑ $292.88	+1.73
below	$84,985.38 → $85,250.00	0.31%	1.56	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $236.38	-1.40

Prix observé : $84,749.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,551.00 → $82,783.05	0.28%	0.54	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,965.95	+4.57
below	$85,103.55 → $85,645.00	0.63%	1.26	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $354.55	-0.82

Prix observé : $84,749.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,531.40	0.84%	0.72	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↑ $9,217.60	+10.57
above	$81,605.93 → $82,862.73	1.53%	1.44	0.70	reversion	✓	↑ $1,886.27	+2.16
below	$86,633.13 → $87,471.00	0.96%	0.96	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,884.13	-2.16

Prix observé : $84,749.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	21:05	21:20	-0.12%	-0.23×	+0.03×	-0.23×	5m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.12%	0.00%	0.13%	$4.87M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	21:05	22:05	+0.36%	+0.70×	+0.70×	-0.49×	1h	20m	Low first	0.52	0.00%	+0.36%	27.40%	0.61%	$44.53M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	21:05	01:05	+2.17%	+4.23×	+5.02×	-0.49×	3h30m	20m	Low first	0.42	0.00%	+2.17%	52.54%	2.83%	$572.01M	22:50 / 00:00	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	21:05	09:05	+2.62%	+5.11×	+5.85×	-0.49×	11h30m	20m	Low first	0.20	0.00%	+2.62%	42.92%	3.25%	$1.60B	22:50 / 00:00	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	21:05	21:05	-0.09%	-0.18×	+5.85×	-1.95×	11h30m	17h45m	High first	0.00	0.00%	-0.09%	43.99%	4.00%	$3.50B	22:50 / 00:00	14:35 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T00:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T00:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}