Observation #11708

← Research Observations / #11708

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-01 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$84,876.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,198,896,265

Synced: 10-01 23:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6111

evaluated_at: 2026-10-01 21:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000796%

Annualized6.97%

Premium-0.00043636

Settled at: 2026-10-01 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)34,639.64

OI (USD)$2,937,718,681

Mark price$84,808.00

Funding next0.000735%

Day vol (USD)$2,104,339,119

Snapshot at: 2026-10-01 21:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.013%

Change 4h -0.513%

Change 24h -1.341%

Z-score 7d 0.08

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000708%

Avg 24h 0.001028%

Percentile 7d 23.8%

Percentile 30d 19.6%

Δ 4h +0.000342%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.445%

Divergence 0.89

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.394

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.30

OI momentum 4h

-3.384%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-01 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197472	fresh	2h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.604	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 16b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.81	49%	↔ +0.10	above_value	+1.86	—	#105765	—	—	—	—	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:15	↗
4h #197390	fresh	2h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.467	normal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	early 3b 0.9ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.36	17%	↔ -0.02	above_value	+1.54	—	#105610	—	—	—	—	01/10 16:00 upd 01/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #198340	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.681	normal	bull_medium	61%	noisy_chop 42%	early 7b 0.6ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	0.14	2%	↓ -0.40	above_value	+1.72	—	#105999	—	—	—	—	01/10 21:00 upd 01/10 22:05	↗
15m #198268	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.610	normal	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 2b 1.2ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	2.26	68%	↔ -0.04	above_value	+1.72	—	#105999	—	—	—	—	01/10 21:45 upd 01/10 22:00	↗
5m #198267	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	grind	0.750	expansion	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 41%	late 1b 2.0ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	1.53	48%	↑ +0.31	above_value	+1.72	—	#105999	—	—	—	—	01/10 21:55 upd 01/10 22:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #171053	fresh	2026-10-01 21:00	0s	0.510	0.552	30/78	2026-10-01 22:00	2026-10-01 22:35
4h #170821	fresh	2026-10-01 16:00	2h	0.512	0.549	21/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:37
1d #170898	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	2h	0.616	0.707	19/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #106077	fresh	2026-10-01 21:45	0s	$84,764.85	$85,038.30	$83,785.74	hvn	0.62	6.94
7d #106154	fresh	2026-10-01 21:00	0s	$84,007.76	$84,536.32	$83,221.37	between	2.00	3.03
30d #105843	fresh	2026-10-01 16:00	2h	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,045.00	value	0.69	10.81

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,133.00 → $83,327.06	0.23%	1.08	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,548.94	+8.58
below	$84,985.38 → $85,250.00	0.31%	1.47	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $109.38	-0.61

Prix observé : $84,876.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,551.00 → $82,783.05	0.28%	0.53	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,092.95	+4.82
below	$85,103.55 → $85,645.00	0.63%	1.25	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $227.55	-0.52

Prix observé : $84,876.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,531.40	0.84%	0.72	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↑ $9,344.60	+10.71
above	$81,605.93 → $82,862.73	1.53%	1.44	0.70	reversion	✓	↑ $2,013.27	+2.31
below	$86,633.13 → $87,471.00	0.96%	0.96	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,757.13	-2.01

Prix observé : $84,876.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	22:05	22:20	-0.04%	-0.08×	+0.24×	-0.21×	5m	15m	High first	0.30	0.00%	-0.04%	17.26%	0.23%	$34.01M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	22:05	23:05	+0.43%	+0.86×	+1.17×	-0.39×	1h	30m	Low first	0.42	0.00%	+0.43%	38.01%	0.79%	$114.67M	23:00 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	22:05	02:05	+1.20%	+2.38×	+4.39×	-0.39×	2h30m	30m	Low first	0.21	0.00%	+1.20%	59.39%	2.41%	$669.92M	23:00 / 00:15	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	22:05	10:05	+2.12%	+4.20×	+5.23×	-0.39×	10h30m	30m	Low first	0.15	0.00%	+2.12%	45.78%	2.84%	$1.83B	23:00 / 00:15	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	22:05	22:05	-0.45%	-0.90×	+5.23×	-2.68×	10h30m	16h45m	High first	0.02	0.00%	-0.45%	43.62%	3.99%	$3.48B	23:00 / 00:15	13:35 / 14:35	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T01:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T01:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}