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← Research Observations / #12393
🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context
🪙 XPL
Market snapshot at
2026-10-02 06:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
05:00–06:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
06:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
07:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.098508
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $24,781,342
Synced: 10-02 07:02 +1h
← Prev (10-02 05:00) Next (10-02 07:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_expansion
Environmenttrend_expansion
Participationmixed_dispersion
Leadershipmixed
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.629
evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 05:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium0.00013695
Settled at: 2026-10-02 06:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)916,920,532.00
OI (USD)$90,258,906
Mark price$0.098437
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$24,094,474
Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 05:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -0.050%
Change 4h -0.389%
Change 24h -1.811%
Z-score 7d -0.07
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001250%
Percentile 7d 67.3%
Percentile 30d 76.5%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h +0.830%
Divergence 0.70
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
3.535
OI / Vol z-7d
1.87
OI momentum 4h
-0.583%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+366 crowded
Time: 2026-10-02 05:00:00 OI observed: 04:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 05:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197694
 fresh 10h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.665 expansion_after_compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 39% early 6b 0.0ATR — near -0.2ATR 0.81 88% ↑ +0.84 below_value -8.06 — #105827 0.54 bull_high +13.92% +0.54
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
 ↗
4h
#200863
 fresh 2h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.614 compression range_high
36%
noisy_chop 36% early 9b 0.0ATR — — 0.74 62% ↓ -0.24 above_value +0.06 — #107227 0.48 bull_high +4.12% -0.36
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:17
 ↗
1h anchor
#201628
 fresh 0s ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.673 normal range_high
37%
noisy_chop 38% mid 5b 1.1ATR — near 0.0ATR 1.30 48% ↓ -0.36 above_value +0.34 — #107618 0.47 bull_medium +2.47% -0.01
02/10 05:00
upd 02/10 06:12
 ↗
15m
#201551
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.658 expansion_after_compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 40% mid 3b 1.5ATR — near 0.4ATR 0.86 51% ↑ +0.17 above_value -0.17 — #107461 0.64 bull_low +1.48% -0.00
02/10 05:45
upd 02/10 06:04
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#171889
 fresh 2026-10-02 05:00 0s 0.556 0.601 32/78 2026-10-02 06:00 2026-10-02 06:37
4h
#171732
 fresh 2026-10-02 00:00 2h 0.362 0.441 77/78 2026-10-02 04:00 2026-10-02 04:39
1d
#170959
 fresh 2026-09-30 20:00 10h 0.450 0.585 65/77 2026-10-01 20:00 2026-10-01 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#107539
 fresh 2026-10-02 05:45 0s $0.096979 $0.097786 $0.094803 lvn LVN 1.87 3.64
7d
#107618
 fresh 2026-10-02 05:00 0s $0.096719 $0.111564 $0.092841 hvn 0.34 11.44
30d
#107305
 fresh 2026-10-02 00:00 2h $0.095188 $0.110166 $0.084314 hvn 0.55 6.12

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.093190 → $0.093826 0.68% 0.78 0.80 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.004682 +5.71
inside $0.098226 → $0.099057 0.84% 1.01 0.65 continuation_up ✓ inside +0.00

Prix observé : $0.098508. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.090434 → $0.093376 3.20% 1.80 0.70 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.005132 +3.14
below $0.102203 → $0.103272 1.04% 0.65 0.55 reversion ✓ ↓ $0.003695 -2.26
below $0.118518 → $0.122530 3.33% 2.45 0.75 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.020010 -12.23

Prix observé : $0.098508. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.076517 → $0.080621 5.22% 0.97 0.73 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.017887 +4.23
below $0.117963 → $0.125760 6.40% 1.84 0.73 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.019455 -4.60

Prix observé : $0.098508. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T09:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T09:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}