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← Research Observations / #15644
🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context
🪙 ARB
Market snapshot at
2026-10-04 01:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
00:00–01:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
01:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
02:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.202620
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $10,879,476
Synced: 10-04 02:15 +1.3h
← Prev (10-04 00:00) Next (10-04 02:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_expansion
Environmenttrend_expansion
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.4651
evaluated_at: 2026-10-04 00:45:59 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00023381
Settled at: 2026-10-04 01:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)119,308,885.40
OI (USD)$24,164,822
Mark price$0.202540
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$10,845,648
Snapshot at: 2026-10-04 00:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +0.037%
Change 4h +0.266%
Change 24h -1.843%
Z-score 7d 0.17
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001189%
Percentile 7d 98.8% top
Percentile 30d 90.6%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑
Price Δ 4h -0.158%
Divergence -0.30
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
2.222
OI / Vol z-7d
0.95
OI momentum 4h
+0.535%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+28 crowded
Time: 2026-10-04 00:00:00 OI observed: 23:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 00:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#217291
 fresh 5h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.620 expansion bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 39% early 10b 0.3ATR — — 0.32 82% ↓ -0.61 above_value +0.03 — #114241 0.58 bull_high +13.15% +1.00
02/10 20:00
upd 03/10 20:17
 ↗
4h
#218605
 fresh 1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.518 compression range_high
37%
noisy_chop 35% early 8b 0.0ATR — — 0.64 14% ↔ -0.05 above_value +0.15 — #114834 0.34 bull_high +2.05% -0.16
03/10 20:00
upd 04/10 00:11
 ↗
1h anchor
#218985
 fresh 0s ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.615 compression range_high
41%
noisy_chop 35% mid 4b 1.0ATR near -0.1ATR near -1.1ATR 0.55 27% ↓ -0.80 above_value +0.66 — #115030 0.51 range_low +0.23% +0.23
04/10 00:00
upd 04/10 01:08
 ↗
15m
#218927
 fresh 0s ↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.641 normal bull_medium
62%
noisy_chop 37% late 8b 1.4ATR — near -0.8ATR 0.11 1% ↓ -0.78 above_value +0.15 — #114834 0.61 range_low -0.01% +0.06
04/10 00:45
upd 04/10 01:00
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#176132
 fresh 2026-10-04 00:00 0s 0.493 0.534 35/66 2026-10-04 01:00 2026-10-04 01:35
4h
#176065
 fresh 2026-10-03 20:00 1h 0.447 0.469 47/66 2026-10-04 00:00 2026-10-04 00:37
1d
#175736
 fresh 2026-10-02 20:00 5h 0.483 0.651 49/66 2026-10-03 20:00 2026-10-03 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#114964
 fresh 2026-10-04 00:45 0s $0.201227 $0.203501 $0.200264 hvn 1.71 3.96
7d
#115030
 fresh 2026-10-04 00:00 0s $0.201214 $0.213186 $0.196953 hvn 0.66 7.63
30d
#114899
 fresh 2026-10-03 20:00 1h $0.221355 $0.231482 $0.160060 value -3.30 11.65

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.195870 → $0.196564 0.35% 0.85 0.84 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.006056 +7.41
above $0.198260 → $0.198799 0.27% 0.66 0.78 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.003821 +4.68
below $0.204272 → $0.205120 0.41% 1.04 0.87 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.001652 -2.02

Prix observé : $0.202620. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.188430 → $0.191677 1.71% 1.53 0.84 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.010943 +5.14
below $0.216027 → $0.219273 1.49% 1.53 0.78 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.013407 -6.30
below $0.231448 → $0.237130 2.43% 2.67 0.78 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.028828 -13.54

Prix observé : $0.202620. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.128080 → $0.132344 3.27% 0.70 0.66 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.070276 +11.47
above $0.184578 → $0.188842 2.28% 0.70 0.38 reversion — ↑ $0.013778 +2.25
below $0.235746 → $0.256000 8.24% 3.30 0.63 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.033126 -5.40

Prix observé : $0.202620. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T04:45:59+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 841,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T04:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}