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← Research Observations / #16116
🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context
🪙 ARB
Market snapshot at
2026-10-04 08:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
07:00–08:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
08:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
09:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.199360
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $7,332,438
Synced: 10-04 09:15 +1.3h
← Prev (10-04 07:00) Next (10-04 09:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_expansion
Environmenttrend_expansion
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.2868
evaluated_at: 2026-10-04 07:46:00 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00032258
Settled at: 2026-10-04 08:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)119,537,216.20
OI (USD)$23,815,400
Mark price$0.199230
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$7,663,516
Snapshot at: 2026-10-04 07:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -0.010%
Change 4h +0.581%
Change 24h -3.065%
Z-score 7d 0.14
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001198%
Percentile 7d 100.0% top
Percentile 30d 90.6%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑
Price Δ 4h -1.375%
Divergence -0.95
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
2.820
OI / Vol z-7d
2.08 extrême
OI momentum 4h
-0.055%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+35 crowded
Time: 2026-10-04 07:00:00 OI observed: 06:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 07:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#217291
 fresh 12h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.620 expansion bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 39% early 10b 0.3ATR — — 0.32 82% ↓ -0.61 above_value +0.03 — #114241 0.58 bull_high +13.15% +1.00
02/10 20:00
upd 03/10 20:17
 ↗
4h
#221383
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.508 compression range_high
37%
noisy_chop 35% early 10b -0.4ATR — — 0.46 7% ↓ -0.40 value -1.19 — #116039 0.34 bull_high +2.53% -0.42
04/10 04:00
upd 04/10 08:11
 ↗
1h anchor
#221382
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.576 compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 37% mid 11b -0.8ATR near -1.7ATR near 0.4ATR 2.38 63% ↓ -0.48 value -1.19 — #116039 0.54 range_low +0.73% -0.19
04/10 07:00
upd 04/10 08:11
 ↗
15m
#221316
 fresh 0s ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.373 expansion range_medium
42%
noisy_chop 46% late 1b -1.7ATR near 0.5ATR — 1.02 50% ↑ +0.55 above_value -0.65 — #115904 0.54 range_low +0.40% -0.14
04/10 07:45
upd 04/10 08:00
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#176671
 fresh 2026-10-04 07:00 0s 0.517 0.430 33/68 2026-10-04 08:00 2026-10-04 08:35
4h
#176737
 fresh 2026-10-04 04:00 0s 0.399 0.400 65/68 2026-10-04 08:00 2026-10-04 08:37
1d
#175736
 fresh 2026-10-02 20:00 12h 0.483 0.651 49/66 2026-10-03 20:00 2026-10-03 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#115972
 fresh 2026-10-04 07:45 0s $0.201410 $0.203471 $0.200491 between -2.42 3.51
7d
#116039
 fresh 2026-10-04 07:00 0s $0.201767 $0.211238 $0.196935 value -1.19 7.05
30d
#116106
 fresh 2026-10-04 04:00 0s $0.221355 $0.231482 $0.161126 value -3.66 12.63

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.197510 → $0.198842 0.67% 1.57 0.85 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.000518 +0.61
below $0.204359 → $0.205120 0.37% 0.90 0.87 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.004999 -5.89

Prix observé : $0.199360. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.188430 → $0.191523 1.63% 1.53 0.85 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.007837 +3.86
below $0.216264 → $0.218970 1.24% 1.33 0.80 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.016904 -8.34
below $0.229021 → $0.234820 2.50% 2.86 0.88 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.029661 -14.63

Prix observé : $0.199360. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.128080 → $0.132344 3.27% 0.77 0.66 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.067016 +12.02
above $0.184578 → $0.188842 2.28% 0.77 0.37 reversion — ↑ $0.010518 +1.89
below $0.235746 → $0.256000 8.24% 3.63 0.63 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.036386 -6.53

Prix observé : $0.199360. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T11:46:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 840,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T11:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-04T11:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}