Observation #20643

← Research Observations / #20643

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-07 01:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

00:00–01:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

01:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

02:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$84,082.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,460,648,379

Synced: 10-07 02:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-07 00:00) Next (10-07 02:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0591

evaluated_at: 2026-10-07 00:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00028456

Settled at: 2026-10-07 01:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,591.08

OI (USD)$3,413,913,145

Mark price$84,105.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,453,403,129

Snapshot at: 2026-10-07 00:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.346%

Change 4h -3.188%

Change 24h +4.120%

Z-score 7d 0.31

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.694%

Divergence -0.44

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.410

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.43

OI momentum 4h

-4.494%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+125 crowded

Time: 2026-10-07 00:00:00 OI observed: 23:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 00:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #243122	fresh	5h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.600	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 21b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.72	33%	↓ -0.29	above_value	-0.25	—	#125376	—	—	—	—	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 20:15	↗
4h #244614	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.555	volatile_reversal	range_high	30%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 3b -1.4ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	2.53	91%	↑ +0.70	below_value	-4.00	—	#125879	—	—	—	—	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #245065	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	0.356	expansion	bear_medium_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 39%	late 2b -2.6ATR	—	—	0.48	43%	↔ -0.07	below_value	-3.38	—	#126031	—	—	—	—	07/10 00:00 upd 07/10 01:05	↗
15m #245000	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.409	volatile_reversal	bear_low	36%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 11b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.27	37%	↑ +0.23	below_value	-3.38	—	#126031	—	—	—	—	07/10 00:45 upd 07/10 01:00	↗
5m #244999	fresh	0s	↓ down	late_trend	bear_trend	moderate	fading	0.743	compression	bear_low	44%	noisy_chop 42%	early 14b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.37	15%	↓ -0.23	below_value	-3.38	—	#126031	—	—	—	—	07/10 00:55 upd 07/10 01:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #182564	fresh	2026-10-07 00:00	0s	0.513	0.416	21/78	2026-10-07 01:00	2026-10-07 01:35
4h #182484	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	1h	0.620	0.465	11/78	2026-10-07 00:00	2026-10-07 00:37
1d #182119	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	5h	0.570	0.706	19/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #126185	fresh	2026-10-07 00:45	0s	$85,627.50	$86,670.00	$85,002.00	between	-7.40	7.99
7d #126264	fresh	2026-10-07 00:00	0s	$85,632.63	$86,694.88	$84,282.32	between	-3.61	5.62
30d #126108	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	1h	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,463.93	hvn	0.00	10.84

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,334.00 → $83,612.00	0.33%	1.33	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $470.00	+2.25
below	$84,529.40 → $85,113.20	0.69%	2.80	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↓ $447.40	-2.14

Prix observé : $84,082.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,914.00 → $83,454.13	0.65%	1.26	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $627.88	+1.46
below	$86,694.88 → $87,235.00	0.62%	1.26	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,612.88	-6.09

Prix observé : $84,082.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.50	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,760.07	+10.54
above	$79,720.73 → $80,768.07	1.31%	1.26	0.73	reversion	✓	↑ $3,313.93	+3.99
above	$81,605.93 → $82,758.00	1.40%	1.39	0.78	reversion	✓	↑ $1,324.00	+1.59
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.63	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,865.33	-3.45

Prix observé : $84,082.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	01:05	01:20	+0.10%	+0.21×	+0.25×	-0.05×	10m	5m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	+0.10%	9.53%	0.15%	$7.32M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	01:05	02:05	+0.26%	+0.52×	+0.61×	-0.05×	1h	5m	Low first	0.67	0.00%	+0.26%	11.78%	0.33%	$85.85M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	01:05	05:05	-0.16%	-0.33×	+0.67×	-0.39×	1h40m	3h55m	High first	0.07	0.00%	-0.16%	18.93%	0.53%	$305.59M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	01:05	13:05	-0.70%	-1.41×	+0.67×	-3.23×	1h40m	8h45m	High first	0.07	0.00%	-0.70%	31.97%	1.94%	$1.51B	— / —	05:30 / 09:25	—	100%
1d	computed	01:05	01:05	-1.76%	-3.54×	+0.67×	-4.53×	1h40m	23h20m	High first	0.09	0.00%	-1.76%	30.15%	2.58%	$2.41B	— / —	05:30 / 09:25	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T04:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T04:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}