Observation #20721

← Research Observations / #20721

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-07 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$84,329.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,467,297,300

Synced: 10-07 03:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1615

evaluated_at: 2026-10-07 01:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00020187

Settled at: 2026-10-07 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,859.44

OI (USD)$3,444,695,782

Mark price$84,306.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,474,219,760

Snapshot at: 2026-10-07 01:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.361%

Change 4h -3.019%

Change 24h +4.334%

Z-score 7d 0.33

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.024%

Divergence 1.90

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.392

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.44

OI momentum 4h

-4.758%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+126 crowded

Time: 2026-10-07 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #243122	fresh	6h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.600	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 21b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.72	33%	↓ -0.29	above_value	-0.25	—	#125376	—	—	—	—	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 20:15	↗
4h #244614	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.555	volatile_reversal	range_high	30%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 3b -1.4ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	2.53	91%	↑ +0.70	below_value	-4.00	—	#125879	—	—	—	—	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #245442	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.414	expansion	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 40%	late 3b -2.4ATR	—	—	0.18	16%	↓ -0.22	below_value	-3.61	—	#126264	—	—	—	—	07/10 01:00 upd 07/10 02:05	↗
15m #245375	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.289	expansion	bear_low	52%	noisy_chop 48%	late 15b -0.4ATR	—	—	1.00	89%	↓ -0.66	below_value	-3.61	—	#126264	—	—	—	—	07/10 01:45 upd 07/10 02:00	↗
5m #245374	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.549	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 42%	late 15b 2.4ATR	—	—	2.18	79%	↑ +0.29	below_value	-3.61	—	#126264	—	—	—	—	07/10 01:55 upd 07/10 02:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #182642	fresh	2026-10-07 01:00	0s	0.530	0.453	28/77	2026-10-07 02:00	2026-10-07 02:35
4h #182484	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	2h	0.620	0.465	11/78	2026-10-07 00:00	2026-10-07 00:37
1d #182119	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	6h	0.570	0.706	19/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #126343	fresh	2026-10-07 01:45	0s	$85,627.50	$86,670.00	$84,585.00	between	-7.16	11.50
7d #126422	fresh	2026-10-07 01:00	0s	$85,632.63	$86,694.88	$84,318.33	value	-3.12	5.69
30d #126108	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	2h	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,463.93	hvn	0.00	10.84

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,334.00 → $83,612.00	0.33%	1.53	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $717.00	+3.96
below	$84,529.40 → $85,141.00	0.72%	3.37	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↓ $200.40	-1.11

Prix observé : $84,329.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,914.00 → $83,454.13	0.65%	1.29	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $874.88	+2.10
below	$86,694.88 → $87,235.00	0.62%	1.29	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,365.88	-5.67

Prix observé : $84,329.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.50	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $9,007.07	+10.84
above	$79,720.73 → $80,768.07	1.31%	1.26	0.73	reversion	✓	↑ $3,560.93	+4.28
above	$81,605.93 → $82,758.00	1.40%	1.39	0.78	reversion	✓	↑ $1,571.00	+1.89
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.63	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,618.33	-3.15

Prix observé : $84,329.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	02:05	02:20	-0.19%	-0.40×	+0.04×	-0.40×	5m	15m	High first	0.96	0.00%	-0.19%	27.76%	0.21%	$27.42M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	02:05	03:05	-0.15%	-0.32×	+0.15×	-0.43×	40m	20m	Low first	0.26	0.00%	-0.15%	22.72%	0.28%	$53.62M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	02:05	06:05	-0.66%	-1.38×	+0.15×	-1.69×	40m	3h40m	High first	0.24	0.00%	-0.66%	22.58%	0.89%	$304.61M	— / —	05:05 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	02:05	14:05	-1.13%	-2.36×	+0.15×	-3.87×	40m	7h45m	High first	0.10	0.00%	-1.13%	33.61%	1.93%	$1.55B	— / —	05:05 / 08:20	—	100%
1d	computed	02:05	02:05	-1.82%	-3.79×	+0.15×	-5.21×	40m	22h20m	High first	0.09	0.00%	-1.82%	31.13%	2.57%	$2.42B	— / —	05:05 / 08:20	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T05:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T05:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}