Observation #21543

← Research Observations / #21543

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-07 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,445.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,761,205,844

Synced: 10-07 13:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-07 11:00) Next (10-07 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3095

evaluated_at: 2026-10-07 11:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00025101

Settled at: 2026-10-07 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,208.34

OI (USD)$3,353,737,374

Mark price$83,409.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,741,821,237

Snapshot at: 2026-10-07 11:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.397%

Change 4h -3.309%

Change 24h -0.872%

Z-score 7d -1.89

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.317%

Divergence 1.73

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.185

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.56

OI momentum 4h

-3.208%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+136 crowded

Time: 2026-10-07 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #243122	fresh	16h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.600	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 21b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.72	33%	↓ -0.29	above_value	-0.25	—	#125376	—	—	—	—	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 20:15	↗
4h #249447	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.434	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	47%	noisy_chop 42%	late 6b -2.4ATR	near -1.2ATR	—	1.82	88%	↑ +0.31	below_value	-6.33	—	#128049	—	—	—	—	07/10 08:00 upd 07/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #249446	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.728	expansion	bear_medium_confirmed	61%	choppy 48%	late 9b -2.2ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.55	51%	↑ +0.45	below_value	-6.33	—	#128049	—	—	—	—	07/10 11:00 upd 07/10 12:05	↗
15m #249380	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.464	expansion	bear_low	46%	noisy_chop 37%	early 3b 0.3ATR	—	—	1.05	89%	↑ +0.38	below_value	-6.33	—	#128049	—	—	—	—	07/10 11:45 upd 07/10 12:00	↗
5m #249379	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.411	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 43%	late 10b 2.0ATR	—	—	1.42	86%	↔ +0.02	below_value	-6.33	—	#128049	—	—	—	—	07/10 11:55 upd 07/10 12:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #183613	fresh	2026-10-07 11:00	0s	0.577	0.446	11/83	2026-10-07 12:00	2026-10-07 12:35
4h #183696	fresh	2026-10-07 08:00	0s	0.605	0.468	6/83	2026-10-07 12:00	2026-10-07 12:37
1d #182119	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	16h	0.570	0.706	19/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #128134	fresh	2026-10-07 11:45	0s	$85,604.69	$85,823.00	$83,588.55	between	-8.98	9.29
7d #128218	fresh	2026-10-07 11:00	0s	$85,531.03	$86,748.15	$84,239.00	between	-4.96	5.96
30d #128302	fresh	2026-10-07 08:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,463.93	value	-1.52	11.24

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$84,513.15 → $85,180.92	0.79%	2.78	0.79	reversion	✓	↓ $1,068.15	-4.44

Prix observé : $83,445.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,741.00 → $83,377.65	0.77%	1.51	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $67.3500	+0.16
below	$86,748.15 → $87,235.00	0.56%	1.16	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,303.15	-7.85

Prix observé : $83,445.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.52	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,123.07	+10.14
above	$79,616.00 → $80,768.07	1.44%	1.44	0.73	reversion	✓	↑ $2,676.93	+3.34
above	$81,605.93 → $82,653.27	1.28%	1.31	0.79	reversion	✓	↑ $791.73	+0.99
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.65	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,502.33	-4.37

Prix observé : $83,445.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	12:05	12:20	+0.12%	+0.24×	+0.27×	-0.08×	5m	10m	High first	0.60	0.00%	+0.12%	44.43%	0.17%	$32.91M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	12:05	13:05	+0.01%	+0.03×	+0.41×	-0.36×	30m	55m	High first	0.02	0.00%	+0.01%	32.24%	0.38%	$99.02M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	12:05	16:05	-0.06%	-0.13×	+0.41×	-1.14×	30m	1h40m	High first	0.02	0.00%	-0.06%	28.48%	0.77%	$347.71M	— / —	13:40 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	12:05	00:05	-1.02%	-2.05×	+0.41×	-2.16×	30m	11h20m	High first	0.12	0.00%	-1.02%	25.65%	1.27%	$779.80M	— / —	13:40 / 23:20	—	100%
1d	computed	12:05	12:05	-2.97%	-6.00×	+0.41×	-6.40×	30m	1d	High first	0.13	0.00%	-2.97%	35.35%	3.38%	$2.92B	— / —	13:40 / 23:20	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T15:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T15:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}