Observation #21626

← Research Observations / #21626

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-07 13:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

12:00–13:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

13:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

14:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,359.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,841,338,134

Synced: 10-07 14:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4348

evaluated_at: 2026-10-07 12:46:19 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00026126

Settled at: 2026-10-07 13:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,591.84

OI (USD)$3,301,445,122

Mark price$83,387.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,774,746,675

Snapshot at: 2026-10-07 12:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.866%

Change 4h -2.704%

Change 24h +0.167%

Z-score 7d 1.01

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.121%

Divergence 1.65

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.223

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.54

OI momentum 4h

-2.861%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+137 crowded

Time: 2026-10-07 12:00:00 OI observed: 11:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 12:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #243122	fresh	17h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.600	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 21b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.72	33%	↓ -0.29	above_value	-0.25	—	#125376	—	—	—	—	05/10 20:00 upd 06/10 20:15	↗
4h #249447	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.434	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	47%	noisy_chop 42%	late 6b -2.4ATR	near -1.2ATR	—	1.82	88%	↑ +0.31	below_value	-6.33	—	#128049	—	—	—	—	07/10 08:00 upd 07/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #249951	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.724	expansion	bear_medium_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 48%	mid 3b -1.4ATR	—	—	0.84	71%	↑ +0.44	below_value	-4.96	—	#128218	—	—	—	—	07/10 12:00 upd 07/10 13:05	↗
15m #249879	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.479	expansion	bear_low	47%	noisy_chop 39%	early 7b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.45	61%	↓ -0.28	below_value	-4.96	—	#128218	—	—	—	—	07/10 12:45 upd 07/10 13:00	↗
5m #249878	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.687	compression	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 46%	early 5b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.66	56%	↓ -0.25	below_value	-4.96	—	#128218	—	—	—	—	07/10 12:55 upd 07/10 13:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #183779	fresh	2026-10-07 12:00	0s	0.566	0.428	9/83	2026-10-07 13:00	2026-10-07 13:35
4h #183696	fresh	2026-10-07 08:00	1h	0.605	0.468	6/83	2026-10-07 12:00	2026-10-07 12:37
1d #182119	fresh	2026-10-05 20:00	17h	0.570	0.706	19/70	2026-10-06 20:00	2026-10-06 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #128386	fresh	2026-10-07 12:45	0s	$83,447.29	$84,333.37	$82,972.15	hvn	-0.38	5.80
7d #128470	fresh	2026-10-07 12:00	0s	$85,531.03	$86,748.15	$84,201.55	between	-5.25	6.15
30d #128302	fresh	2026-10-07 08:00	1h	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,463.93	value	-1.52	11.24

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$84,513.15 → $85,180.92	0.79%	2.84	0.80	reversion	✓	↓ $1,154.15	-4.91

Prix observé : $83,359.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,741.00 → $83,340.20	0.72%	1.45	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $18.8000	+0.05
below	$86,710.70 → $87,235.00	0.60%	1.27	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,351.70	-8.10

Prix observé : $83,359.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.52	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,037.07	+10.03
above	$79,616.00 → $80,768.07	1.44%	1.44	0.73	reversion	✓	↑ $2,590.93	+3.23
above	$81,605.93 → $82,653.27	1.28%	1.31	0.79	reversion	✓	↑ $705.73	+0.88
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.65	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,588.33	-4.48

Prix observé : $83,359.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	13:05	13:20	-0.01%	-0.02×	+0.26×	-0.11×	10m	5m	Low first	0.33	0.00%	-0.01%	7.41%	0.19%	$13.02M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	13:05	14:05	-0.16%	-0.31×	+0.26×	-1.10×	10m	40m	High first	0.16	0.00%	-0.16%	41.46%	0.70%	$134.79M	— / —	13:40 / —	—	100%
4h	computed	13:05	17:05	-0.16%	-0.31×	+0.26×	-1.10×	10m	40m	High first	0.06	0.00%	-0.16%	27.65%	0.70%	$279.35M	— / —	13:40 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	13:05	01:05	-1.05%	-2.06×	+0.26×	-3.01×	10m	11h20m	High first	0.11	0.00%	-1.05%	28.44%	1.67%	$907.03M	— / —	13:40 / 23:20	—	100%
1d	computed	13:05	13:05	-3.24%	-6.33×	+0.26×	-6.48×	10m	1d	High first	0.13	0.00%	-3.24%	36.82%	3.45%	$3.17B	— / —	13:40 / 23:20	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T16:46:19+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 821,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T16:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-07T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}