Observation #23692

← Research Observations / #23692

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-08 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,481.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,542,273,726

Synced: 10-08 16:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-08 14:00) Next (10-08 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0628

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 14:46:14 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00029824

Settled at: 2026-10-08 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,815.12

OI (USD)$3,244,295,249

Mark price$81,484.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,442,700,152

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 14:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.736%

Change 4h -1.773%

Change 24h +0.028%

Z-score 7d -1.02

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001174%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.448%

Divergence -0.65

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.970

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.70

OI momentum 4h

-2.521%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+163 crowded

Time: 2026-10-08 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #252840	fresh	19h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.670	normal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 34%	early 22b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.02	64%	↓ -0.28	below_value	-5.98	—	#129701	—	—	—	—	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 20:15	↗
4h #259407	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.424	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 46%	late 12b -2.0ATR	—	—	1.55	83%	↑ +0.16	below_value	-5.87	—	#132352	—	—	—	—	08/10 08:00 upd 08/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #260702	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.303	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	53%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 1b -1.3ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	1.30	91%	↑ +0.80	below_value	-8.28	inside	#132916	—	—	—	—	08/10 14:00 upd 08/10 15:05	↗
15m #260625	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.377	expansion	bear_medium	62%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 6b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.38	74%	↔ -0.07	below_value	-8.28	—	#132916	—	—	—	—	08/10 14:45 upd 08/10 15:00	↗
5m #260624	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.630	compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 47%	late 18b 1.7ATR	—	near -2.0ATR	0.46	52%	↓ -0.24	below_value	-8.28	—	#132916	—	—	—	—	08/10 14:55 upd 08/10 15:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #186385	fresh	2026-10-08 14:00	0s	0.601	0.405	8/83	2026-10-08 15:00	2026-10-08 15:35
4h #186133	fresh	2026-10-08 08:00	3h	0.635	0.364	6/82	2026-10-08 12:00	2026-10-08 12:37
1d #184587	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	19h	0.562	0.603	17/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #132999	fresh	2026-10-08 14:45	0s	$82,711.31	$83,507.08	$81,268.15	value	-3.22	5.87
7d #133083	fresh	2026-10-08 14:00	0s	$85,542.68	$86,890.80	$83,448.80	lvn LVN	-6.61	5.60
30d #132590	fresh	2026-10-08 08:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$78,568.67	lvn LVN	-2.08	10.72

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,620.75	0.34%	0.71	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $860.25	+2.25
below	$81,537.90 → $81,861.60	0.40%	0.85	0.62	reversion	✓	↓ $56.9000	-0.15
below	$83,372.20 → $83,588.00	0.26%	0.57	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,891.20	-4.95

Prix observé : $81,481.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,809.93	0.57%	0.75	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $671.07	+1.09
inside	$81,096.77 → $82,129.37	1.27%	1.68	0.63	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$86,890.80 → $87,235.00	0.40%	0.56	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,409.80	-8.80

Prix observé : $81,481.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.51	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $6,159.07	+7.51
above	$79,511.27 → $80,768.07	1.57%	1.53	0.72	reversion	✓	↑ $712.93	+0.87
below	$81,605.93 → $82,548.53	1.15%	1.15	0.67	reversion	✓	↓ $124.93	-0.15
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.64	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,466.33	-6.66

Prix observé : $81,481.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	15:05	15:20	0.00%	-0.01×	+0.01×	-0.32×	5m	5m	Tied	0.03	0.00%	0.00%	23.88%	0.24%	$29.93M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	15:05	16:05	+0.23%	+0.32×	+0.41×	-0.32×	1h	5m	Low first	0.31	0.00%	+0.23%	23.74%	0.54%	$116.88M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	15:05	19:05	+0.32%	+0.44×	+0.53×	-0.32×	3h45m	5m	Low first	0.12	0.00%	+0.32%	23.72%	0.63%	$336.44M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	15:05	03:05	+1.13%	+1.53×	+1.74×	-0.32×	11h45m	5m	Low first	0.14	0.00%	+1.13%	23.23%	1.51%	$931.48M	22:50 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	15:05	15:05	+1.08%	+1.48×	+3.18×	-0.32×	16h45m	5m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+1.08%	27.31%	2.57%	$2.06B	22:50 / 07:30	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T18:46:14+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 826,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T18:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}