Observation #23776

← Research Observations / #23776

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-08 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,743.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,629,333,491

Synced: 10-08 17:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-08 15:00) Next (10-08 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4853

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 15:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00038191

Settled at: 2026-10-08 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,037.83

OI (USD)$3,273,973,582

Mark price$81,772.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,536,744,677

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 15:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.311%

Change 4h -3.193%

Change 24h +0.298%

Z-score 7d -0.49

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001174%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.906%

Divergence 3.72 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.942

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.72

OI momentum 4h

-6.124%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+164 crowded

Time: 2026-10-08 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #252840	fresh	20h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.670	normal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 34%	early 22b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.02	64%	↓ -0.28	below_value	-5.98	—	#129701	—	—	—	—	06/10 20:00 upd 07/10 20:15	↗
4h #261109	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.419	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 46%	late 13b -2.4ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	2.14	93%	↑ +0.35	below_value	-6.61	—	#133083	—	—	—	—	08/10 12:00 upd 08/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #261108	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.304	volatile_reversal	bear_medium	53%	noisy_chop 41%	early 2b -0.8ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.55	65%	↑ +0.68	below_value	-6.61	inside	#133083	—	—	—	—	08/10 15:00 upd 08/10 16:05	↗
15m #261037	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.373	normal	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 40%	late 10b 0.7ATR	—	—	0.23	52%	↓ -0.73	below_value	-6.61	—	#133083	—	—	—	—	08/10 15:45 upd 08/10 16:00	↗
5m #261036	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.554	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 41%	late 30b 2.0ATR	—	—	0.44	31%	↓ -0.56	below_value	-6.61	—	#133083	—	—	—	—	08/10 15:55 upd 08/10 16:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #186468	fresh	2026-10-08 15:00	0s	0.582	0.466	19/84	2026-10-08 16:00	2026-10-08 16:35
4h #186551	fresh	2026-10-08 12:00	0s	0.634	0.428	9/84	2026-10-08 16:00	2026-10-08 16:37
1d #184587	fresh	2026-10-06 20:00	20h	0.562	0.603	17/80	2026-10-07 20:00	2026-10-07 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #133167	fresh	2026-10-08 15:45	0s	$81,416.51	$82,616.90	$80,512.85	value	0.99	6.35
7d #133251	fresh	2026-10-08 15:00	0s	$85,542.68	$86,890.80	$83,391.43	lvn LVN	-6.33	5.83
30d #133335	fresh	2026-10-08 12:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$78,673.40	value	-2.91	9.60

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,647.73	0.37%	0.90	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,095.27	+3.31
below	$83,318.25 → $83,588.00	0.32%	0.81	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,575.25	-4.76

Prix observé : $81,743.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,809.93	0.57%	0.77	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $933.07	+1.56
inside	$81,383.60 → $82,129.37	0.91%	1.24	0.61	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$86,890.80 → $87,235.00	0.40%	0.57	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,147.80	-8.58

Prix observé : $81,743.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.58	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $6,316.33	+6.98
above	$79,406.53 → $80,558.60	1.44%	1.27	0.70	reversion	✓	↑ $1,184.40	+1.31
inside	$81,605.93 → $82,548.53	1.15%	1.04	0.65	reversion	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.58	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,204.33	-5.75

Prix observé : $81,743.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	16:05	16:20	-0.03%	-0.05×	+0.15×	-0.05×	10m	15m	High first	0.23	0.00%	-0.03%	31.65%	0.14%	$19.89M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	16:05	17:05	-0.17%	-0.25×	+0.15×	-0.25×	10m	1h	High first	0.25	0.00%	-0.17%	26.18%	0.28%	$96.40M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	16:05	20:05	-0.01%	-0.02×	+0.23×	-0.37×	2h45m	1h45m	Low first	0.01	0.00%	-0.01%	22.22%	0.42%	$264.29M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	16:05	04:05	+1.00%	+1.42×	+1.49×	-0.41×	10h45m	5h20m	Low first	0.12	0.00%	+1.00%	22.82%	1.32%	$850.04M	23:40 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	16:05	16:05	+0.61%	+0.87×	+3.00×	-0.41×	15h45m	5h20m	Low first	0.03	0.00%	+0.61%	26.99%	2.38%	$2.00B	23:40 / 07:35	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T19:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T19:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}