Observation #24112

← Research Observations / #24112

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-08 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,713.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,631,959,663

Synced: 10-08 21:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-08 19:00) Next (10-08 21:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6135

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 19:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000539%

Annualized4.72%

Premium-0.00045685

Settled at: 2026-10-08 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,872.48

OI (USD)$3,256,704,250

Mark price$81,678.00

Funding next0.000589%

Day vol (USD)$3,633,215,826

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 19:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.429%

Change 4h +0.500%

Change 24h +1.107%

Z-score 7d 0.42

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001067%

Avg 24h 0.001124%

Percentile 7d 20.2%

Percentile 30d 26.1%

Δ 4h -0.000183%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.037%

Divergence -0.03

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.905

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.73

OI momentum 4h

+3.693%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+168 crowded

Time: 2026-10-08 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #262903	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.626	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 32%	early 17b -0.7ATR	—	—	1.46	89%	↔ -0.11	below_value	-7.56	—	#134009	—	—	—	—	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 20:15	↗
4h #262823	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.415	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 47%	late 14b -1.9ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.52	33%	↑ +0.37	below_value	-6.99	—	#133841	—	—	—	—	08/10 16:00 upd 08/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #262822	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.301	expansion	bear_medium	63%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 6b -0.5ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.16	18%	↔ -0.08	below_value	-6.99	—	#133841	—	—	—	—	08/10 19:00 upd 08/10 20:05	↗
15m #262755	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.403	compression	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 38%	late 26b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.51	24%	↓ -0.60	below_value	-6.99	—	#133841	—	—	—	—	08/10 19:45 upd 08/10 20:00	↗
5m #262754	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.584	normal	range_low	35%	noisy_chop 39%	early 14b -0.9ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.38	5%	↓ -0.37	below_value	-6.99	—	#133841	—	—	—	—	08/10 19:55 upd 08/10 20:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #186886	fresh	2026-10-08 19:00	0s	0.519	0.419	15/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:35
4h #186969	fresh	2026-10-08 16:00	0s	0.538	0.424	12/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:37
1d #187052	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	0s	0.587	0.561	14/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #133925	fresh	2026-10-08 19:45	0s	$81,410.75	$82,522.83	$80,612.67	value	1.57	9.94
7d #134009	fresh	2026-10-08 19:00	0s	$85,542.68	$86,890.80	$83,334.07	between	-7.56	7.02
30d #134093	fresh	2026-10-08 16:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$78,778.13	value	-2.57	9.77

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,638.83	0.36%	1.50	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,074.17	+5.59
below	$81,947.17 → $82,051.83	0.13%	0.54	0.35	reversion	—	↓ $234.17	-1.22
below	$83,124.67 → $83,491.00	0.44%	1.91	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,411.67	-7.35

Prix observé : $81,713.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,809.93	0.57%	0.91	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $903.07	+1.78
above	$81,096.77 → $81,613.07	0.63%	1.02	0.52	continuation_down	✓	↑ $99.9333	+0.20
below	$81,899.90 → $82,186.73	0.35%	0.57	0.53	continuation_down	✓	↓ $186.90	-0.37
below	$86,833.43 → $87,235.00	0.46%	0.79	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,120.43	-10.11

Prix observé : $81,713.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.60	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $6,286.33	+7.15
above	$79,406.53 → $80,663.33	1.57%	1.43	0.69	reversion	✓	↑ $1,049.67	+1.19
below	$81,815.40 → $82,653.27	1.02%	0.95	0.64	reversion	✓	↓ $102.40	-0.12
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.60	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,234.33	-5.95

Prix observé : $81,713.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	20:05	20:20	-0.12%	-0.20×	+0.09×	-0.20×	15m	15m	Tied	0.53	0.00%	-0.12%	49.89%	0.17%	$13.93M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	20:05	21:05	+0.01%	+0.02×	+0.21×	-0.25×	55m	25m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	+0.01%	24.12%	0.27%	$45.36M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	20:05	00:05	+0.80%	+1.35×	+1.50×	-0.45×	4h	1h20m	Low first	0.27	0.00%	+0.80%	25.29%	1.16%	$372.34M	22:50 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	20:05	08:05	+1.87%	+3.14×	+3.55×	-0.45×	11h45m	1h20m	Low first	0.23	0.00%	+1.87%	25.75%	2.38%	$1.00B	22:50 / 07:30	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	20:05	20:05	+0.95%	+1.60×	+3.55×	-0.45×	11h45m	1h20m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+0.95%	26.10%	2.38%	$1.86B	22:50 / 07:30	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T23:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T23:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-08T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}