Observation #24195

← Research Observations / #24195

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-08 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,772.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,653,354,434

Synced: 10-08 22:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-08 20:00) Next (10-08 22:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.353

evaluated_at: 2026-10-08 20:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000063%

Annualized0.56%

Premium-0.00049493

Settled at: 2026-10-08 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,047.21

OI (USD)$3,278,024,391

Mark price$81,854.00

Funding next0.000055%

Day vol (USD)$3,643,214,925

Snapshot at: 2026-10-08 20:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.354%

Change 4h -0.413%

Change 24h +0.647%

Z-score 7d -0.54

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000539%

Avg 24h 0.001096%

Percentile 7d 1.8% bottom

Percentile 30d 12.5%

Δ 4h -0.000711%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.016%

Divergence 0.57

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.896

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.73

OI momentum 4h

-1.323%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+169 crowded

Time: 2026-10-08 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #262903	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.626	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 32%	early 17b -0.7ATR	—	—	1.46	89%	↔ -0.11	below_value	-7.56	—	#134009	—	—	—	—	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 20:15	↗
4h #262823	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.415	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 47%	late 14b -1.9ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.52	33%	↑ +0.37	below_value	-6.99	—	#133841	—	—	—	—	08/10 16:00 upd 08/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #263438	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	explosive	0.418	expansion	bear_medium	62%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 7b -0.5ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.30	38%	↔ -0.07	below_value	-7.56	—	#134009	—	—	—	—	08/10 20:00 upd 08/10 21:05	↗
15m #263362	fresh	0s	↓ down	pullback	bear_trend	moderate	grind	0.380	compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 32%	late 30b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.42	11%	↓ -0.35	below_value	-7.56	—	#134009	—	—	—	—	08/10 20:45 upd 08/10 21:00	↗
5m #263361	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.617	expansion_after_compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 37%	early 6b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.78	22%	↓ -0.22	below_value	-7.56	—	#134009	—	—	—	—	08/10 20:55 upd 08/10 21:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #187135	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	0s	0.513	0.428	11/82	2026-10-08 21:00	2026-10-08 21:35
4h #186969	fresh	2026-10-08 16:00	1h	0.538	0.424	12/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:37
1d #187052	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	1h	0.587	0.561	14/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #134177	fresh	2026-10-08 20:45	0s	$81,786.57	$83,171.33	$81,291.11	hvn	-0.08	10.46
7d #134260	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	0s	$85,542.68	$86,890.80	$83,334.07	between	-7.75	7.31
30d #134093	fresh	2026-10-08 16:00	1h	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$78,778.13	value	-2.57	9.77

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,655.90	0.38%	1.70	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,116.10	+6.21
below	$81,951.73 → $82,053.36	0.12%	0.57	0.38	reversion	—	↓ $179.73	-1.00
below	$83,069.69 → $83,400.00	0.40%	1.84	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,297.69	-7.22

Prix observé : $81,772.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,809.93	0.57%	0.94	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $962.07	+1.98
above	$81,096.77 → $81,613.07	0.63%	1.06	0.51	continuation_down	✓	↑ $158.93	+0.33
below	$81,899.90 → $82,186.73	0.35%	0.59	0.52	continuation_down	✓	↓ $127.90	-0.26
below	$86,833.43 → $87,235.00	0.46%	0.83	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,061.43	-10.40

Prix observé : $81,772.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.60	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $6,345.33	+7.22
above	$79,406.53 → $80,663.33	1.57%	1.43	0.69	reversion	✓	↑ $1,108.67	+1.26
below	$81,815.40 → $82,653.27	1.02%	0.95	0.64	reversion	✓	↓ $43.4000	-0.05
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.60	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,175.33	-5.89

Prix observé : $81,772.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	21:05	21:20	-0.19%	-0.32×	0.00×	-0.38×	5m	15m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	-0.19%	5.62%	0.23%	$9.62M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	21:05	22:05	+0.23%	+0.40×	+0.47×	-0.48×	1h	20m	Low first	0.35	0.00%	+0.23%	27.02%	0.56%	$46.18M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	21:05	01:05	+0.62%	+1.06×	+1.49×	-0.48×	3h	20m	Low first	0.22	0.00%	+0.62%	24.46%	1.16%	$371.77M	22:50 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	21:05	09:05	+1.50%	+2.54×	+3.56×	-0.48×	10h45m	20m	Low first	0.18	0.00%	+1.50%	26.12%	2.38%	$1.08B	22:50 / 07:30	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	21:05	21:05	+0.92%	+1.57×	+3.56×	-0.48×	10h45m	20m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+0.92%	25.72%	2.38%	$1.84B	22:50 / 07:30	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T00:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T00:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}