Observation #25038

← Research Observations / #25038

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-09 07:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

06:00–07:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

07:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

08:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,512.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,552,764,017

Synced: 10-09 08:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2571

evaluated_at: 2026-10-09 06:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000296%

Annualized-2.59%

Premium-0.00052365

Settled at: 2026-10-09 07:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,041.98

OI (USD)$3,218,581,522

Mark price$82,439.00

Funding next-0.000201%

Day vol (USD)$3,413,808,639

Snapshot at: 2026-10-09 06:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.197%

Change 4h +0.314%

Change 24h -3.037%

Z-score 7d -0.32

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000013%

Avg 24h 0.000940%

Percentile 7d 0.0% bottom

Percentile 30d 6.3%

Δ 4h -0.001237%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.038%

Divergence 0.08

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.943

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.69

OI momentum 4h

+3.047%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+179 crowded

Time: 2026-10-09 06:00:00 OI observed: 05:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 06:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #262903	fresh	11h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.626	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 32%	early 17b -0.7ATR	—	—	1.46	89%	↔ -0.11	below_value	-7.56	—	#134009	—	—	—	—	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 20:15	↗
4h #266391	fresh	3h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.359	expansion	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 45%	early 3b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.54	36%	↑ +0.24	below_value	-6.84	—	#135351	—	—	—	—	09/10 00:00 upd 09/10 04:05	↗
1h anchor #267722	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.397	compression	bear_medium	64%	noisy_chop 44%	late 17b 0.7ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.57	60%	↓ -0.80	below_value	-7.57	—	#135940	—	—	—	—	09/10 06:00 upd 09/10 07:05	↗
15m #267647	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.667	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 38%	early 8b 0.1ATR	near 0.4ATR	near -1.7ATR	3.02	75%	↔ +0.08	below_value	-7.57	—	#135940	—	—	—	—	09/10 06:45 upd 09/10 07:00	↗
5m #267646	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.629	expansion	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 41%	early 2b -0.3ATR	—	—	1.32	67%	↑ +0.76	below_value	-7.57	—	#135940	—	—	—	—	09/10 06:55 upd 09/10 07:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #188130	fresh	2026-10-09 06:00	0s	0.478	0.472	19/85	2026-10-09 07:00	2026-10-09 07:35
4h #187880	fresh	2026-10-09 00:00	3h	0.534	0.446	14/83	2026-10-09 04:00	2026-10-09 04:37
1d #187052	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	11h	0.587	0.561	14/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #136025	fresh	2026-10-09 06:45	0s	$82,475.07	$82,666.33	$81,257.00	hvn	0.26	9.95
7d #136110	fresh	2026-10-09 06:00	0s	$85,600.05	$86,833.43	$82,932.50	between	-7.92	10.01
30d #135603	fresh	2026-10-09 00:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$78,778.13	lvn LVN	-1.86	10.14

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,753.67	0.50%	2.84	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,758.33	+12.41
above	$81,559.00 → $81,639.53	0.10%	0.57	0.37	continuation_down	—	↑ $872.47	+6.16
below	$82,646.20 → $82,767.00	0.15%	0.85	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $134.20	-0.95

Prix observé : $82,512.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,867.30	0.64%	1.32	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,644.70	+4.22
above	$81,039.40 → $81,613.07	0.71%	1.47	0.48	continuation_down	—	↑ $898.93	+2.31
below	$86,776.07 → $87,235.00	0.53%	1.18	0.60	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,264.07	-10.94

Prix observé : $82,512.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.62	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,085.33	+8.36
above	$79,092.33 → $80,663.33	1.97%	1.85	0.66	reversion	✓	↑ $1,848.67	+2.18
inside	$81,920.13 → $82,548.53	0.76%	0.74	0.59	reversion	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.62	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,435.33	-5.23

Prix observé : $82,512.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	07:05	07:20	+0.07%	+0.13×	+0.13×	-0.13×	15m	10m	Low first	0.88	0.00%	+0.07%	13.89%	0.14%	$9.59M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	07:05	08:05	+1.00%	+1.88×	+2.33×	-0.13×	45m	10m	Low first	0.76	0.00%	+1.00%	47.95%	1.31%	$262.98M	07:35 / 07:45	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	07:05	11:05	+0.54%	+1.02×	+2.33×	-0.13×	45m	10m	Low first	0.11	0.00%	+0.54%	44.00%	1.31%	$652.88M	07:35 / 07:45	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	07:05	19:05	+0.11%	+0.21×	+2.33×	-0.56×	45m	8h50m	High first	0.01	0.00%	+0.11%	30.15%	1.54%	$1.10B	07:35 / 07:45	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	07:05	07:05	+0.40%	+0.75×	+2.33×	-0.56×	45m	8h50m	High first	0.03	0.00%	+0.40%	22.57%	1.54%	$1.36B	07:35 / 07:45	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T10:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T11:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T10:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}