Observation #25123

← Research Observations / #25123

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-09 08:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

07:00–08:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

08:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

09:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,213.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,469,065,067

Synced: 10-09 09:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2952

evaluated_at: 2026-10-09 07:46:17 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000845%

Annualized7.40%

Premium-0.00043239

Settled at: 2026-10-09 08:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,754.46

OI (USD)$3,224,293,277

Mark price$83,198.00

Funding next0.000767%

Day vol (USD)$3,563,055,111

Snapshot at: 2026-10-09 07:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.231%

Change 4h -0.113%

Change 24h -2.290%

Z-score 7d -0.35

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000296%

Avg 24h 0.000878%

Percentile 7d 0.0% bottom

Percentile 30d 3.9%

Δ 4h -0.001546%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.721%

Divergence 1.49

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.943

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.69

OI momentum 4h

+0.055%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-09 07:00:00 OI observed: 06:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 07:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #262903	fresh	12h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.626	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 32%	early 17b -0.7ATR	—	—	1.46	89%	↔ -0.11	below_value	-7.56	—	#134009	—	—	—	—	07/10 20:00 upd 08/10 20:15	↗
4h #268138	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.357	normal	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 4b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.36	19%	↔ +0.04	below_value	-7.92	—	#136110	—	—	—	—	09/10 04:00 upd 09/10 08:05	↗
1h anchor #268136	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.690	compression	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 46%	late 18b 1.6ATR	—	near -1.0ATR	0.76	61%	↓ -0.67	below_value	-7.92	—	#136110	—	—	—	—	09/10 07:00 upd 09/10 08:05	↗
15m #268068	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.584	volatile_reversal	bull_low_confirmed	30%	noisy_chop 44%	late 5b 3.3ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	5.13	95%	↑ +0.77	below_value	-7.92	—	#136110	—	—	—	—	09/10 07:45 upd 09/10 08:00	↗
5m #268067	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.679	volatile_reversal	bull_low_confirmed	35%	noisy_chop 43%	late 2b 2.8ATR	—	near 0.5ATR	0.56	83%	↑ +0.82	below_value	-7.92	—	#136110	—	—	—	—	09/10 07:55 upd 09/10 08:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #188215	fresh	2026-10-09 07:00	0s	0.611	0.534	9/85	2026-10-09 08:00	2026-10-09 08:35
4h #188299	fresh	2026-10-09 04:00	0s	0.551	0.463	11/85	2026-10-09 08:00	2026-10-09 08:37
1d #187052	fresh	2026-10-07 20:00	12h	0.587	0.561	14/83	2026-10-08 20:00	2026-10-08 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #136195	fresh	2026-10-09 07:45	0s	$82,463.45	$82,686.51	$81,164.49	lvn LVN	3.99	8.10
7d #136280	fresh	2026-10-09 07:00	0s	$85,544.39	$86,821.45	$82,961.88	value	-5.31	8.79
30d #136365	fresh	2026-10-09 04:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$78,778.13	value	-1.91	10.57

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,508.45	0.20%	0.84	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,704.55	+14.39
above	$82,791.48 → $82,948.93	0.19%	0.84	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↑ $264.07	+1.41
inside	$83,027.65 → $83,500.00	0.57%	2.51	0.81	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $83,213.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,861.83	0.63%	1.16	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,351.18	+5.35
above	$81,032.10 → $81,599.68	0.70%	1.29	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,613.32	+3.67
below	$86,764.69 → $87,162.00	0.46%	0.90	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,551.69	-8.09

Prix observé : $83,213.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.64	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,786.33	+9.58
above	$78,987.60 → $80,558.60	1.97%	1.93	0.69	reversion	✓	↑ $2,654.40	+3.27
above	$81,920.13 → $82,443.80	0.64%	0.64	0.58	reversion	✓	↑ $769.20	+0.95
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.64	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,734.33	-4.59

Prix observé : $83,213.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	08:05	08:20	-0.12%	-0.22×	+0.23×	-0.22×	5m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.12%	6.06%	0.24%	$31.31M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	08:05	09:05	-0.35%	-0.65×	+0.23×	-0.92×	5m	55m	High first	0.45	0.00%	-0.35%	26.54%	0.61%	$120.26M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	08:05	12:05	-0.60%	-1.12×	+0.23×	-1.96×	5m	2h	High first	0.14	0.00%	-0.60%	37.42%	1.17%	$461.90M	— / —	09:30 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	08:05	20:05	-0.90%	-1.68×	+0.23×	-2.41×	5m	7h50m	High first	0.11	0.00%	-0.90%	26.24%	1.41%	$857.76M	— / —	09:30 / 14:35	—	100%
1d	computed	08:05	08:05	-0.57%	-1.07×	+0.23×	-2.41×	5m	7h50m	High first	0.05	0.00%	-0.57%	19.96%	1.41%	$1.10B	— / —	09:30 / 14:35	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T11:46:17+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 823,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T11:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-09T11:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}