Observation #26584

← Research Observations / #26584

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-10 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,699.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,446,843,390

Synced: 10-10 04:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6928

evaluated_at: 2026-10-10 02:46:00 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001175%

Annualized10.29%

Premium-0.00040602

Settled at: 2026-10-10 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,040.12

OI (USD)$3,148,162,511

Mark price$82,759.00

Funding next0.001142%

Day vol (USD)$1,454,894,263

Snapshot at: 2026-10-10 02:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.066%

Change 4h -0.351%

Change 24h -2.172%

Z-score 7d -0.13

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001058%

Avg 24h 0.000392%

Percentile 7d 26.8%

Percentile 30d 27.5%

Δ 4h +0.001050%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.144%

Divergence 0.67

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.132

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.06

OI momentum 4h

-0.263%

Funding +ratio 24h

68.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-10 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #273041	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.625	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 33%	early 18b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.74	38%	↓ -0.21	above_value	+0.27	—	#138408	—	—	—	—	08/10 20:00 upd 09/10 20:15	↗
4h #274482	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.354	normal	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 45%	early 8b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.19	5%	↓ -0.33	above_value	+0.31	inside	#138928	—	—	—	—	09/10 20:00 upd 10/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #275625	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.521	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 41%	early 11b 0.6ATR	—	near -0.9ATR	0.33	18%	↓ -0.86	value	+0.95	—	#139450	—	—	—	—	10/10 02:00 upd 10/10 03:05	↗
15m #275561	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.598	normal	range_low	44%	noisy_chop 42%	early 13b 0.4ATR	—	—	1.37	23%	↔ -0.01	value	+0.95	—	#139450	—	—	—	—	10/10 02:45 upd 10/10 03:00	↗
5m #275560	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.808	volatile_reversal	range_low	36%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 2b -0.8ATR	—	—	2.35	79%	↔ -0.02	value	+0.95	—	#139450	—	—	—	—	10/10 02:55 upd 10/10 03:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #190126	fresh	2026-10-10 02:00	0s	0.441	0.487	59/76	2026-10-10 03:00	2026-10-10 03:35
4h #189905	fresh	2026-10-09 20:00	3h	0.494	0.448	31/73	2026-10-10 00:00	2026-10-10 00:37
1d #189540	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	7h	0.554	0.595	20/73	2026-10-09 20:00	2026-10-09 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #139526	fresh	2026-10-10 02:45	0s	$82,530.10	$82,970.00	$82,365.80	value	2.09	7.46
7d #139603	fresh	2026-10-10 02:00	0s	$82,536.34	$85,496.23	$80,461.65	hvn	0.59	18.16
30d #139150	fresh	2026-10-09 20:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$79,616.00	value	-1.92	9.82

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,228.00 → $82,323.40	0.12%	1.18	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $375.60	+4.64
below	$83,277.40 → $83,500.00	0.27%	2.75	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $578.40	-7.14

Prix observé : $82,699.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,793.60	0.55%	1.60	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,905.40	+6.87
above	$81,070.23 → $81,346.85	0.34%	1.00	0.47	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,352.15	+4.88
above	$81,402.18 → $81,568.15	0.20%	0.60	0.51	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,130.85	+4.08
below	$84,279.08 → $84,721.68	0.52%	1.60	0.63	reversion	✓	↓ $1,580.08	-5.70
below	$86,713.38 → $86,990.00	0.32%	1.00	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,014.38	-14.48

Prix observé : $82,699.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.66	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,272.33	+9.22
above	$78,673.40 → $80,453.87	2.24%	2.26	0.73	reversion	✓	↑ $2,245.13	+2.85
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.66	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,248.33	-5.38

Prix observé : $82,699.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	03:05	03:20	-0.09%	-0.26×	0.00×	-0.28×	5m	10m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	-0.09%	2.22%	0.09%	$11.61M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	03:05	04:05	+0.11%	+0.33×	+0.38×	-0.33×	1h	25m	Low first	0.36	0.00%	+0.11%	12.88%	0.23%	$32.43M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	03:05	07:05	+0.14%	+0.43×	+0.83×	-0.33×	2h30m	25m	Low first	0.14	0.00%	+0.14%	9.58%	0.38%	$83.71M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	03:05	15:05	+0.36%	+1.11×	+1.72×	-0.33×	10h35m	25m	Low first	0.11	0.00%	+0.36%	10.89%	0.67%	$513.85M	10:35 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	03:05	03:05	+0.55%	+1.68×	+1.84×	-0.33×	1d	25m	Low first	0.08	0.00%	+0.55%	10.80%	0.71%	$829.16M	10:35 / —	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T06:46:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 840,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T06:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}