Observation #26660

← Research Observations / #26660

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-10 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,769.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,429,872,126

Synced: 10-10 05:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7592

evaluated_at: 2026-10-10 03:46:03 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000415%

Annualized3.63%

Premium-0.00046682

Settled at: 2026-10-10 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,182.06

OI (USD)$3,159,221,866

Mark price$82,741.00

Funding next0.000438%

Day vol (USD)$1,457,349,616

Snapshot at: 2026-10-10 03:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.321%

Change 4h -0.720%

Change 24h -2.676%

Z-score 7d -0.48

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001175%

Avg 24h 0.000389%

Percentile 7d 31.0%

Percentile 30d 31.7%

Δ 4h +0.001007%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.243%

Divergence 1.11

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.164

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.05

OI momentum 4h

-0.803%

Funding +ratio 24h

68.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-10 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #273041	fresh	8h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.625	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 33%	early 18b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.74	38%	↓ -0.21	above_value	+0.27	—	#138408	—	—	—	—	08/10 20:00 upd 09/10 20:15	↗
4h #275989	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.360	normal	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 41%	early 9b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.15	3%	↓ -0.58	above_value	+0.59	inside	#139603	—	—	—	—	10/10 00:00 upd 10/10 04:05	↗
1h anchor #275988	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.425	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 42%	early 12b 0.0ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	0.33	13%	↓ -0.82	above_value	+0.59	—	#139603	—	—	—	—	10/10 03:00 upd 10/10 04:05	↗
15m #275925	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.834	expansion	range_low	46%	noisy_chop 49%	mid 2b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.20	1%	↔ +0.12	above_value	+0.59	—	#139603	—	—	—	—	10/10 03:45 upd 10/10 04:00	↗
5m #275924	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.804	expansion	range_low	44%	noisy_chop 51%	mid 6b 1.7ATR	—	—	0.19	13%	↓ -0.19	above_value	+0.59	—	#139603	—	—	—	—	10/10 03:55 upd 10/10 04:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #190202	fresh	2026-10-10 03:00	0s	0.451	0.501	64/75	2026-10-10 04:00	2026-10-10 04:35
4h #190277	fresh	2026-10-10 00:00	0s	0.490	0.454	34/75	2026-10-10 04:00	2026-10-10 04:37
1d #189540	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	8h	0.554	0.595	20/73	2026-10-09 20:00	2026-10-09 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #139680	fresh	2026-10-10 03:45	0s	$82,530.10	$82,970.00	$82,365.80	value	2.85	7.20
7d #139756	fresh	2026-10-10 03:00	0s	$82,536.34	$85,496.23	$80,461.65	hvn	0.86	18.67
30d #139832	fresh	2026-10-10 00:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,366.27	$79,720.73	value	-1.85	10.16

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,228.00 → $82,323.40	0.12%	1.14	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $445.60	+5.31
below	$83,277.40 → $83,500.00	0.27%	2.65	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $508.40	-6.06

Prix observé : $82,769.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,793.60	0.55%	1.64	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,975.40	+7.32
above	$81,070.23 → $81,346.85	0.34%	1.03	0.47	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,422.15	+5.27
above	$81,402.18 → $81,568.15	0.20%	0.62	0.51	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,200.85	+4.45
below	$84,279.08 → $84,721.68	0.52%	1.64	0.64	reversion	✓	↓ $1,510.08	-5.60
below	$86,713.38 → $86,990.00	0.32%	1.03	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,944.38	-14.62

Prix observé : $82,769.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.70	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,342.33	+9.75
above	$78,568.67 → $80,453.87	2.37%	2.50	0.72	reversion	✓	↑ $2,315.13	+3.08
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.70	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,178.33	-5.55

Prix observé : $82,769.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	04:05	04:20	+0.02%	+0.06×	+0.07×	0.00×	10m	5m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	+0.02%	2.77%	0.02%	$2.06M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	04:05	05:05	+0.05%	+0.17×	+0.22×	-0.17×	20m	45m	High first	0.22	0.00%	+0.05%	9.75%	0.12%	$21.19M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	04:05	08:05	+0.06%	+0.19×	+0.53×	-0.17×	1h30m	45m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+0.06%	8.57%	0.22%	$57.13M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	04:05	16:05	+0.35%	+1.12×	+1.46×	-0.20×	9h35m	6h5m	Low first	0.11	0.00%	+0.35%	10.40%	0.52%	$506.40M	10:35 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	04:05	04:05	+0.27%	+0.85×	+1.58×	-0.20×	23h	6h5m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	+0.27%	10.80%	0.56%	$817.81M	10:35 / —	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T07:46:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 837,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T07:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}