Observation #27718

← Research Observations / #27718

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-10 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,044.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $794,942,596

Synced: 10-10 20:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5817

evaluated_at: 2026-10-10 18:46:00 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000395%

Annualized-3.46%

Premium-0.00053159

Settled at: 2026-10-10 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,331.14

OI (USD)$3,182,596,625

Mark price$83,029.00

Funding next-0.000380%

Day vol (USD)$795,154,417

Snapshot at: 2026-10-10 18:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +1.042%

Change 4h +1.322%

Change 24h +0.465%

Z-score 7d 1.41

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000132%

Avg 24h 0.000310%

Percentile 7d 4.2% bottom

Percentile 30d 5.0%

Δ 4h -0.000098%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.067%

Divergence -0.75

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.020

OI / Vol z-7d

0.97

OI momentum 4h

+2.323%

Funding +ratio 24h

72.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-10 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #273041	fresh	23h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.625	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 33%	early 18b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.74	38%	↓ -0.21	above_value	+0.27	—	#138408	—	—	—	—	08/10 20:00 upd 09/10 20:15	↗
4h #280353	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.371	compression	range_high	43%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 12b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.58	31%	↓ -0.66	above_value	+0.33	—	#141571	—	—	—	—	10/10 12:00 upd 10/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #281378	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.469	compression	range_low	36%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 5b 1.3ATR	—	near -3.4ATR	0.81	26%	↑ +0.41	above_value	+0.13	—	#142034	—	—	—	—	10/10 18:00 upd 10/10 19:05	↗
15m #281320	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	weak	grind	0.554	compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 37%	early 2b 0.8ATR	—	—	0.45	15%	↓ -0.20	above_value	+0.13	—	#142034	—	—	—	—	10/10 18:45 upd 10/10 19:00	↗
5m #281319	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.806	volatile_reversal	range_low	32%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 2b 1.1ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.38	27%	↑ +0.49	above_value	+0.13	—	#142034	—	—	—	—	10/10 18:55 upd 10/10 19:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #191548	fresh	2026-10-10 18:00	0s	0.448	0.509	57/69	2026-10-10 19:00	2026-10-10 19:35
4h #191349	fresh	2026-10-10 12:00	3h	0.507	0.478	25/66	2026-10-10 16:00	2026-10-10 16:37
1d #189540	fresh	2026-10-08 20:00	23h	0.554	0.595	20/73	2026-10-09 20:00	2026-10-09 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #142101	fresh	2026-10-10 18:45	0s	$83,007.47	$83,142.02	$82,779.57	hvn	0.58	5.73
7d #142168	fresh	2026-10-10 18:00	0s	$82,978.94	$85,496.23	$80,351.00	hvn	0.38	29.75
30d #141769	fresh	2026-10-10 12:00	3h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$80,453.87	value	-1.65	10.10

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,494.00 → $82,532.44	0.05%	0.61	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $511.56	+8.08
above	$82,669.73 → $82,724.65	0.07%	0.87	0.58	continuation_down	✓	↑ $319.35	+5.05
above	$82,850.96 → $82,905.88	0.07%	0.87	0.53	continuation_down	✓	↑ $138.13	+2.18

Prix observé : $83,044.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,793.60	0.55%	2.56	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,250.40	+13.01
above	$81,070.23 → $81,291.53	0.27%	1.28	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,752.48	+10.13
below	$84,279.08 → $84,998.30	0.85%	4.16	0.74	reversion	✓	↓ $1,235.08	-7.14
below	$86,713.38 → $86,990.00	0.32%	1.60	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,669.38	-21.22

Prix observé : $83,044.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.80	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,617.33	+11.66
above	$78,568.67 → $80,453.87	2.37%	2.89	0.72	reversion	✓	↑ $2,590.13	+3.97
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.80	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,903.33	-5.98

Prix observé : $83,044.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	19:05	19:20	-0.05%	-0.24×	+0.01×	-0.24×	5m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.05%	0.55%	0.05%	$1.82M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	19:05	20:05	-0.11%	-0.55×	+0.01×	-0.59×	5m	50m	High first	0.70	0.00%	-0.11%	5.95%	0.12%	$23.46M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	19:05	23:05	-0.04%	-0.21×	+0.34×	-1.07×	3h40m	2h	Low first	0.04	0.00%	-0.04%	8.59%	0.29%	$116.88M	— / —	21:00 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	19:05	07:05	-0.08%	-0.40×	+0.83×	-1.77×	8h	5h	Low first	0.03	0.00%	-0.08%	9.57%	0.53%	$275.72M	— / —	21:00 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	19:05	19:05	+0.79%	+3.90×	+6.73×	-1.77×	18h35m	5h	Low first	0.08	0.00%	+0.79%	18.51%	1.73%	$1.21B	11:30 / 11:40	21:00 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T22:46:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 840,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T22:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}