Observation #27786

← Research Observations / #27786

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-10 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,946.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $810,363,852

Synced: 10-10 21:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-10 19:00) Next (10-10 21:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4314

evaluated_at: 2026-10-10 19:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000367%

Annualized-3.21%

Premium-0.00052934

Settled at: 2026-10-10 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,341.52

OI (USD)$3,180,221,658

Mark price$82,944.60

Funding next-0.000387%

Day vol (USD)$799,803,141

Snapshot at: 2026-10-10 19:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.462%

Change 4h +0.623%

Change 24h +0.122%

Z-score 7d -0.67

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000395%

Avg 24h 0.000257%

Percentile 7d 3.0% bottom

Percentile 30d 3.6%

Δ 4h -0.000607%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.120%

Divergence -0.53

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.002

OI / Vol z-7d

0.98

OI momentum 4h

+0.347%

Funding +ratio 24h

68.0%

Sign streak

-2

Time: 2026-10-10 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #281823	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.619	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early 19b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.32	7%	↓ -0.38	above_value	-0.20	—	#142303	—	—	—	—	09/10 20:00 upd 10/10 20:15	↗
4h #281707	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.645	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 38%	late 13b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.26	8%	↓ -0.65	above_value	+0.38	—	#142168	—	—	—	—	10/10 16:00 upd 10/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #281706	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.594	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 38%	early 6b 1.0ATR	—	near -3.4ATR	0.59	20%	↑ +0.35	above_value	+0.38	—	#142168	—	—	—	—	10/10 19:00 upd 10/10 20:05	↗
15m #281647	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.646	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 40%	early 3b -0.8ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.16	1%	↓ -0.23	above_value	+0.38	—	#142168	—	—	—	—	10/10 19:45 upd 10/10 20:00	↗
5m #281646	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.627	expansion	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 11b -1.5ATR	—	—	0.14	7%	↓ -0.69	above_value	+0.38	—	#142168	—	—	—	—	10/10 19:55 upd 10/10 20:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #191617	fresh	2026-10-10 19:00	0s	0.436	0.497	65/69	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:35
4h #191685	fresh	2026-10-10 16:00	0s	0.494	0.473	27/69	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:37
1d #191753	fresh	2026-10-09 20:00	0s	0.525	0.584	27/68	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #142235	fresh	2026-10-10 19:45	0s	$83,007.47	$83,142.02	$82,790.55	value	-1.04	5.94
7d #142303	fresh	2026-10-10 19:00	0s	$82,978.94	$85,496.23	$80,351.00	hvn	-0.20	30.48
30d #142371	fresh	2026-10-10 16:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$80,453.87	hvn	-1.70	10.65

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,494.00 → $82,532.44	0.05%	0.65	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $413.56	+6.99
above	$82,680.72 → $82,724.65	0.05%	0.74	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $221.35	+3.74
above	$82,856.45 → $82,900.38	0.05%	0.74	0.55	continuation_down	✓	↑ $45.6167	+0.77

Prix observé : $82,946.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,793.60	0.55%	2.62	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,152.40	+12.75
above	$81,070.23 → $81,291.53	0.27%	1.31	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,654.48	+9.80
below	$84,279.08 → $84,998.30	0.85%	4.26	0.75	reversion	✓	↓ $1,333.08	-7.90
below	$86,713.38 → $86,990.00	0.32%	1.64	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,767.38	-22.32

Prix observé : $82,946.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.85	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,519.33	+12.13
above	$78,568.67 → $80,453.87	2.37%	3.04	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,492.13	+4.02
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.85	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,001.33	-6.46

Prix observé : $82,946.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	20:05	20:20	+0.00%	+0.01×	+0.20×	0.00×	10m	5m	High first	0.02	0.00%	+0.00%	15.19%	0.04%	$1.30M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	20:05	21:05	-0.07%	-0.34×	+0.20×	-0.54×	10m	1h	High first	0.33	0.00%	-0.07%	7.31%	0.15%	$31.94M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	20:05	00:05	-0.16%	-0.84×	+0.92×	-1.27×	2h40m	4h	High first	0.11	0.00%	-0.16%	12.11%	0.43%	$139.60M	— / —	23:50 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	20:05	08:05	+0.23%	+1.15×	+1.42×	-1.27×	7h	4h	Low first	0.07	0.00%	+0.23%	10.19%	0.53%	$282.81M	02:45 / —	23:50 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	20:05	20:05	+0.91%	+4.65×	+7.54×	-1.27×	17h35m	4h	Low first	0.09	0.00%	+0.91%	18.62%	1.73%	$1.23B	02:45 / 11:35	23:50 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T23:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T23:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-10T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}