Observation #27853

← Research Observations / #27853

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-10 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,913.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $822,941,043

Synced: 10-10 22:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-10 20:00) Next (10-10 22:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3007

evaluated_at: 2026-10-10 20:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001250%

Annualized-10.95%

Premium-0.00059996

Settled at: 2026-10-10 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,308.70

OI (USD)$3,176,404,083

Mark price$82,916.00

Funding next-0.001279%

Day vol (USD)$786,926,588

Snapshot at: 2026-10-10 20:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.027%

Change 4h +0.889%

Change 24h +0.190%

Z-score 7d 0.00

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000367%

Avg 24h 0.000237%

Percentile 7d 3.6% bottom

Percentile 30d 3.9%

Δ 4h -0.000716%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.088%

Divergence -0.67

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.976

OI / Vol z-7d

0.99

OI momentum 4h

+0.969%

Funding +ratio 24h

64.0%

Sign streak

-3

Time: 2026-10-10 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #281823	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.619	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early 19b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.32	7%	↓ -0.38	above_value	-0.20	—	#142303	—	—	—	—	09/10 20:00 upd 10/10 20:15	↗
4h #281707	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.645	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 38%	late 13b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.26	8%	↓ -0.65	above_value	+0.38	—	#142168	—	—	—	—	10/10 16:00 upd 10/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #282176	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.588	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 35%	early 7b 0.2ATR	—	near -2.8ATR	0.43	12%	↑ +0.20	above_value	-0.20	—	#142303	—	—	—	—	10/10 20:00 upd 10/10 21:05	↗
15m #282117	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.512	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 7b -1.1ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.28	8%	↓ -0.44	above_value	-0.20	—	#142303	—	—	—	—	10/10 20:45 upd 10/10 21:00	↗
5m #282116	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.626	compression	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 51%	late 23b -2.1ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.38	29%	↔ -0.14	above_value	-0.20	—	#142303	—	—	—	—	10/10 20:55 upd 10/10 21:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #191823	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	0s	0.428	0.500	61/67	2026-10-10 21:00	2026-10-10 21:35
4h #191685	fresh	2026-10-10 16:00	1h	0.494	0.473	27/69	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:37
1d #191753	fresh	2026-10-09 20:00	1h	0.525	0.584	27/68	2026-10-10 20:00	2026-10-10 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #142439	fresh	2026-10-10 20:45	0s	$83,009.08	$83,142.53	$82,807.60	value	-1.77	6.18
7d #142506	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	0s	$82,978.94	$85,496.23	$80,351.00	hvn	-0.41	31.60
30d #142371	fresh	2026-10-10 16:00	1h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$80,453.87	hvn	-1.70	10.65

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,525.00 → $82,598.27	0.09%	1.35	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $314.73	+5.81
above	$82,682.00 → $82,723.87	0.05%	0.77	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $189.13	+3.49
above	$82,859.93 → $82,891.33	0.04%	0.58	0.57	continuation_down	✓	↑ $21.6667	+0.40

Prix observé : $82,913.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,793.60	0.55%	2.72	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,119.40	+13.02
above	$81,070.23 → $81,291.53	0.27%	1.36	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $1,621.48	+9.96
below	$84,279.08 → $84,998.30	0.85%	4.42	0.76	reversion	✓	↓ $1,366.08	-8.39
below	$86,713.38 → $86,990.00	0.32%	1.70	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,800.38	-23.34

Prix observé : $82,913.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,426.67	0.70%	0.85	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $7,486.33	+12.08
above	$78,568.67 → $80,453.87	2.37%	3.04	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,459.13	+3.97
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.85	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,034.33	-6.51

Prix observé : $82,913.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	21:05	21:20	+0.10%	+0.51×	+0.53×	-0.01×	15m	5m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	+0.10%	3.04%	0.10%	$19.60M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	21:05	22:05	+0.09%	+0.46×	+0.85×	-0.01×	35m	5m	Low first	0.27	0.00%	+0.09%	11.49%	0.17%	$47.82M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	21:05	01:05	+0.12%	+0.62×	+1.25×	-0.94×	1h40m	3h	High first	0.08	0.00%	+0.12%	12.47%	0.43%	$117.59M	22:40 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	21:05	09:05	+0.17%	+0.86×	+1.87×	-0.94×	11h10m	3h	Low first	0.05	0.00%	+0.17%	10.34%	0.55%	$280.36M	22:40 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	21:05	21:05	+1.27%	+6.44×	+7.84×	-0.94×	16h35m	3h	Low first	0.12	0.00%	+1.27%	18.88%	1.73%	$1.31B	22:40 / 11:30	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T00:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T00:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}