Observation #29795

← Research Observations / #29795

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-12 01:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

00:00–01:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

01:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

02:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$84,102.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,503,807,172

Synced: 10-12 02:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-12 00:00) Next (10-12 02:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7262

evaluated_at: 2026-10-12 00:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000656%

Annualized5.75%

Premium-0.00044748

Settled at: 2026-10-12 01:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,045.69

OI (USD)$3,198,786,886

Mark price$84,077.50

Funding next0.000656%

Day vol (USD)$1,427,502,383

Snapshot at: 2026-10-12 00:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.041%

Change 4h +0.391%

Change 24h +0.367%

Z-score 7d 0.04

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000467%

Avg 24h 0.000052%

Percentile 7d 27.4%

Percentile 30d 15.7%

Δ 4h +0.000094%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.203%

Divergence 0.21

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.350

OI / Vol z-7d

0.43

OI momentum 4h

-0.763%

Funding +ratio 24h

52.0%

Sign streak

+13 crowded

Time: 2026-10-12 00:00:00 OI observed: 23:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 00:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #290123	fresh	5h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.639	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 20b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.54	19%	↓ -0.33	value	+3.23	—	#145984	—	—	—	—	10/10 20:00 upd 11/10 20:15	↗
4h #291576	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.620	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 44%	late 20b 1.1ATR	—	—	1.14	39%	↓ -0.25	value	+3.09	—	#146494	—	—	—	—	11/10 20:00 upd 12/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #292006	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.481	expansion_after_compression	bull_low	44%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 3b 1.5ATR	—	near -1.4ATR	1.26	71%	↑ +0.59	value	+2.28	—	#146642	—	—	—	—	12/10 00:00 upd 12/10 01:05	↗
15m #291941	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.517	expansion_after_compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 47%	late 2b 2.1ATR	—	near -0.9ATR	0.70	74%	↓ -0.41	value	+2.28	—	#146642	—	—	—	—	12/10 00:45 upd 12/10 01:00	↗
5m #291940	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.492	expansion_after_compression	range_low	37%	ranging_calm 54%	late 7b 3.4ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.82	61%	↑ +0.76	value	+2.28	—	#146642	—	—	—	—	12/10 00:55 upd 12/10 01:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #194323	fresh	2026-10-12 00:00	0s	0.582	0.551	49/75	2026-10-12 01:00	2026-10-12 01:35
4h #194249	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	1h	0.521	0.503	48/74	2026-10-12 00:00	2026-10-12 00:37
1d #193882	fresh	2026-10-10 20:00	5h	0.531	0.595	40/73	2026-10-11 20:00	2026-10-11 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #146790	fresh	2026-10-12 00:45	0s	$83,838.40	$84,107.21	$83,506.33	lvn LVN	1.64	3.75
7d #146866	fresh	2026-10-12 00:00	0s	$82,964.60	$84,363.80	$80,879.00	value	3.84	11.77
30d #146716	fresh	2026-10-11 20:00	1h	$84,067.17	$87,052.07	$81,187.00	hvn	-0.64	9.94

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,169.00 → $83,358.75	0.23%	1.18	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $743.25	+4.64
inside	$84,096.67 → $84,181.00	0.10%	0.53	0.57	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $84,102.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,351.00 → $80,773.40	0.52%	1.43	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,328.60	+11.24
below	$84,258.20 → $85,208.60	1.12%	3.21	0.78	reversion	✓	↓ $156.20	-0.53
below	$86,528.60 → $86,687.00	0.18%	0.53	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,426.60	-8.19

Prix observé : $84,102.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,321.93	0.56%	0.71	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,780.07	+14.88
above	$78,359.20 → $80,453.87	2.64%	3.55	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,648.13	+6.18
below	$86,947.33 → $87,471.00	0.60%	0.89	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,845.33	-4.82

Prix observé : $84,102.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	01:05	01:20	-0.13%	-0.36×	+0.04×	-0.43×	5m	5m	Tied	0.91	0.00%	-0.13%	4.64%	0.17%	$29.78M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	01:05	02:05	-0.41%	-1.12×	+0.04×	-1.45×	5m	30m	High first	0.41	0.00%	-0.41%	33.18%	0.55%	$66.89M	— / —	01:30 / —	—	100%
4h	computed	01:05	05:05	-0.84%	-2.30×	+0.31×	-2.42×	2h10m	4h	High first	0.23	0.00%	-0.84%	32.38%	1.00%	$318.46M	— / —	01:30 / 04:15	—	100%
12h	computed	01:05	13:05	-2.06%	-5.62×	+0.31×	-5.99×	2h10m	9h50m	High first	0.19	0.00%	-2.06%	32.61%	2.32%	$1.25B	— / —	01:30 / 04:15	—	100%
1d	computed	01:05	01:05	-0.99%	-2.70×	+0.31×	-10.40×	2h10m	19h50m	High first	0.04	0.00%	-0.99%	35.03%	3.94%	$3.05B	— / —	01:30 / 04:15	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T04:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T04:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-12T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}